Sirius vs Degerfors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Allsvenskan Sirius - Degerfors
Result
1:3
21/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 24
  • Referee: Olofsson T. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 3, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.62
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
60
Passes
84% (412/488)81% (348/432)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.201.67
Total shots
910
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
60
Touches in opposition box
2725
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
916
Passes
84% (412/488)81% (348/432)
Long passes
32% (15/47)45% (28/62)
Passes in final third
70% (103/148)69% (90/131)
Crosses
29% (6/21)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.83
Throw-ins
1511
Fouls
169
Tackles
50% (6/12)79% (15/19)
Duels won
4057
Clearances
2918
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.671.20
Goals prevented
-1.330.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Walta L. (Pen),
  • 39', Lindberg M. 🟨,
  • 41', Haarala S. 🟨,
  • 41', Sandberg S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 55', Karlsson K. , Barsoum E. ,
  • 55', Pikkarainen J. , Moro N. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Rafferty M. ,
  • 65', Lindberg M. , Svensson V. ,
  • 65', Omorowa R. , Ohlsson S. ,
  • 76', Ure R. , Milleskog N. ,
  • 76', Sandberg S. , Milovanov B. ,
  • 81', Haarala S. , Vukojevic D. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Vukojevic D. , Hien L. (A),
  • 90+2', 1 - 3, Ndinga P. ,

Chances of winning


Sirius
65.2%
Draw
20.6%
Degerfors
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 21.7% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 20.7% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sirius's performance.
  • Degerfors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Degerfors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sirius that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Degerfors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sirius - Degerfors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.66)
    4.68
    (4.3)
    7.19
    (4.2)
    2.7%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Sirius - Degerfors?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sirius will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Degerfors will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sirius: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sirius (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 3.
    • Sirius is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Degerfors has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Degerfors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sirius is the team to beat.
    • There are questionable in Degerfors: Pikkarainen J. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Sirius will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:8. (average 1.9:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sirius won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:3. (average 2.4:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sirius - Degerfors were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Degerfors - Sirius 1:1
    01.10.2023 Sirius - Degerfors 3:2
    15.07.2023 Degerfors - Sirius 0:3
    08.10.2022 Degerfors - Sirius 0:0
    Latest results of Sirius
    14.09.2025 Sirius - GAIS 3:0
    31.08.2025 AIK - Sirius 2:1
    24.08.2025 Sirius - Hammarby 3:1
    20.08.2025 Piteå - Sirius 0:5
    17.08.2025 Brommapojkarna - Sirius 2:4
    Latest results of Degerfors
    13.09.2025 Degerfors - Mjällby 0:1
    31.08.2025 Malmö - Degerfors 1:1
    24.08.2025 Degerfors - AIK 0:1
    21.08.2025 Enköping - Degerfors 1:2
    18.08.2025 Värnamo - Degerfors 3:2
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby26196147:173063
    2Hammarby26164651:262552
    3Malmo FF27129642:281445
    4GAIS26129538:251345
    5AIK26128634:27744
    6Goteborg261421036:31544
    7Djurgarden26119641:261542
    8Elfsborg261141140:40037
    9Hacken27961239:46-733
    10Sirius27861344:49-530
    11Brommapojkarna26921538:41-329
    12Norrkoping27851438:51-1329
    13Halmstad26841421:47-2628
    14Oster26671325:37-1225
    15Degerfors26651527:48-2123
    16Varnamo26361732:54-2215

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan