Result
2:1
31/07/2025 at 12:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 50% | 62% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (35/52) | 58% (33/57) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (18/52) | 37% (13/35) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 36% (4/11) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (25/57) | 33% (17/52) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (22/35) | 65% (34/52) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 54% (7/13) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (53/104) | 49% (45/92) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (47/92) | 49% (51/104) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (100/196) | 49% (96/196) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 53% (8/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 47% (7/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (15/30) | 50% (15/30) |
Chances of winning
Marta Kostyuk
58.2% | Darya Kasatkina
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marta Kostyuk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.52) |
|
2.27 ↓
(2.3) |
5.3%
(9.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Kostyuk will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Kasatkina will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kostyuk: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kasatkina (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 28. Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 18.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kostyuk won 1.
- Kostyuk is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kasatkina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Kostyuk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Kostyuk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kostyuk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Marta Kostyuk won against Darya Kasatkina?
Marta Kostyuk has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Darya Kasatkina won against Marta Kostyuk?
Darya Kasatkina has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina were as follows:
09.05.2025
Marta Kostyuk
-
Darya Kasatkina
2:0
17.06.2024
Marta Kostyuk
-
Darya Kasatkina
1:2
19.02.2024
Darya Kasatkina
-
Marta Kostyuk
Canceled
02.01.2024
Marta Kostyuk
-
Darya Kasatkina
0:2
26.09.2023
Darya Kasatkina
-
Marta Kostyuk
2:1
Latest results of Marta Kostyuk
Latest results of Darya Kasatkina
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Gauff C. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Collins D. | Tomova V. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Bucsa C. (Q) | Kudermetova V. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Bye | Danilovic O. (29) | |
| 5 | Kenin S. (23) | Bye | |
| 6 | Birrell K. | Mboko V. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Uchijima M. | Bouzkova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Shnaider D. (14) | |
| 9 | Alexandrova E. (12) | Bye | |
| 10 | Zhu L. | Gracheva V. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Lamens S. | Kudermetova P. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Haddad Maia B. (18) | |
| 13 | Krueger A. (26) | Bye | |
| 14 | Chirico L. (Q) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Volynets K. (Q) | Ito A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Paolini J. (7) | |
| 17 | Andreeva M. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Andreescu B. (WC) | Krejcikova B. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Joint M. | Fernandez L. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Kessler M. (28) | |
| 21 | Kostyuk M. (24) | Bye | |
| 22 | Vondrousova M. | Eala A. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Dolehide C. | Blinkova A. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Kasatkina D. (15) | |
| 25 | Rybakina E. (9) | Bye | |
| 26 | Osuigwe W. (Q) | Baptiste H. | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Cristian J. | Stakusic M. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Noskova L. (20) | |
| 29 | Yastremska D. (30) | Bye | |
| 30 | Pera B. (Q) | Osorio C. | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Jacquemot E. (Q) | Marino R. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Navarro E. (8) | |
| 33 | Anisimova A. (5) | Bye | |
| 34 | Cirstea S. | Sun L. | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Ruse G. | Raducanu E. | 0 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Stearns P. (32) | |
| 37 | Mertens E. (19) | Bye | |
| 38 | Li A. | Kalinskaya A. | 1 : 2 |
| 39 | Rakhimova K. (Q) | Cross K. | 2 : 1 |
| 40 | Bye | Svitolina E. (10) | |
| 41 | Samsonova L. (13) | Bye | |
| 42 | Arseneault A. (Q) | Osaka N. | 0 : 2 |
| 43 | Boulter K. | Zarazua R. | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Ostapenko J. (22) | |
| 45 | Linette M. (25) | Bye | |
| 46 | Tomljanovic A. | Sevastova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Sakkari M. | Branstine C. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Pegula J. (3) | |
| 49 | Keys M. (6) | Bye | |
| 50 | Maria T. | Siegemund L. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 51 | Parks A. | McNally C. | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Sramkova R. (31) | |
| 53 | Bencic B. (17) | Bye | |
| 54 | Bouchard E. (WC) | Arango E. | 2 : 1 |
| 55 | Ruzic A. (Q) | Potapova A. | 2 : 1 |
| 56 | Bye | Muchova K. (11) | |
| 57 | Tauson C. (16) | Bye | |
| 58 | Mandlik E. (WC) | Bronzetti L. | 1 : 2 |
| 59 | Wang Y. (Q) | Starodubtseva Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Frech M. (21) | |
| 61 | Pavlyuchenkova A. (27) | Bye | |
| 62 | Lys E. | Jeanjean L. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Putintseva Y. | Guo H. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Gauff C. (1) | Collins D. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Kudermetova V. | Danilovic O. (29) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Kenin S. (23) | Mboko V. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Bouzkova M. | Shnaider D. (14) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Alexandrova E. (12) | Zhu L. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Lamens S. | Haddad Maia B. (18) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Krueger A. (26) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Ito A. | Paolini J. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Andreeva M. (WO.) (4) | Andreescu B. | |
| 10 | Joint M. | Kessler M. (28) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Kostyuk M. (24) | Vondrousova M. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Blinkova A. | Kasatkina D. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rybakina E. (9) | Baptiste H. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Cristian J. | Noskova L. (20) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Yastremska D. (30) | Osorio C. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Marino R. | Navarro E. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Anisimova A. (5) | Sun L. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Raducanu E. | Stearns P. (32) | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Mertens E. (19) | Kalinskaya A. | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Rakhimova K. | Svitolina E. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Samsonova L. (13) | Osaka N. | 1 : 2 |
| 22 | Zarazua R. | Ostapenko J. (22) | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Linette M. (25) | Sevastova A. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Sakkari M. | Pegula J. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Keys M. (6) | Siegemund L. | 2 : 0 |
| 26 | McNally C. | Sramkova R. (31) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Bencic B. (17) | Bouchard E. | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Ruzic A. | Muchova K. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Tauson C. (16) | Bronzetti L. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Starodubtseva Y. | Frech M. (21) | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Pavlyuchenkova A. (27) | Lys E. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Guo H. | Swiatek I. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Gauff C. (1) | Kudermetova V. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Mboko V. | Bouzkova M. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Zhu L. | Lamens S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Ito A. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Andreeva M. (4) | Kessler M. (28) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Kostyuk M. (24) | Kasatkina D. (15) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Rybakina E. (9) | Cristian J. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Yastremska D. (30) | Navarro E. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Anisimova A. (5) | Raducanu E. | |
| 10 | Kalinskaya A. | Svitolina E. (10) | |
| 11 | Osaka N. | Ostapenko J. (22) | |
| 12 | Sevastova A. | Pegula J. (3) | |
| 13 | Keys M. (6) | McNally C. | |
| 14 | Bencic B. (17) | Muchova K. (11) | |
| 15 | Tauson C. (16) | Starodubtseva Y. | |
| 16 | Lys E. | Swiatek I. (2) | |
1/8-finalsQuarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
