Result
1:3
21/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 24
- Referee: Olofsson T. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 3, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (412/488) | 81% (348/432) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (412/488) | 81% (348/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (15/47) | 45% (28/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (103/148) | 69% (90/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.33 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Walta L. (Pen),
- 39', Lindberg M. 🟨,
- 41', Haarala S. 🟨,
- 41', Sandberg S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 55', Karlsson K. ↓, Barsoum E. ↑,
- 55', Pikkarainen J. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Rafferty M. ⚽,
- 65', Lindberg M. ↓, Svensson V. ↑,
- 65', Omorowa R. ↓, Ohlsson S. ↑,
- 76', Ure R. ↓, Milleskog N. ↑,
- 76', Sandberg S. ↓, Milovanov B. ↑,
- 81', Haarala S. ↓, Vukojevic D. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Vukojevic D. ⚽, Hien L. (A),
- 90+2', 1 - 3, Ndinga P. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sirius
65.2% | Draw
20.6% | Degerfors
14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sirius's performance.Degerfors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Degerfors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sirius that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Degerfors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sirius - Degerfors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.66) |
4.68 ↑
(4.3) |
7.19 ↑
(4.2) |
2.7%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sirius - Degerfors?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Sirius will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Degerfors will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sirius: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sirius (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 3.
- Sirius is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Degerfors has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Degerfors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sirius is the team to beat.
- There are questionable in Degerfors: Pikkarainen J.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Sirius will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:8. (average 1.9:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sirius won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:3. (average 2.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sirius won against Degerfors?
Sirius has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Degerfors won against Sirius?
Degerfors has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sirius - Degerfors were as follows:
03.05.2025
Degerfors
-
Sirius
1:1
01.10.2023
Sirius
-
Degerfors
3:2
15.07.2023
Degerfors
-
Sirius
0:3
08.10.2022
Degerfors
-
Sirius
0:0
Latest results of Degerfors
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 44:17 | 27 | 57 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 49:24 | 25 | 49 |
| 3 | AIK | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 31:23 | 8 | 43 |
| 4 | GAIS | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 35:23 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Goteborg | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 33:29 | 4 | 41 |
| 6 | Malmo FF | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 36:21 | 15 | 39 |
| 7 | Djurgarden | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:23 | 9 | 38 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 39:36 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Brommapojkarna | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 37:37 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Norrkoping | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37:45 | -8 | 29 |
| 11 | Sirius | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 36:39 | -3 | 26 |
| 12 | Hacken | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 26 |
| 13 | Halmstad | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 20:44 | -24 | 25 |
| 14 | Oster | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 22 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 24:46 | -22 | 19 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 27:49 | -22 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
