Dayton Flyers vs Illinois State Redbirds – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NIT - Quarter-finals

Chances of winning


Dayton Flyers
73.3%
Illinois State Redbirds
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.8% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dayton Flyers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dayton Flyers's performance.
  • Illinois State Redbirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Illinois State Redbirds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dayton Flyers than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dayton Flyers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illinois State Redbirds than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Illinois State Redbirds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dayton Flyers - Illinois State Redbirds Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.39)

    3.49
    (2.8)
    6.1%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 139.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
    Preview Facts
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Illinois State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Dayton has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Dayton is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dayton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 148:155. (average 74:77.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Dayton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 73:74.
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1AuburnSouth Alabama78 : 67
    2SeattleSt. Thomas (Minn.)67 : 52
    3George MasonLiberty71 : 77
    4NevadaMurray State89 : 75
    5Wake ForestNavy82 : 72
    6Illinois StateKent State79 : 58
    7YaleNC Wilmington67 : 78
    8DaytonBradley80 : 66
    9New MexicoSam Houston St.107 : 83
    10Utah Valley StateGeorge Washington78 : 79
    11Colorado StateSaint Josephs Hawks64 : 69
    12CaliforniaIllinois (Chi.)91 : 73
    13TulsaStephen F. Austin89 : 84
    14UC IrvineUNLV72 : 75
    15Wichita StateWyoming74 : 70
    16Oklahoma StateDavidson84 : 80

    1/8-finals
    1AuburnSeattle91 : 85
    2LibertyNevada63 : 73
    3Wake ForestIllinois State75 : 78
    4NC WilmingtonDayton61 : 80
    5New MexicoGeorge Washington86 : 61
    6Saint Josephs HawksCalifornia76 : 75
    7TulsaUNLV77 : 66
    8Wichita StateOklahoma State96 : 70

    Quarter-finals
    1AuburnNevada
    2Illinois StateDayton
    3New MexicoSaint Josephs Hawks84 : 69
    4TulsaWichita State83 : 79

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2New MexicoTulsa

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2