Result
0:0
01/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 27
- Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (337/428) | 68% (183/271) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (337/428) | 68% (183/271) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (28/74) | 33% (18/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (82/127) | 42% (26/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (10/36) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Burdisso M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Perez Tica J. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
- 64', Batalla H. ↓, Reyes M. ↑,
- 65', Vega E. 🟨,
- 69', Arboleda C. ↓, Monaga J. ↑,
- 77', Nazareno J. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
- 78', Quinonez O. 🟨,
- 81', Bravo J. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
- 81', Ayovi W. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
- 90', Cuero Q. C. A. ↓, Zuniga E. ↑,
- 90+1', Cuello B. ↓, Vivar J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Delfín
41.9% | Draw
28.5% | Libertad Loja
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Delfín's performance.Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Libertad Loja might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Delfín that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Libertad Loja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Delfín - Libertad Loja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.61) |
3.24 ↑
(3.2) |
3.11 ↑
(2.61) |
7.9%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Delfín - Libertad Loja?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Delfín will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Delfín has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Libertad has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Delfín could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Delfín won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against Libertad Loja?
Delfín has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Delfín?
Libertad Loja has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Delfín - Libertad Loja were as follows:
10.05.2025
Libertad Loja
-
Delfín
0:1
31.08.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Delfín
2:0
25.03.2024
Delfín
-
Libertad Loja
1:1
17.08.2023
Libertad Loja
-
Delfín
1:3
18.03.2023
Delfín
-
Libertad Loja
3:2
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 45 |
| 9 | Macara | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 35:32 | 3 | 41 |
| 10 | Aucas | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 41 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:48 | -14 | 35 |
| 12 | Delfin | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 28:44 | -16 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
