Darya Kasatkina vs Sonay Kartal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA London Darya Kasatkina - Sonay Kartal
Result
1:2
09/06/2025 at 09:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: London, grass - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
50
1st Serve Percentage
65%72%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (34/55)66% (44/67)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (13/29)54% (14/26)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)78% (7/9)
1st Return Points Won
36% (24/67)38% (21/55)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (12/26)55% (16/29)
Break Points Converted
22% (2/9)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
56% (47/84)62% (59/95)
Return Points Won
38% (36/95)44% (37/84)
Total Points Won
46% (83/179)54% (96/179)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (8/12)85% (11/13)
Return Games Won
15% (2/13)33% (4/12)
Total Games Won
40% (10/25)60% (15/25)

Chances of winning


Darya Kasatkina
66.3%
Sonay Kartal
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.4% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darya Kasatkina's form might have worsened.
  • Sonay Kartal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sonay Kartal's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darya Kasatkina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonay Kartal than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sonay Kartal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Darya Kasatkina - Sonay Kartal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.33)

    2.77
    (3.32)
    5.8%
    (5.5%)
    What is the prediction for Darya Kasatkina - Sonay Kartal?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Kartal will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kasatkina: 25.1%83.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 17. Kartal is ranked WTA: 56.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Kartal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Kasatkina is considered a favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Darya Kasatkina
    Latest results of Sonay Kartal
    14.05.2025 Sonay Kartal - Elsa Jacquemot Kartal S. retired
    12.05.2025 Sonay Kartal - Aoi Ito 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zheng Q. (1)Bye
    2Jones F. (WC)Kessler M.0 : 2
    3Raducanu E. (WC)Bucsa C. (Q)2 : 0
    4Sramkova R.Krejcikova B. (7)2 : 0
    5Navarro E. (3)Bye
    6Kvitova P.Haddad Maia B.1 : 2
    7Kasatkina D.Kartal S. (WC)1 : 2
    8Burrage J. (WC)Anisimova A. (8)1 : 2
    9Muchova K. (6)Inglis M. (Q)2 : 1
    10Fernandez L.Maria T. (Q)0 : 2
    11Watson H. (Q)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    12ByeRybakina E. (4)
    13Shnaider D. (5)Frech M.2 : 0
    14Tomljanovic A. (Q)Boulter K.1 : 2
    15Vekic D.Zakharova A. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeKeys M. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Zheng Q. (1)Kessler M.2 : 1
    2Raducanu E.Sramkova R.2 : 0
    3Navarro E. (3)Haddad Maia B.2 : 1
    4Kartal S.Anisimova A. (8)0 : 2
    5Muchova K. (6)Maria T.1 : 2
    6Watson H.Rybakina E. (4)0 : 2
    7Shnaider D. (5)Boulter K.2 : 1
    8Zakharova A.Keys M. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zheng Q. (1)Raducanu E.2 : 0
    2Navarro E. (3)Anisimova A. (8)0 : 2
    3Maria T.Rybakina E. (4)2 : 0
    4Shnaider D. (5)Keys M. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Zheng Q. (1)Anisimova A. (8)1 : 2
    2Maria T.Keys M. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Anisimova A. (8)Maria T.0 : 2