Alvarado vs Defensores Unidos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Alvarado - Defensores Unidos
Result
4:2
16/10/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 38

Chances of winning


Alvarado
45.6%
Draw
28.9%
Defensores Unidos
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 29.7% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 31% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alvarado's performance.
  • Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores Unidos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alvarado that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores Unidos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alvarado - Defensores Unidos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.41)
    3.22
    (3.05)
    3.66
    (2.78)
    7.5%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Alvarado - Defensores Unidos?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.4%99%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 12).
    • Alvarado is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Defensores Unidos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Alvarado will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - Defensores Unidos were as follows:
    04.06.2023 Defensores Unidos - Alvarado 0:0
    Latest results of Alvarado
    06.10.2023 Guillermo Brown - Alvarado 2:0
    24.09.2023 Club Almagro - Alvarado 1:1
    17.09.2023 Alvarado - San Telmo 1:0
    09.09.2023 Temperley - Alvarado 2:1
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn251110433:211243
    2Atletico Atlanta24119423:15842
    3San Martin T24109522:16639
    4Tristan Suarez25912422:16639
    5San Miguel25109626:21539
    6Patronato25108728:23538
    7Gimnasia y Tiro2599722:15736
    8Deportivo Maipu2489723:22133
    9Los Andes25871025:24131
    10Almagro2579920:22-230
    11Racing Cordoba2579929:34-530
    12Colegiales25861115:21-630
    13Quilmes2369823:23027
    14All Boys25512819:21-227
    15Ferro25691015:25-1027
    16Club A. Guemes25414721:26-526
    17Alvarado24591016:23-724
    18Arsenal Sarandi25491224:38-1421


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy251210328:121646
    2Gimnasia Mendoza241210225:111446
    3Chacarita Juniors25127632:201243
    4Chaco For Ever25134828:19943
    5Temperley25119523:17642
    6Estudiantes Rio Cuarto251011425:151041
    7Deportivo Moron23109425:131239
    8CA Estudiantes25116826:18839
    9Nueva Chicago2588923:24-132
    10Agropecuario2588928:30-232
    11CA Mitre25871017:19-231
    12San Telmo25710824:29-531
    13Def. de Belgrano2479819:19030
    14Central Norte25841322:30-828
    15Colon Santa Fe25831420:31-1127
    16Almirante Brown25591120:29-924
    17Defensores Unidos25291414:42-2815
    18Talleres (R.E)2525189:30-2111

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation