Tombense vs Democrata GV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
25/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Mineiro - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.501.13
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
238
Shots on target
73
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
23
Passes
87% (479/552)81% (262/322)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
2.501.13
xG on target (xGOT)
2.341.31
Total shots
238
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
65
Blocked shots
100
Shots inside the box
144
Shots outside the box
94
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
347
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1614
Passes
87% (479/552)81% (262/322)
Long passes
52% (29/56)51% (25/49)
Passes in final third
76% (132/173)62% (55/89)
Crosses
7% (1/14)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.470.31
Throw ins
1318
Fouls
1416
Tackles
67% (8/12)45% (5/11)
Duels won
5335
Clearances
1821
Interceptions
1411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
1.312.34
Goals prevented
1.310.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Lucas Evangelista , Marcos ,
  • 52', Julio Henrique 🟨,
  • 54', Dyego , Cleiton ,
  • 57', Dudu Pedrotti , Mauricio Ferreira ,
  • 57', Bismarck , Marcio Jonatan ,
  • 58', 1 - 0, Cleiton ,
  • 64', Cleiton 🟨,
  • 65', Leo Dourado , Marcelinho ,
  • 65', Marco Antonio , Elton ,
  • 73', Pedro Oliveira , Felipinho ,
  • 73', Julio Henrique , Auro ,
  • 73', Julio Cesar , Jupi ,
  • 74', Joao Vitor , Rony Fernandes ,
  • 80', 2 - 0, Rafinha ,
  • 88', Bernardo 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tombense
42.8%
Draw
33.9%
Democrata GV
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 33.4% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Tombense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Democrata GV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Tombense - Democrata GV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.14)
    2.7
    (2.73)
    3.92
    (3.85)
    9.3%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Tombense - Democrata GV?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 2.
    • Recent performances by Tombense have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Democrata GV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tombense might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tombense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tombense - Democrata GV were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Democrata GV - Tombense 0:1
    07.02.2024 Democrata GV - Tombense 2:2
    Latest results of Tombense
    14.01.2026 Tombense - Cruzeiro 1:2
    10.01.2026 Uberlândia - Tombense 0:0
    30.12.2025 Tombense - Rio Branco-VN Canceled
    Latest results of Democrata GV
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Pouso AlegreCruzeiro0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Atletico-MGAmerica MG1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1CruzeiroAtletico-MG