Defensa y Justicia vs Argentinos Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
10/10/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.870.91
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
410
Passes
70% (189/271)84% (410/490)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.870.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.880.00
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
79
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
410
Touches in opposition box
1522
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
156
Passes
70% (189/271)84% (410/490)
Long passes
29% (16/56)55% (34/62)
Passes in final third
53% (47/88)74% (111/150)
Crosses
33% (3/9)26% (10/39)
Expected assists (xA)
0.541.16
Throw-ins
1326
Fouls
615
Tackles
61% (11/18)64% (14/22)
Duels won
5454
Clearances
4217
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.000.88
Goals prevented
0.00-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Alvarez F. 🟨,
  • 32', Molinas A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gomez L. , Porcel D. ,
  • 46', Oroz N. , Gho J. ,
  • 46', Rodriguez D. , Siri Payer G. ,
  • 47', 1 - 0, Gutierrez J. , Gonzalez L. (A),
  • 56', Osorio A. 🟨,
  • 64', Molinas A. , Hausch A. ,
  • 64', Gonzalez L. , Miranda M. ,
  • 68', Lopez H. , Sosa I. ,
  • 75', Prieto S. , Ovando L. ,
  • 75', Gutierrez J. , Barbona D. ,
  • 89', Osorio A. , Schamine B. ,
  • 90', Miranda M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
27%
Draw
32%
Argentinos Juniors
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 28.3% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 29.5% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensa y Justicia's form might have worsened.
  • Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentinos Juniors's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentinos Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (2.25)
    2.99
    (3.3)
    2.33
    (3.1)
    5%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 35.4%82.2%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensa y Justicia (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Argentinos Juniors (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.25 - Defensa y Justicia (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensa y Justicia (votes: 4 - 50%). Argentinos Juniors (votes: 4 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2.
    • In recent matches, Defensa y Justicia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Argentinos Juniors is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Argentinos Juniors could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Hausch A. (Muscle Injury) Perez C. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Antoni M. (Inactive) Gimenez M. (Knee Injury) Palacio T. (Inactive) Sanchez L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Defensa y Justicia: Miritello J. B. (Illness)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 4:1
    07.11.2024 Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors 2:1
    20.04.2024 Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 2:1
    23.06.2023 Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia 3:1
    15.09.2022 Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors 2:1
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    Latest results of Argentinos Juniors
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1555523:19420
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)