Itabuna vs Democrata SL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Itabuna - Democrata SL
Result
1:1
13/06/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 8

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Sacramento M. ,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Rian ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 78', Fernando L. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Itabuna
53.7%
Draw
27.4%
Democrata SL
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 29.4% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 27.9% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Itabuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Itabuna's performance.
  • Democrata SL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabuna than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Democrata SL than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Itabuna - Democrata SL Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.87)
    3.3
    (3.07)
    4.79
    (4.01)
    10.5%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Itabuna - Democrata SL?
  • Users Predictions: Itabuna will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).
    • Itabuna is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Democrata SL is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Democrata SL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Itabuna is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Itabuna won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Itabuna - Democrata SL were as follows:
    09.06.2024 Democrata SL - Itabuna 0:2
    Latest results of Itabuna
    09.06.2024 Democrata SL - Itabuna 0:2
    02.06.2024 Itabuna - Serra 3:1
    25.05.2024 Itabuna - Nova Iguaçu 0:0
    18.05.2024 Portuguesa RJ - Itabuna 1:1
    12.05.2024 Itabuna - Audax Rio 1:0
    Latest results of Democrata SL
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2