Delfín vs Libertad Loja – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Jocay (Manta).

Liga Pro - Round 27
Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.08	0.22
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
13	4
Shots on target
4	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
79% (337/428)	68% (183/271)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08	0.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.19	0.00
Total shots
13	4
Shots on target
4	0
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
9	2
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
22	10
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
11	12
Passes
79% (337/428)	68% (183/271)
Long passes
38% (28/74)	33% (18/55)
Passes in final third
65% (82/127)	42% (26/62)
Crosses
28% (10/36)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.07	0.48
Throw-ins
22	25
Fouls
13	10
Tackles
31% (5/16)	50% (7/14)
Duels won
63	54
Clearances
19	28
Interceptions
4	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
xGOT faced
0.00	1.19
Goals prevented
0.00	1.19

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Burdisso M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Perez Tica J. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
64', Batalla H. ↓, Reyes M. ↑,
65', Vega E. 🟨,
69', Arboleda C. ↓, Monaga J. ↑,
77', Nazareno J. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
78', Quinonez O. 🟨,
81', Bravo J. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
81', Ayovi W. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
90', Cuero Q. C. A. ↓, Zuniga E. ↑,
90+1', Cuello B. ↓, Vivar J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Delfín
41.9%

Draw
28.5%

Libertad Loja
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

28.9%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

28.8%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Delfín's performance.

Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Libertad Loja might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Delfín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Libertad Loja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Delfín - Libertad Loja Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.61)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	3.11 ↑ (2.61)	7.9% (8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Delfín - Libertad Loja?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Delfín will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
Delfín has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Libertad has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Delfín could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Delfín won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against Libertad Loja?

Delfín has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Delfín?

Libertad Loja has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Delfín - Libertad Loja were as follows:

10.05.2025 Libertad Loja - Delfín 0:1

31.08.2024 Libertad Loja - Delfín 2:0

25.03.2024 Delfín - Libertad Loja 1:1

17.08.2023 Libertad Loja - Delfín 1:3

18.03.2023 Delfín - Libertad Loja 3:2

Latest results of Delfín

25.08.2025 Orense - Delfín 3:1 ✺

15.08.2025 Delfín - El Nacional 0:3 ✺

10.08.2025 Deportivo Macará - Delfín 0:0 ✺

04.08.2025 Delfín - Vinotinto 3:3 ✺

26.07.2025 SD Aucas - Delfín 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Libertad Loja

22.08.2025 Libertad Loja - SD Aucas 3:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja 1:2 ✺

03.08.2025 Libertad Loja - Emelec 1:2 ✺

25.07.2025 El Nacional - Libertad Loja 2:2 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle ✔	28	18	8	2	53:21	32	62
2	Barcelona SC ✔	28	15	5	8	44:32	12	50
3	LDU Quito	28	13	9	6	43:26	17	48
4	Dep. Cuenca	28	13	7	8	34:26	8	46
5	Orense	28	13	6	9	34:32	2	45
6	U. Catolica	28	11	10	7	52:36	16	43
7	Libertad	28	11	9	8	40:35	5	42
8	Aucas	28	11	6	11	37:40	-3	39
9	Emelec	28	10	8	10	26:34	-8	38
10	Macara	28	8	10	10	28:28	0	34
11	EL Nacional	28	9	7	12	32:37	-5	34
12	Delfin	28	6	12	10	26:41	-15	30
13	Manta	28	5	11	12	32:46	-14	26
14	Tecnico U	28	6	7	15	24:43	-19	25
15	Vinotinto	28	6	6	16	30:41	-11	24
16	Mushuc Runa ✔	28	6	5	17	31:48	-17	23

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )