Delfín vs LDU Quito – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Jocay (Manta).

Liga Pro - Round 8
Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.73	0.58
Ball possession
28%	72%
Total shots
12	7
Shots on target
5	3
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
2	11
Passes
61% (105/172)	80% (345/430)
Yellow cards
5	2
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.73	0.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.49	0.16
Total shots
12	7
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked shots
1	1
Shots inside the box
6	4
Shots outside the box
6	3
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
2	11
Touches in opposition box
12	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
15	14
Passes
61% (105/172)	80% (345/430)
Long passes
35% (18/51)	46% (24/52)
Passes in final third
39% (25/64)	61% (71/116)
Crosses
25% (2/8)	13% (4/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.35	0.58
Throw ins
14	25
Fouls
14	15
Tackles
93% (13/14)	50% (8/16)
Duels won
49	50
Clearances
57	18
Interceptions
10	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	3
xGOT faced
0.16	0.49
Goals prevented
0.16	-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Zubeldia J. 🟥,
14', 1 - 0, Mendoza E. ⚽,
24', Luna Tobar C. 🟨,
27', Perinciolo F. 🟨,
44', Castillo Saa J. L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Medina J. ↓, Corozo J. ↑,
46', Pretell J. ↓, Cornejo F. ↑,
46', Luna Tobar C. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
46', Quinonez L. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
46', Perinciolo F. ↓, Cabeza E. ↑,
54', Heras B. 🟨,
68', Cavallaro J. ↓, Ratotti F. ↑,
70', Segovia L. 🟨,
74', Rubio E. 🟨,
82', Mendoza E. ↓, Morocho J. ↑,
82', Cuero Mercado J. W. ↓, Redes R. ↑,
84', Cabeza E. 🟨,
90', Ayunta F. ↓, Ushina K. ↑,

Chances of winning

Delfín
31.5%

Draw
29.8%

LDU Quito
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

24.6%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

24%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Delfín's performance.

LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and LDU Quito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Delfín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Quito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Delfín - LDU Quito Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.92)	3.12 ↓ (3.8)	2.39 ↑ (1.81)	7.4% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Delfín - LDU Quito?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Delfín will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). LDU Quito will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 1.
Delfín has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
LDU Quito is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Delfín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
LDU Quito is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Delfín won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against LDU Quito?

Delfín has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Delfín?

LDU Quito has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Delfín - LDU Quito were as follows:

06.07.2025 Delfín - LDU Quito 0:4

08.03.2025 LDU Quito - Delfín 3:0

29.09.2024 Delfín - LDU Quito 3:2

15.04.2024 LDU Quito - Delfín 2:1

08.10.2023 Delfín - LDU Quito 0:0

Latest results of Delfín

05.04.2026 Leones del Norte - Delfín 1:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Delfín - Libertad Loja 0:0 ✺

18.03.2026 Deportivo Macará - Delfín 1:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Delfín - Manta 0:1 ✺

06.03.2026 Delfín - Guayaquil City 1:0 ✺

Latest results of LDU Quito

07.04.2026 Always Ready - LDU Quito 0:1 ✺

03.04.2026 LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:2 ✺

21.03.2026 LDU Quito - Manta 1:0 ✺

17.03.2026 Leones del Norte - LDU Quito 0:2 ✺

14.03.2026 LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	11	8	1	2	19:11	8	25
2	U. Catolica	11	6	4	1	19:5	14	22
3	Aucas	11	5	4	2	12:8	4	19
4	Barcelona SC	11	5	4	2	12:9	3	19
5	Guayaquil City	11	5	3	3	10:10	0	18
6	Mushuc Runa	11	4	4	3	15:12	3	16
7	Macara	11	4	4	3	12:10	2	16
8	LDU Quito	11	4	2	5	9:10	-1	14
9	Dep. Cuenca	11	4	2	5	12:15	-3	14
10	Emelec	11	4	2	5	9:13	-4	14
11	Orense	11	3	4	4	15:16	-1	13
12	Delfin	11	3	3	5	4:6	-2	12
13	Tecnico U	11	3	2	6	8:11	-3	11
14	Leones del Norte	11	2	4	5	8:12	-4	10
15	Libertad	11	2	4	5	8:14	-6	10
16	Manta	11	2	1	8	3:13	-10	7

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )