Result
3:2
18/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 20
- Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 1, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (344/434) | 75% (258/343) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 1.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (344/434) | 75% (258/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (23/59) | 39% (22/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (63/105) | 58% (63/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 15% (5/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 38 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (17/24) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Zeljkovic A. (Pen),
- 12', Mohammed R. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Ohlsson S. ⚽,
- 43', Rapp J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Girmai N. ↓, Ohlsson S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Barsoum E. ↓, Lundgren M. ↑,
- 46', Rapp J. ↓, Larsson V. ↑,
- 46', Johansson C. ↓, Antonsson M. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 1, Mohammed R. ⚽, Grozdanic E. (A),
- 62', Shamoun N. ↓, Alsalkhadi M. ↑,
- 69', Moro N. 🟨,
- 71', 2 - 2, Sundgren D. ⚽,
- 77', 3 - 2, Antonsson M. ⚽, Bjornstrom A. (A),
- 78', Rafferty M. ↓, Salifu Z. ↑,
- 80', Bjornstrom A. ↓, Coulibaly S. ↑,
- 80', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Andersson H. ↑,
- 83', Ohlsson S. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,
- 90+2', Diaby M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Värnamo
41.7% | Draw
26.5% | Degerfors
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Degerfors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Värnamo - Degerfors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(2.4) |
3.63 ↑
(3.6) |
3.09 ↑
(2.63) |
4.1%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Värnamo - Degerfors?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Värnamo will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Degerfors will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Värnamo: 57.7% – 92.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Värnamo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 1.
- Recent performances by Värnamo have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Degerfors's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Värnamo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Degerfors: Morgado B.
(Inactive)
Pikkarainen J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Degerfors: Barsoum E.
(Injury)
Omorowa R.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Värnamo won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Värnamo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against Degerfors?
Värnamo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Degerfors won against Värnamo?
Degerfors has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Värnamo - Degerfors were as follows:
06.04.2025
Degerfors
-
Värnamo
1:0
22.02.2025
Värnamo
-
Degerfors
2:3
14.08.2023
Värnamo
-
Degerfors
0:1
01.07.2023
Degerfors
-
Värnamo
0:2
29.10.2022
Degerfors
-
Värnamo
0:0
Latest results of Värnamo
Latest results of Degerfors
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 42:16 | 26 | 53 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 45 |
| 3 | AIK | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 28:19 | 9 | 40 |
| 4 | Malmo FF | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:18 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | GAIS | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 38 |
| 6 | Goteborg | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 31:27 | 4 | 38 |
| 7 | Elfsborg | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 36 |
| 8 | Djurgarden | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28:20 | 8 | 34 |
| 9 | Brommapojkarna | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 | Hacken | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 33:43 | -10 | 25 |
| 12 | Sirius | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Halmstad | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
| 14 | Oster | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 17:31 | -14 | 18 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 16 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
