Result
2:0
27/09/2025 at 05:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/32-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 70% | 75% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (19/28) | 45% (17/38) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 23% (3/13) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 45% (5/11) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (21/38) | 32% (9/28) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 25% (3/12) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 67% (2/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (28/40) | 39% (20/51) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (31/51) | 30% (12/40) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (59/91) | 35% (32/91) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 14% (1/7) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 25% (2/8) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 20% (3/15) |
Chances of winning
Sonay Kartal
42.5% | Darya Kasatkina
57.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sonay Kartal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonay Kartal than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Sonay Kartal - Darya Kasatkina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.33) |
|
1.66 ↑
(1.63) |
3.5%
(4.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Sonay Kartal - Darya Kasatkina?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Kartal will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Kasatkina will win (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kartal: 56% – 94%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sonay Kartal will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Kartal is ranked WTA: 81. Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 20.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Kasatkina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kartal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sonay Kartal won against Darya Kasatkina?
Sonay Kartal has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Darya Kasatkina won against Sonay Kartal?
Darya Kasatkina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sonay Kartal - Darya Kasatkina were as follows:
09.06.2025
Darya Kasatkina
-
Sonay Kartal
1:2
Latest results of Sonay Kartal
Latest results of Darya Kasatkina
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Swiatek I. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Yuan Y. (WC) | Putintseva Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Li A. | Osorio C. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Bye | Kalinskaya A. (28) | |
| 5 | Samsonova L. (19) | Bye | |
| 6 | Boisson L. | Galfi D. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Sramkova R. | Ruse G. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Navarro E. (16) | |
| 9 | Osaka N. (12) | Bye | |
| 10 | Sasnovich A. (Q) | Tjen J. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Frech M. | Seidel E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Kostyuk M. (23) | |
| 13 | Raducanu E. (30) | Bye | |
| 14 | Vekic D. | Bucsa C. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Tomljanovic A. | Starodubtseva Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Pegula J. (5) | |
| 17 | Andreeva M. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Uchijima M. (Q) | Zhu L. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Cristian J. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Yastremska D. (29) | |
| 21 | Shnaider D. (17) | Bye | |
| 22 | Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q) | Joint M. | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Kartal S. | Parks A. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Kasatkina D. (14) | |
| 25 | Tauson C. (10) | Bye | |
| 26 | Sonmez Z. | Wei S. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Siniakova K. | Potapova A. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Mboko V. (21) | |
| 29 | Noskova L. (26) | Bye | |
| 30 | Guo H. (WC) | Wang Xiy. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Lamens S. | Arango E. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Zheng Q. (7) | |
| 33 | Paolini J. (6) | Bye | |
| 34 | Sevastova A. | Birrell K. | 2 : 0 |
| 35 | Kudermetova P. | Inglis M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Kenin S. (27) | |
| 37 | Kudermetova V. (24) | Bye | |
| 38 | Bondar A. (Q) | Andreescu B. | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Maria T. | Bouzkova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 40 | Bye | Linette M. (33) | |
| 41 | Muchova K. (13) | Bye | |
| 42 | Dolehide C. | Cirstea S. | 0 : 2 |
| 43 | Jacquemot E. (Q) | Ruzic A. | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Badosa P. (18) | |
| 45 | Wang Xin. (31) | Bye | |
| 46 | Zakharova A. (Q) | Zhang S. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Boulter K. | Baptiste H. | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Anisimova A. (3) | |
| 49 | Rybakina E. (8) | Bye | |
| 50 | Siegemund L. | McNally C. | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Zhang R. (WC) | Lys E. | 0 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Jovic I. (32) | |
| 53 | Mertens E. (20) | Bye | |
| 54 | Kessler M. | Shi H. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Krejcikova B. | Blinkova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Bye | Alexandrova E. (9) | |
| 57 | Bencic B. (15) | Bye | |
| 58 | Volynets K. (Q) | Stearns P. | 2 : 1 |
| 59 | Hon P. (Q) | Golubic V. | 2 : 1 |
| 60 | Bye | Ostapenko J. (22) | |
| 61 | Fernandez L. (25) | Bye | |
| 62 | Krueger A. | Sakkari M. | 1 : 2 |
| 63 | Bronzetti L. | Rakhimova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Gauff C. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Swiatek I. (1) | Yuan Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Osorio C. | Kalinskaya A. (28) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Samsonova L. (19) | Boisson L. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Ruse G. | Navarro E. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Osaka N. (12) | Sasnovich A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Seidel E. | Kostyuk M. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Raducanu E. (30) | Bucsa C. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Tomljanovic A. | Pegula J. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Andreeva M. (4) | Zhu L. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Yastremska D. (29) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Shnaider D. (17) | Joint M. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Kartal S. | Kasatkina D. (14) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Tauson C. (10) | Sonmez Z. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Potapova A. | Mboko V. (21) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Noskova L. (26) | Wang Xiy. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Arango E. | Zheng Q. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Paolini J. (6) | Sevastova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Kudermetova P. | Kenin S. (27) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Kudermetova V. (24) | Bondar A. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bouzkova M. | Linette M. (33) | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Muchova K. (13) | Cirstea S. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Ruzic A. | Badosa P. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Wang Xin. (31) | Zhang S. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Boulter K. | Anisimova A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Rybakina E. (8) | McNally C. | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Lys E. | Jovic I. (32) | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Mertens E. (20) | Kessler M. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Krejcikova B. | Alexandrova E. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 29 | Bencic B. (15) | Volynets K. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Hon P. | Ostapenko J. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Fernandez L. (25) | Sakkari M. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Rakhimova K. | Gauff C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Swiatek I. (1) | Osorio C. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Boisson L. (RET.) | Navarro E. (16) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Sasnovich A. | Kostyuk M. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Raducanu E. (30) | Pegula J. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Andreeva M. (4) | Bouzas Maneiro J. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Joint M. | Kartal S. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Sonmez Z. | Potapova A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Noskova L. (26) | Zheng Q. (RET.) (7) | 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Paolini J. (6) | Kenin S. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Kudermetova V. (24) | Bouzkova M. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Muchova K. (13) | Badosa P. (RET.) (18) | 0 : 0 |
| 12 | Zhang S. | Anisimova A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rybakina E. (8) | Lys E. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Kessler M. | Krejcikova B. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Bencic B. (15) | Hon P. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Fernandez L. (25) | Gauff C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Swiatek I. (1) | Navarro E. (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Kostyuk M. (23) | Pegula J. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Andreeva M. (4) | Kartal S. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Potapova A. | Noskova L. (26) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Paolini J. (6) | Bouzkova M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Muchova K. (13) | Anisimova A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Lys E. | Kessler M. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bencic B. (15) | Gauff C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Navarro E. (16) | Pegula J. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Kartal S. | Noskova L. (26) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Paolini J. (6) | Anisimova A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Lys E. | Gauff C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Pegula J. (5) | Noskova L. (26) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Anisimova A. (3) | Gauff C. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Noskova L. (26) | Anisimova A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
