Delfín vs Libertad Loja – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Delfín
41.6%
Draw
30.5%
Libertad Loja
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 28.8% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 28.4% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Delfín - Libertad Loja Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.07)
    2.99
    (3.24)
    3.31
    (3.59)
    8.7%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Delfín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Delfín will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Delfín won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Delfín - Libertad Loja were as follows:
    01.09.2025 Delfín - Libertad Loja 0:0
    10.05.2025 Libertad Loja - Delfín 0:1
    31.08.2024 Libertad Loja - Delfín 2:0
    25.03.2024 Delfín - Libertad Loja 1:1
    17.08.2023 Libertad Loja - Delfín 1:3
    Latest results of Delfín
    14.03.2026 Delfín - Manta 0:1
    06.03.2026 Delfín - Guayaquil City 1:0
    28.02.2026 Emelec - Delfín 1:1
    22.02.2026 Delfín - Deportivo Cuenca 1:0
    Latest results of Libertad Loja
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle43109:3610
    2Macara52304:139
    3U. Catolica42205:148
    4Libertad52215:418
    5Barcelona SC52213:218
    6LDU Quito52126:607
    7Dep. Cuenca52124:407
    8Delfin52123:307
    9Tecnico U41214:405
    10Guayaquil City51222:4-25
    11Manta51132:5-34
    12Aucas40314:5-13
    13Mushuc Runa40312:4-23
    14Leones del Norte50322:7-53
    15Orense40224:6-22
    16Emelec31113:301

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )