Defensa y Justicia vs Argentinos Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
10/10/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.870.91
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
410
Passes
70% (189/271)84% (410/490)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.870.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.880.00
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
79
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
410
Touches in opposition box
1522
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
156
Passes
70% (189/271)84% (410/490)
Long passes
29% (16/56)55% (34/62)
Passes in final third
53% (47/88)74% (111/150)
Crosses
33% (3/9)26% (10/39)
Expected assists (xA)
0.541.16
Throw-ins
1326
Fouls
615
Tackles
61% (11/18)64% (14/22)
Duels won
5454
Clearances
4217
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.000.88
Goals prevented
0.00-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Alvarez F. 🟨,
  • 32', Molinas A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gomez L. , Porcel D. ,
  • 46', Oroz N. , Gho J. ,
  • 46', Rodriguez D. , Siri Payer G. ,
  • 47', 1 - 0, Gutierrez J. , Gonzalez L. (A),
  • 56', Osorio A. 🟨,
  • 64', Molinas A. , Hausch A. ,
  • 64', Gonzalez L. , Miranda M. ,
  • 68', Lopez H. , Sosa I. ,
  • 75', Prieto S. , Ovando L. ,
  • 75', Gutierrez J. , Barbona D. ,
  • 89', Osorio A. , Schamine B. ,
  • 90', Miranda M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
27%
Draw
32%
Argentinos Juniors
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 28.3% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 29.5% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensa y Justicia's form might have worsened.
  • Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentinos Juniors's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentinos Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (2.25)
    2.99
    (3.3)
    2.33
    (3.1)
    5%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 35.4%82.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Argentinos Juniors (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Defensa y Justicia (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia (votes: 4 - 50%). Argentinos Juniors (votes: 4 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2.
    • In recent matches, Defensa y Justicia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Argentinos Juniors is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Argentinos Juniors could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Hausch A. (Muscle Injury) Perez C. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Antoni M. (Inactive) Gimenez M. (Knee Injury) Palacio T. (Inactive) Sanchez L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Defensa y Justicia: Miritello J. B. (Illness)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 4:1
    07.11.2024 Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors 2:1
    20.04.2024 Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 2:1
    23.06.2023 Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 3:1
    15.09.2022 Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors 2:1
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    Latest results of Argentinos Juniors
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P74307:2515
    2Velez Sarsfield74308:4415
    3Platense73315:3212
    4San Lorenzo73227:5211
    5Defensa y Justicia72506:4211
    6Independiente72419:7210
    7Talleres Cordoba73138:9-110
    8Union de Santa Fe62226:338
    9Boca Juniors62225:418
    10Lanus52218:808
    11Instituto72238:808
    12Central Cordoba72233:4-18
    13Gimnasia Mendoza72144:9-57
    14Dep. Riestra70432:5-34
    15Newells Old Boys70255:14-92


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Belgrano74309:4515
    2Ind. Rivadavia650110:6415
    3Tigre742112:5714
    4Rosario Central73228:6211
    5Gimnasia L.P73137:8-110
    6Huracan62315:419
    7Argentinos Jrs52213:218
    8Barracas Central72235:6-18
    9Banfield62136:607
    10Racing Club62137:8-17
    11River Plate62134:6-27
    12Sarmiento Junin62044:6-26
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Aldosivi60332:6-43
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto60151:11-101

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)