Decisão vs Afogados da Ingazeira – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano Decisão - Afogados da Ingazeira
Result
1:1
05/02/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Pernambucano - Round 6

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Rodrigues G. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lucas Bala , Stuart ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Mosquito M. ,
  • 65', Henrique Paraiba 🟨,
  • 67', Juan Kelsen , Juliano ,
  • 67', Ikaro , Natan ,
  • 74', Bambam , Leo Reis ,
  • 74', Marcelo , Rai ,
  • 84', Rai 🟨,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 86', Mosquito M. , Erivan ,
  • 87', Leozinho , Gilsinho ,
  • 90', Pedro Henrique , Clebson ,
  • 90+2', Acaua , Vitinho ,

Chances of winning


Decisão
38.4%
Draw
29.5%
Afogados da Ingazeira
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 30.1% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3% 27.6% 36.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Decisão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Afogados da Ingazeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Decisão than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Decisão that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afogados da Ingazeira than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Decisão - Afogados da Ingazeira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.45)
    3.08
    (2.95)
    2.82
    (2.65)
    10%
    (12.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Decisão - Afogados da Ingazeira?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Decisão will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Pernambucano).
    • Recent matches Decisão is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Afogados is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Decisão could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Decisão won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4
    • Including matches at home between the teams Decisão won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4
    Latest results of Decisão
    02.02.2025 Maguary - Decisão 5:0
    30.01.2025 Decisão - Petrolina 3:0
    22.01.2025 Jaguar - Decisão 2:1
    14.01.2025 Sport Recife - Decisão 1:1
    Latest results of Afogados da Ingazeira
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Santa Cruz (1)Bye
    2Sport Recife (4)Decisao (5)3 : 0
    3Maguary (2)Bye
    4Nautico (3)Retro (6)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Santa Cruz (1)Sport Recife (4)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Maguary (2)Retro (6)1 : 2, 1 : 2

    Final
    1Sport Recife (4)Retro (6)2 : 2, 3 : 2