Polonia Warszawa vs Decka Pelplin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
93:80
15/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Liga - Round 28
  • Referee: Koralewski B. (Pol)

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6183
Field goals made
3332
Field goals %
54.1%38.55%
2-point field goals attempts
3862
2-point field goals made
2826
2-point field goals %
73.68%41.94%
3-point field goals attempts
2321
3-point field goals made
56
3-point field goals %
21.74%28.57%
Free throws attempts
3425
Free throws made
2210
Free throws %
64.7%40%
Offensive rebounds
1226
Defensive rebounds
3025
Total rebounds
4251
Assists
2117
Blocks
42
Turnovers
2018
Steals
916
Personal fouls
2429

Chances of winning


Polonia Warszawa
38.2%
Decka Pelplin
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 47.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polonia Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polonia Warszawa's form might have worsened.
  • Decka Pelplin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Decka Pelplin's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warszawa than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polonia Warszawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Decka Pelplin than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Decka Pelplin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Polonia Warszawa - Decka Pelplin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (1.84)

    1.49
    (1.78)
    8.4%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 165.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Polonia Warszawa - Decka Pelplin?
  • Users Predictions: Decka Pelplin will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Decka Pelplin will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 81:85.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polonia Warszawa won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Decka Pelplin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Polonia Warszawa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 509:546. (average 72.7:78).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Polonia Warszawa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 226:218. (average 75.3:72.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Warszawa - Decka Pelplin were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Decka Pelplin - Polonia Warszawa 79:57
    02.03.2025 Polonia Warszawa - Decka Pelplin 71:69
    16.11.2024 Decka Pelplin - Polonia Warszawa 89:85
    06.04.2024 Decka Pelplin - Polonia Warszawa 81:82
    23.12.2023 Polonia Warszawa - Decka Pelplin 76:77
    Latest results of Polonia Warszawa
    Latest results of Decka Pelplin
    Polish 1 Liga Basketball Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPts
    1Bydgoszcz302552654:232455
    2Spojnia Stargard3020102492:240050
    3Lancut3020102581:259450
    4Starogard Gdanski3020102530:239850
    5LKS Lodz3019112577:238749
    6GKS Tychy3019112489:243749
    7Pelplin3018122583:248848
    8Kotwica Kolobrzeg3015152451:235145
    9WKK Wroclaw3114172503:252945
    10Polonia Warszawa3014162420:247844
    11Inowroclaw3112192466:256543
    12R. Rzeszow3012182435:249142
    13Poli. Opolska3012182453:252242
    14Leszno3012182347:247242
    15Poznan3011192407:247641
    16Miners Katowice307232405:258337
    17Zubry Bialystok306242328:262636

          Promotion ~ 1. Liga (Play Offs: )
          Relegation