Central Norte vs Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/08/2024 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 3

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Central Norte
61.7%
Draw
26.8%
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.4% 29.7% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 28.5% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Central Norte's performance.
  • Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Central Norte that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Central Norte - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.7)
    3.37
    (3)
    7.88
    (5)
    10.6%
    (12.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Central Norte could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Central Norte is a favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Central Norte won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Central Norte won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Central Norte - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo were as follows:
    16.10.2022 Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Central Norte 0:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    3Villa Mitre (10)Guillermo Brown (15)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    4ByeSportivo Belgrano (1)
    5Cipolletti (12)Kimberley (13)0 : 0, 0 : 1
    6Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1)Juventud U.U. (24)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    7Independiente Chivilcoy (11)Douglas Haig (14)1 : 0, 2 : 4
    8Argentino MM (2)Bye
    9Juventud Antoniana (9)Boca Unidos (16)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    10Chivilcoy (2)El Linqueno (23)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    119 de Julio Rafaela (7)Germinal (18)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    12Deportivo Rincon (4)Sportivo Las Parejas (21)5 : 0, 0 : 2
    13Costa Brava (8)Bartolome Mitre (17)0 : 0, 1 : 1
    14San Martin Formosa (3)Sol de Mayo (22)1 : 0, 1 : 2
    15Biblioteca Atenas (6)Sarmiento Resistencia (19)4 : 0, 1 : 0
    16Sarmiento de La Banda (5)San Martin Mendoza (20)1 : 1, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    2Guillermo Brown (14)Sportivo Belgrano (1)0 : 1, 2 : 0
    3Kimberley (12)Olimpo Bahia Blanca (3)1 : 3, 1 : 1
    4Douglas Haig (13)Argentino MM (2)1 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Juventud Antoniana (11)Chivilcoy (4)1 : 2, 0 : 0
    69 de Julio Rafaela (9)Deportivo Rincon (6)0 : 0, 2 : 1
    7Costa Brava (10)San Martin Formosa (5)1 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Biblioteca Atenas (8)Sarmiento de La Banda (7)1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Guillermo Brown (8)1 : 0, 2 : 1
    2Olimpo Bahia Blanca (2)Douglas Haig (7)0 : 1, 0 : 5
    3Chivilcoy (3)9 de Julio Rafaela (6)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4San Martin Formosa (4)Biblioteca Atenas (5)3 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Douglas Haig (7)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    29 de Julio Rafaela (6)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 4, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 0, 1 : 0