Decka Pelplin vs Noteć Inowrocław – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
70:79
28/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Liga - Round 30
  • Referee: Malczewska M. (Pol)

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6758
Field goals made
2626
Field goals %
38.81%44.83%
2-point field goals attempts
4731
2-point field goals made
2217
2-point field goals %
46.81%54.84%
3-point field goals attempts
2027
3-point field goals made
49
3-point field goals %
20%33.33%
Free throws attempts
3233
Free throws made
1418
Free throws %
43.8%54.5%
Offensive rebounds
1513
Defensive rebounds
2736
Total rebounds
4249
Assists
2120
Blocks
64
Turnovers
1621
Steals
169
Personal fouls
2823

Chances of winning


Decka Pelplin
71.6%
Noteć Inowrocław
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.2% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Decka Pelplin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Noteć Inowrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Decka Pelplin than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Decka Pelplin that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noteć Inowrocław than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noteć Inowrocław could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Decka Pelplin - Noteć Inowrocław Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.34)

    3.24
    (2.87)
    8.8%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 167.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Decka Pelplin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Decka Pelplin has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Decka Pelplin is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Decka Pelplin will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Decka Pelplin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 350:299. (average 87.5:74.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Decka Pelplin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 178:145. (average 89:72.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Decka Pelplin - Noteć Inowrocław were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Noteć Inowrocław - Decka Pelplin 78:99
    15.01.2025 Decka Pelplin - Noteć Inowrocław 78:74
    09.10.2024 Noteć Inowrocław - Decka Pelplin 76:73
    01.09.2023 Decka Pelplin - Noteć Inowrocław 100:71
    Latest results of Decka Pelplin
    Latest results of Noteć Inowrocław
    Polish 1 Liga Basketball Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPts
    1Bydgoszcz302552654:232455
    2Spojnia Stargard3020102492:240050
    3Lancut3020102581:259450
    4Starogard Gdanski3020102530:239850
    5LKS Lodz3019112577:238749
    6GKS Tychy3019112489:243749
    7Pelplin3018122583:248848
    8Kotwica Kolobrzeg3015152451:235145
    9WKK Wroclaw3114172503:252945
    10Polonia Warszawa3014162420:247844
    11Inowroclaw3112192466:256543
    12R. Rzeszow3012182435:249142
    13Poli. Opolska3012182453:252242
    14Leszno3012182347:247242
    15Poznan3011192407:247641
    16Miners Katowice307232405:258337
    17Zubry Bialystok306242328:262636

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