Defensa y Justicia vs Argentinos Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors
Result
1:0
10/10/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.870.91
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
410
Passes
70% (189/271)84% (410/490)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.870.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.880.00
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
79
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
410
Touches in opposition box
1522
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
156
Passes
70% (189/271)84% (410/490)
Long passes
29% (16/56)55% (34/62)
Passes in final third
53% (47/88)74% (111/150)
Crosses
33% (3/9)26% (10/39)
Expected assists (xA)
0.541.16
Throw-ins
1326
Fouls
615
Tackles
61% (11/18)64% (14/22)
Duels won
5454
Clearances
4217
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.000.88
Goals prevented
0.00-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Alvarez F. 🟨,
  • 32', Molinas A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gomez L. , Porcel D. ,
  • 46', Oroz N. , Gho J. ,
  • 46', Rodriguez D. , Siri Payer G. ,
  • 47', 1 - 0, Gutierrez J. , Gonzalez L. (A),
  • 56', Osorio A. 🟨,
  • 64', Molinas A. , Hausch A. ,
  • 64', Gonzalez L. , Miranda M. ,
  • 68', Lopez H. , Sosa I. ,
  • 75', Prieto S. , Ovando L. ,
  • 75', Gutierrez J. , Barbona D. ,
  • 89', Osorio A. , Schamine B. ,
  • 90', Miranda M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
27%
Draw
32%
Argentinos Juniors
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 28.3% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 29.5% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensa y Justicia's form might have worsened.
  • Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentinos Juniors's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentinos Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.51
    (2.25)
    2.99
    (3.3)
    2.37
    (3.1)
    4.2%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 35.4%82.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Argentinos Juniors (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2.
    • In recent matches, Defensa y Justicia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Argentinos Juniors is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Argentinos Juniors could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Hausch A. (Muscle Injury) Perez C. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Antoni M. (Inactive) Gimenez M. (Knee Injury) Palacio T. (Inactive) Sanchez L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Defensa y Justicia: Miritello J. B. (Illness)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 4:1
    07.11.2024 Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors 2:1
    20.04.2024 Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 2:1
    23.06.2023 Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 3:1
    15.09.2022 Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors 2:1
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    Latest results of Argentinos Juniors
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensa y Justicia1254313:10319
    2Central Cordoba1246215:10518
    3Estudiantes L.P1253413:13018
    4Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    5Union de Santa Fe1245316:13317
    6Barracas Central1145213:11217
    7Tigre1245311:9217
    8Huracan124446:10-416
    9Argentinos Jrs1243512:9315
    10Belgrano1236311:9215
    11Racing Club1243513:13015
    12Banfield1242610:17-714
    13Ind. Rivadavia1226410:12-212
    14Newells Old Boys1225510:18-811
    15Aldosivi122375:14-99


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1172216:8823
    2Velez Sarsfield1264217:9822
    3Rosario Central1156013:6721
    4Lanus1162311:9220
    5River Plate1253418:12618
    6San Lorenzo124449:9016
    7Atl. Tucuman1243513:13015
    8Sarmiento Junin114349:11-215
    9Instituto123637:11-415
    10San Martin S.J123549:11-214
    11Talleres Cordoba123547:10-314
    12Gimnasia L.P124178:14-613
    13Platense1024410:15-510
    14Godoy Cruz121749:14-510
    15Independiente100646:10-46

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)