Jelena Ostapenko vs Dayana Yastremska – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Stuttgart Jelena Ostapenko - Dayana Yastremska
Result
Yastremska D. retired
15/04/2025 at 06:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Stuttgart, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
14
1st Serve Percentage
69%55%
1st Serve Points Won
85% (17/20)56% (18/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
89% (8/9)46% (12/26)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)67% (6/9)
1st Return Points Won
44% (14/32)15% (3/20)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (14/26)11% (1/9)
Break Points Converted
33% (3/9)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
86% (25/29)52% (30/58)
Return Points Won
48% (28/58)14% (4/29)
Total Points Won
61% (53/87)39% (34/87)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (6/6)50% (3/6)
Return Games Won
50% (3/6)0% (0/6)
Total Games Won
75% (9/12)25% (3/12)

Chances of winning


Jelena Ostapenko
39.5%
Dayana Yastremska
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jelena Ostapenko's form might have worsened.
  • Dayana Yastremska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dayana Yastremska's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jelena Ostapenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dayana Yastremska than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dayana Yastremska, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jelena Ostapenko - Dayana Yastremska Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (1.78)

    1.56
    (2)
    5.7%
    (6.5%)
    What is the prediction for Jelena Ostapenko - Dayana Yastremska?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ostapenko will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Yastremska will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jelena Ostapenko will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 24. Yastremska is ranked WTA: 46.
    • Ostapenko is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Yastremska is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ostapenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Ostapenko won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jelena Ostapenko - Dayana Yastremska were as follows:
    15.01.2023 Dayana Yastremska - Jelena Ostapenko 0:2
    Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
    Latest results of Dayana Yastremska
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Potapova A.Tauson C.2 : 1
    3Sasnovich A. (Q)Mertens E.0 : 2
    4Kudermetova V. (Q)Shnaider D. (8)1 : 2
    5Gauff C. (4)Bye
    6Maria T. (WC)Seidel E. (LL)1 : 2
    7Niemeier J. (WC)Siegemund L. (WC)2 : 1
    8Lys E. (WC)Paolini J. (5)0 : 2
    9Andreeva M. (6)Andreeva E. (RET.) (LL)1 : 0
    10Alexandrova E.Samsonova L.2 : 0
    11Frech M.Errani S. (LL)2 : 1
    12ByePegula J. (3)
    13Navarro E. (7)Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    14Ostapenko J.Yastremska D. (RET.) (Q)1 : 0
    15Vekic D.Fett J. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (WO.) (1)Potapova A.
    2Mertens E.Shnaider D. (8)2 : 0
    3Gauff C. (4)Seidel E.2 : 0
    4Niemeier J.Paolini J. (5)0 : 2
    5Andreeva M. (6)Alexandrova E.0 : 2
    6Frech M.Pegula J. (3)0 : 2
    7Navarro E. (7)Ostapenko J.1 : 2
    8Fett J.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Mertens E.2 : 0
    2Gauff C. (4)Paolini J. (5)0 : 2
    3Alexandrova E.Pegula J. (3)2 : 0
    4Ostapenko J.Swiatek I. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Paolini J. (5)2 : 0
    2Alexandrova E.Ostapenko J.0 : 2

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Ostapenko J.0 : 2