Arsenal Sarandí vs Defensa y Justicia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional Arsenal Sarandí - Defensa y Justicia
Result
1:0
30/09/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: COPA DE LA LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 7
  • Referee: Acita F. (Arg)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arsenal Sarandí
35.3%
Draw
30.7%
Defensa y Justicia
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 28.5% 42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1% 27.7% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal Sarandí's performance.
  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensa y Justicia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Sarandí that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensa y Justicia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arsenal Sarandí - Defensa y Justicia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (3.23)
    3.09
    (3.28)
    2.76
    (2.2)
    5.9%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Arsenal Sarandí - Defensa y Justicia?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1%83.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa de la Liga Profesional (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 1.
    • Arsenal Sarandí is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Defensa y Justicia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Defensa y Justicia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Arsenal Sarandí have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-10.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal Sarandí - Defensa y Justicia were as follows:
    06.07.2023 Arsenal Sarandí - Defensa y Justicia 1:2
    Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1River PlateBoca Juniors2 : 3
    2Estudiantes L.P.Barracas Central3 : 0
    3Godoy CruzVelez Sarsfield1 : 2
    4Argentinos JrsDefensa y Justicia2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Boca JuniorsEstudiantes L.P.1 : 2
    2Velez SarsfieldArgentinos Jrs1 : 0

    Final
    1Estudiantes L.P.Velez Sarsfield2 : 1