Alvarado vs Defensores Unidos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
16/10/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 38

Chances of winning


Alvarado
45.6%
Draw
28.9%
Defensores Unidos
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 29.7% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 31% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alvarado's performance.
  • Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores Unidos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alvarado that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores Unidos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alvarado - Defensores Unidos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.41)
    3.22
    (3.05)
    3.66
    (2.78)
    7.5%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Alvarado - Defensores Unidos?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.4%99%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 12).
    • Alvarado is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Defensores Unidos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Alvarado will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - Defensores Unidos were as follows:
    04.06.2023 Defensores Unidos - Alvarado 0:0
    Latest results of Alvarado
    06.10.2023 Guillermo Brown - Alvarado 2:0
    24.09.2023 Club Almagro - Alvarado 1:1
    17.09.2023 Alvarado - San Telmo 1:0
    09.09.2023 Temperley - Alvarado 2:1
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Acassuso22005:056
    2Ferro21103:124
    3Colon Santa Fe21102:114
    4Almirante Brown21102:114
    5San Miguel21102:114
    6All Boys21013:303
    7CA Mitre21012:203
    8Racing Cordoba21011:3-23
    9Godoy Cruz20202:202
    10Def. de Belgrano20202:202
    11Deportivo Moron20202:202
    12Ciudad Bolivar20202:202
    13Los Andes20201:102
    14Deportivo Madryn20112:3-11
    15Central Norte20110:1-11
    16San Telmo20112:4-21
    17Chaco For Ever20112:4-21
    18CA Estudiantes20020:2-20


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia y Tiro22004:226
    2Chacarita Juniors21104:224
    3San Martin S.J21103:214
    4Nueva Chicago21101:014
    5San Martin T21101:014
    6Temperley21101:014
    7Deportivo Maipu21013:303
    8Colegiales21012:203
    9Agropecuario21012:203
    10Atletico Atlanta21011:103
    11Gimnasia Jujuy21013:4-13
    12Tristan Suarez20200:002
    13Almagro20110:1-11
    14Atl. Rafaela20111:2-11
    15Patronato20111:2-11
    16Midland20111:2-11
    17Quilmes20110:1-11
    18Club A. Guemes20021:3-20

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