Darya Kasatkina vs Sofia Kenin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Charleston Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin
Result
0:2
03/04/2025 at 19:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Charleston, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
54
1st Serve Percentage
61%63%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (28/40)61% (33/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (10/26)59% (19/32)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)67% (6/9)
1st Return Points Won
41% (22/54)35% (14/40)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (13/32)62% (16/26)
Break Points Converted
33% (3/9)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
58% (38/66)60% (50/84)
Return Points Won
40% (34/84)42% (28/66)
Total Points Won
48% (72/150)52% (78/150)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
30
Service Games Won
60% (6/10)73% (8/11)
Return Games Won
27% (3/11)40% (4/10)
Total Games Won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Darya Kasatkina
54.9%
Sofia Kenin
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 51.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Sofia Kenin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darya Kasatkina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofia Kenin than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sofia Kenin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.9)

    2.1
    (1.9)
    5.6%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin?
  • Users Predictions: Darya Kasatkina will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.15%97.75%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Darya Kasatkina will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 12. Kenin is ranked WTA: 44.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kasatkina won 3.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Kenin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Kasatkina won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin 2:1
    25.10.2024 Sofia Kenin - Darya Kasatkina 2:0
    31.08.2023 Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin 2:1
    Latest results of Darya Kasatkina
    Latest results of Sofia Kenin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Bye
    2Watson H. (WC)Shymanovich I. (Q)0 : 2
    3Tomljanovic A.Okamura K. (Q)2 : 1
    4ByeStearns P. (16)
    5Ostapenko J. (11)Bye
    6Chirico L. (Q)Andreeva E.2 : 1
    7Tomova V.Montgomery R.0 : 2
    8ByeCollins D. (7)
    9Zheng Q. (3)Bye
    10Sakkari M.Stakusic M. (WC)2 : 0
    11Dart H.Gracheva V.1 : 2
    12ByeMertens E. (13)
    13Alexandrova E. (9)Bye
    14Li A.Blinkova A.2 : 0
    15Kudermetova P.Begu I.2 : 0
    16ByeShnaider D. (6)
    17Anisimova A. (8)Bye
    18Mateas M. (WC)Kudermetova V.0 : 2
    19Zhang S. (Q)Bronzetti L.2 : 1
    20ByePutintseva Y. (10)
    21Krueger A. (15)Bye
    22Volynets K.Sebov K. (Q)2 : 0
    23Gadecki O.Baptiste H.0 : 2
    24ByeNavarro E. (4)
    25Kasatkina D. (5)Bye
    26Davis L. (WC)Loeb J. (Q)2 : 1
    27Kenin S.Pera B.2 : 0
    28ByeBencic B. (17)
    29Kalinskaya A. (14)Bye
    30Kalinina A.McNally C. (Q)1 : 2
    31Dolehide C.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    32ByeKeys M. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Shymanovich I.2 : 0
    2Tomljanovic A.Stearns P. (16)2 : 0
    3Ostapenko J. (11)Chirico L.2 : 0
    4Montgomery R.Collins D. (7)0 : 2
    5Zheng Q. (3)Sakkari M.2 : 0
    6Gracheva V.Mertens E. (13)0 : 2
    7Alexandrova E. (9)Li A.2 : 0
    8Kudermetova P.Shnaider D. (6)0 : 2
    9Anisimova A. (8)Kudermetova V.2 : 0
    10Zhang S.Putintseva Y. (10)0 : 2
    11Krueger A. (15)Volynets K.2 : 0
    12Baptiste H.Navarro E. (4)0 : 2
    13Kasatkina D. (5)Davis L.2 : 0
    14Kenin S.Bencic B. (17)2 : 0
    15Kalinskaya A. (14)McNally C.2 : 0
    16Dolehide C.Keys M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    2Ostapenko J. (11)Collins D. (7)0 : 2
    3Zheng Q. (3)Mertens E. (13)2 : 1
    4Alexandrova E. (9)Shnaider D. (6)2 : 0
    5Anisimova A. (8)Putintseva Y. (10)2 : 0
    6Krueger A. (15)Navarro E. (4)1 : 2
    7Kasatkina D. (5)Kenin S.0 : 2
    8Kalinskaya A. (14)Keys M. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Collins D. (7)2 : 1
    2Zheng Q. (3)Alexandrova E. (9)0 : 2
    3Anisimova A. (8)Navarro E. (4)2 : 0
    4Kenin S.Kalinskaya A. (14)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Alexandrova E. (9)2 : 1
    2Anisimova A. (RET.) (8)Kenin S.0 : 0

    Final
    1Pegula J. (1)Kenin S.2 : 0