Alvarado vs Defensores Unidos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Alvarado - Defensores Unidos
Result
4:2
16/10/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 38

Chances of winning


Alvarado
45.6%
Draw
28.9%
Defensores Unidos
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 29.7% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 31% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alvarado's performance.
  • Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores Unidos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alvarado that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores Unidos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alvarado - Defensores Unidos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.41)
    3.22
    (3.05)
    3.66
    (2.78)
    7.5%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Alvarado - Defensores Unidos?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.4%99%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 12).
    • Alvarado is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Defensores Unidos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Alvarado will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - Defensores Unidos were as follows:
    04.06.2023 Defensores Unidos - Alvarado 0:0
    Latest results of Alvarado
    06.10.2023 Guillermo Brown - Alvarado 2:0
    24.09.2023 Club Almagro - Alvarado 1:1
    17.09.2023 Alvarado - San Telmo 1:0
    09.09.2023 Temperley - Alvarado 2:1
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn281311440:241650
    2Atletico Atlanta281211527:19847
    3San Martin T271110625:20543
    4San Miguel281110728:24443
    5Patronato28119829:24542
    6Tristan Suarez28914524:19541
    7Gimnasia y Tiro281010823:17640
    8Deportivo Maipu28910926:26037
    9Los Andes28991027:25236
    10Racing Cordoba288101032:36-434
    11Colegiales28971217:22-534
    12Quilmes27891027:27033
    13All Boys27712822:22033
    14Almagro287111021:25-432
    15Ferro28791217:29-1230
    16Club A. Guemes28415924:31-727
    17Alvarado275121017:24-727
    18Arsenal Sarandi28691328:40-1227


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Mendoza271410329:131652
    2Gimnasia Jujuy281312331:131851
    3Estudiantes Rio Cuarto281211529:181147
    4Deportivo Moron271210529:161346
    5Chacarita Juniors281210633:211246
    6CA Estudiantes28136930:191145
    7Temperley281112524:18645
    8Chaco For Ever281351029:24544
    9Agropecuario28109932:32039
    10Def. de Belgrano28811923:23035
    11CA Mitre28981122:22035
    12San Telmo28811925:32-735
    13Nueva Chicago28891124:27-333
    14Central Norte28961323:30-733
    15Colon Santa Fe28841621:34-1328
    16Almirante Brown285111221:31-1026
    17Talleres (R.E)28451913:34-2117
    18Defensores Unidos282101616:47-3116

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