Result
1:0
18/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (409/480) | 80% (303/379) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (409/480) | 80% (303/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (26/49) | 43% (33/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (107/150) | 58% (42/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Blanc G. ⚽, Paz F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Reyes M. ↓, Ratotti F. ↑,
- 46', Castro L. ↓, Molinas I. A. ↑,
- 56', Zuniga E. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
- 57', Rubio E. ↓, Mendoza E. ↑,
- 66', Miranda M. ↓, Chamba T. ↑,
- 67', Posse F. ↓, Ferro L. ↑,
- 69', Heredia G. 🟨,
- 71', Perinciolo F. ↓, Ushina K. ↑,
- 76', Mohor J. ↓, Ayala M. ↑,
- 84', Paz F. ↓, Caicedo C. ↑,
- 84', Blanc G. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
- 90+3', Bedoya A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Ferro L. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Deportivo Macará
54.3% | Draw
27.8% | Delfín
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Deportivo Macará - Delfín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.82) |
3.31 ↑
(3.17) |
5.1 ↑
(4.56) |
8.6%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - Delfín?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Macará will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Delfín will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Macará: 47.7% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportivo Macará will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 2.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Delfín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Delfín has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Macará is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Macará won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Delfín?
Deportivo Macará has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against Deportivo Macará?
Delfín has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Delfín were as follows:
23.11.2025
Deportivo Macará
-
Delfín
3:0
18.10.2025
Delfín
-
Deportivo Macará
0:4
10.08.2025
Deportivo Macará
-
Delfín
0:0
20.04.2025
Delfín
-
Deportivo Macará
0:0
07.10.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
Delfín
0:2
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Macara | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Libertad | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Barcelona SC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Delfin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Tecnico U | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Guayaquil City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | Manta | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Aucas | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mushuc Runa | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Leones del Norte | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | Orense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Emelec | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
