Result
1:3
31/01/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mineiro - Round 6
- Referee: Teixeira A. (Bra)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (375/448) | 74% (193/261) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 2.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (375/448) | 74% (193/261) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (21/44) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (73/113) | 60% (42/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.58 | 1.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Yuri Merlim ⚽,
- 24', Bernardo 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 2, Tiago Marques ⚽,
- 35', Richard Luca ↓, Marcio Jonatan ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lucas Mota ↓, Wellisson ↑,
- 46', Marcelinho ↓, Bismarck ↑,
- 46', Dudu Pedrotti ↓, Mauricio Ferreira ↑,
- 46', Rafael Klein ↓, Marcos ↑,
- 56', Bismarck ↓, Pedro Silva ↑,
- 88', Tiago Marques ↓, Gabriel Rossetto ↑,
- 88', Camacho ↓, Ferreira ↑,
- 90+14', Elton ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
- 90+22', 1 - 2, Marcio Jonatan (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+24', Evanderson ↓, Diego Guerra ↑,
- 90+29', Ferreira 🟨,
- 90+38', 1 - 3, Gabriel Rossetto ⚽,
- 90+39', Serginho ↓, Rodrigo Fumaca ↑,
Chances of winning
Democrata GV
26.4% | Draw
30.2% | North Esporte Clube
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Democrata GV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Democrata GV's form might have worsened.North Esporte Clube has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting North Esporte Clube's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Democrata GV than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Democrata GV, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Esporte Clube than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for North Esporte Clube, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Democrata GV - North Esporte Clube Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.5 ↑
(2.4) |
3.06 ↑
(3) |
2.14 ↓
(2.85) |
8.1%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Democrata GV - North Esporte Clube?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Democrata GV (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- North could have a small edge in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Democrata GV won against North Esporte Clube?
Democrata GV has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has North Esporte Clube won against Democrata GV?
North Esporte Clube has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Democrata GV - North Esporte Clube were as follows:
Latest results of Democrata GV
Latest results of North Esporte Clube
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Pouso Alegre | Cruzeiro | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | America MG | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Final
