Result
0:1
10/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (308/392) | 64% (156/245) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (308/392) | 64% (156/245) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (31/58) | 42% (31/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (76/128) | 53% (51/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 47 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (17/20) | 79% (19/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.92 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Levato M. ⚽,
- 44', Cuello B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Verges J. ↓, Avila D. ↑,
- 46', Monaga J. ↓, Quinonez O. ↑,
- 55', Caicedo E. 🟥,
- 61', Cuero Mercado J. W. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
- 67', Gallardo N. 🟨,
- 70', Gallardo N. 🟨,
- 73', Zicarelli F. ↓, Mendoza E. ↑,
- 73', Levato M. ↓, Cagua G. ↑,
- 79', Montano J. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
- 87', Cuello B. ↓, Reyes M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Libertad Loja
57.4% | Draw
24.3% | Delfín
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Libertad Loja's performance.Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Libertad Loja - Delfín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.8) |
3.8 ↑
(3.4) |
5.08 ↑
(4.41) |
7.3%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Delfín?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Delfín will win (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Delfín (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- Libertad has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Delfín is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Libertad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Libertad is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Delfín?
Libertad Loja has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against Libertad Loja?
Delfín has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Delfín were as follows:
31.08.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Delfín
2:0
25.03.2024
Delfín
-
Libertad Loja
1:1
17.08.2023
Libertad Loja
-
Delfín
1:3
18.03.2023
Delfín
-
Libertad Loja
3:2
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 40:22 | 18 | 43 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Orense | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 37 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | Aucas | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 7 | U. Catolica | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 34 |
| 8 | Libertad | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 34 |
| 9 | Emelec | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
| 14 | Manta | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 30:41 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Tecnico U | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25:41 | -16 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
