Darya Kasatkina vs Sofia Kenin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
03/04/2025 at 19:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Charleston, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
54
1st Serve Percentage
61%63%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (28/40)61% (33/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (10/26)59% (19/32)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)67% (6/9)
1st Return Points Won
41% (22/54)35% (14/40)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (13/32)62% (16/26)
Break Points Converted
33% (3/9)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
58% (38/66)60% (50/84)
Return Points Won
40% (34/84)42% (28/66)
Total Points Won
48% (72/150)52% (78/150)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
30
Service Games Won
60% (6/10)73% (8/11)
Return Games Won
27% (3/11)40% (4/10)
Total Games Won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Darya Kasatkina
54.9%
Sofia Kenin
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 51.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Sofia Kenin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darya Kasatkina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofia Kenin than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sofia Kenin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.9)

    2.1
    (1.9)
    5.6%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Kenin (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Darya Kasatkina will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.15%97.75%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Darya Kasatkina will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Kasatkina (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Kenin (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 12. Kenin is ranked WTA: 44.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kasatkina won 3.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Kenin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Kasatkina won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin 2:1
    25.10.2024 Sofia Kenin - Darya Kasatkina 2:0
    31.08.2023 Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin 2:1
    Latest results of Darya Kasatkina
    Latest results of Sofia Kenin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Bye
    2Putintseva Y.Sun L.2 : 0
    3Sherif M.Yuan Y. (LL)1 : 2
    4ByeCocciaretto E. (14)
    5Fernandez L. (9)Bye
    6Kudermetova P. (Q)Oliynykova O.2 : 1
    7Lys E.Volynets K.1 : 2
    8ByeShnaider D. (7)
    9Jovic I. (4)Bye
    10Parks A.Stoiana M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Andreescu B. (WC)Galfi D.2 : 1
    12ByeKenin S. (16)
    13Sakkari M. (10)Bye
    14Day K. (Q)Badosa P. (WC)0 : 2
    15Tomova V. (Q)Brady J. (WC)2 : 0
    16ByeKalinskaya A. (8)
    17Keys M. (5)Bye
    18Tomljanovic A.Vekic D. (Q)1 : 2
    19Vidmanova D. (LL)Bondar A.0 : 2
    20ByeFrech M. (11)
    21Bejlek S. (13)Bye
    22Sierra S. (RET.)Urhobo A. (Q)0 : 1
    23Zakharova A.Yastremska D.0 : 2
    24ByeBencic B. (3)
    25Stearns P. (17)Bye
    26Krueger A.McNally C.2 : 1
    27Kalieva E. (LL)Kessler M.1 : 2
    28ByeTjen J. (12)
    29Baptiste H. (15)Bye
    30Stephens S. (WC)Zarazua R.0 : 2
    31Zhang S.Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2
    32ByeGorgodze E. (LL)

    1/16-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    2Yuan Y.Cocciaretto E. (14)0 : 2
    3Fernandez L. (9)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    4Volynets K.Shnaider D. (7)0 : 2
    5Jovic I. (4)Parks A.2 : 0
    6Andreescu B.Kenin S. (16)0 : 2
    7Sakkari M. (10)Badosa P.0 : 2
    8Tomova V.Kalinskaya A. (8)0 : 2
    9Keys M. (5)Vekic D.2 : 0
    10Bondar A.Frech M. (11)2 : 0
    11Bejlek S. (13)Urhobo A.2 : 0
    12Yastremska D.Bencic B. (3)1 : 2
    13Stearns P. (17)Krueger A.2 : 0
    14Kessler M.Tjen J. (12)2 : 0
    15Baptiste H. (15)Zarazua R.1 : 2
    16Starodubtseva Y.Gorgodze E. (LL)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Cocciaretto E. (14)2 : 1
    2Fernandez L. (9)Shnaider D. (7)0 : 2
    3Jovic I. (4)Kenin S. (16)2 : 0
    4Badosa P.Kalinskaya A. (8)0 : 2
    5Keys M. (5)Bondar A.2 : 0
    6Bejlek S. (13)Bencic B. (3)0 : 2
    7Stearns P. (17)Kessler M.1 : 2
    8Zarazua R.Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Shnaider D. (7)2 : 1
    2Jovic I. (4)Kalinskaya A. (8)2 : 0
    3Keys M. (5)Bencic B. (3)2 : 1
    4Kessler M.Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Jovic I. (4)2 : 1
    2Keys M. (5)Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2

    Final
    1Pegula J. (1)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 0