Result
4:2
16/10/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 38
Chances of winning
Alvarado
45.6% | Draw
28.9% | Defensores Unidos
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alvarado's performance.Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores Unidos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alvarado that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores Unidos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alvarado - Defensores Unidos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.41) |
3.22 ↑
(3.05) |
3.66 ↑
(2.78) |
7.5%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alvarado - Defensores Unidos?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.4% – 99%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 12).
- Alvarado is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Defensores Unidos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Alvarado will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against Defensores Unidos?
Alvarado has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensores Unidos won against Alvarado?
Defensores Unidos has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - Defensores Unidos were as follows:
04.06.2023
Defensores Unidos
-
Alvarado
0:0
Latest results of Alvarado
Latest results of Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Acassuso | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Def. de Belgrano | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | San Miguel | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | All Boys | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Racing Cordoba | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Godoy Cruz | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Ferro | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | CA Mitre | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Ciudad Bolivar | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Los Andes | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Deportivo Madryn | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | San Telmo | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 2 |
| 17 | Chaco For Ever | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | CA Estudiantes | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | San Martin T | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Nueva Chicago | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Atl. Rafaela | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Tristan Suarez | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Agropecuario | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Midland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Temperley | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Quilmes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Chacarita Juniors | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | San Martin S.J | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Club A. Guemes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Deportivo Maipu | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Colegiales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Almagro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Patronato | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
