Darya Kasatkina vs Sara Sorribes Tormo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
02/05/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: La Bisbal D'Emporda, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
31
1st serve percentage
84%78%
1st serve points won
62% (32/52)39% (18/46)
2nd serve points won
50% (5/10)46% (6/13)
Break Points Saved
3/45/11
1st return points won
61% (28/46)38% (20/52)
2nd return points won
54% (7/13)50% (5/10)
Break Points Converted
6/111/4
Service Points Won
60% (37/62)41% (24/59)
Return Points Won
59% (35/59)40% (25/62)
Total Points Won
60% (72/121)40% (49/121)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
01
Service games won
86% (6/7)14% (1/7)
Return games won
86% (6/7)14% (1/7)
Total games won
86% (12/14)14% (2/14)

Chances of winning


Darya Kasatkina
65.5%
Sara Sorribes Tormo
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 41.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Darya Kasatkina's performance.
  • Sara Sorribes Tormo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sara Sorribes Tormo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darya Kasatkina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Sorribes Tormo than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sara Sorribes Tormo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Darya Kasatkina - Sara Sorribes Tormo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.61)

    2.71
    (2.2)
    6.7%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for Darya Kasatkina - Sara Sorribes Tormo?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sorribes Tormo will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 75. Sorribes Tormo is ranked WTA: 359.
    • Kasatkina has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sorribes Tormo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Sorribes Tormo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Kasatkina will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kasatkina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Darya Kasatkina
    Latest results of Sara Sorribes Tormo