Defensores de Belgrano vs Nueva Chicago – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 18:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 22

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
37
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
10
Total shots
37
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
13
Corner Kicks
64
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', Pons F. 🟨,
  • 19', Mendez E. 🟨,
  • 29', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 30', Correa L. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Maggi I. ,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Pons F. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', Correa L. 🟨,
  • 50', Moyano P. , Rodriguez F. ,
  • 66', Ortiz S. 🟨,
  • 75', Nouet F. , Ortiz M. ,
  • 75', Ortiz S. , Mendoza J. ,
  • 76', Aguirre E. , Gonzalez E. ,
  • 77', Pons F. , Villalba G. ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Mendez E. ,
  • 87', Laba M. , Sanchez C. ,
  • 87', Gutierrez I. , Pugliese G. ,
  • 89', Molinas I. A. , Almaraz A. ,
  • 89', Maggi I. , Abello D. ,
  • 90+5', Arroyo D. , Motroni J. ,

Chances of winning


Defensores de Belgrano
44.8%
Draw
32.9%
Nueva Chicago
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 27.9% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 27.3% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensores de Belgrano's form might have worsened.
  • Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores de Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Defensores de Belgrano - Nueva Chicago Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.73)
    2.84
    (3.35)
    4.17
    (5.2)
    7.4%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 1.
    • Defensores is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Nueva Chicago has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Defensores may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Defensores is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.4:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensores won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.5:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensores de Belgrano - Nueva Chicago were as follows:
    10.03.2025 Nueva Chicago - Defensores de Belgrano 0:0
    30.06.2024 Nueva Chicago - Defensores de Belgrano 0:0
    11.02.2024 Defensores de Belgrano - Nueva Chicago 1:0
    06.10.2023 Nueva Chicago - Defensores de Belgrano 2:1
    30.05.2023 Defensores de Belgrano - Nueva Chicago 0:0
    Latest results of Nueva Chicago
    06.07.2025 Nueva Chicago - Mitre 2:0
    23.06.2025 Nueva Chicago - Colón 1:0
    15.06.2025 San Telmo - Nueva Chicago 2:2
    02.06.2025 Nueva Chicago - Temperley 0:1
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Acassuso22005:056
    2Ferro21103:124
    3Colon Santa Fe21102:114
    4Almirante Brown21102:114
    5San Miguel21102:114
    6All Boys21013:303
    7CA Mitre21012:203
    8Racing Cordoba21011:3-23
    9Godoy Cruz20202:202
    10Def. de Belgrano20202:202
    11Deportivo Moron20202:202
    12Ciudad Bolivar20202:202
    13Los Andes20201:102
    14Deportivo Madryn20112:3-11
    15Central Norte20110:1-11
    16San Telmo20112:4-21
    17Chaco For Ever20112:4-21
    18CA Estudiantes20020:2-20


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia y Tiro22004:226
    2Chacarita Juniors21104:224
    3San Martin S.J21103:214
    4Nueva Chicago21101:014
    5San Martin T21101:014
    6Temperley21101:014
    7Deportivo Maipu21013:303
    8Colegiales21012:203
    9Agropecuario21012:203
    10Atletico Atlanta21011:103
    11Gimnasia Jujuy21013:4-13
    12Tristan Suarez20200:002
    13Almagro20110:1-11
    14Atl. Rafaela20111:2-11
    15Patronato20111:2-11
    16Midland20111:2-11
    17Quilmes20110:1-11
    18Club A. Guemes20021:3-20

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