Charleroi vs Dender EH – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Jupiler Pro League Charleroi - Dender EH
Result
3:1
30/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Jupiler Pro League - Round 6
  • Referee: De Cremer W. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumDAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
franceFranceDAZN France
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.820.60
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
83% (380/457)78% (361/464)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.820.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.840.84
Total shots
119
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2716
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
83% (380/457)78% (361/464)
Long passes
66% (55/83)29% (16/56)
Passes in final third
76% (112/148)53% (65/123)
Crosses
11% (2/19)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.93
Throw-ins
1325
Fouls
1214
Tackles
53% (9/17)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5846
Clearances
2217
Interceptions
156
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.841.84
Goals prevented
-0.16-1.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Guiagon P. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Ousou A. , Sow M. ,
  • 50', 2 - 0, Bernier A. , Guiagon P. (A),
  • 58', Nsimba B. , Kadiri J. A. ,
  • 58', Viltard M. , Oratmangoen R. ,
  • 65', Bernier A. 🟨,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Kadiri J. A. , De Fougerolles L. (A),
  • 68', Romsaas J. , Colassin A. ,
  • 68', Nzita M. , Gaudin J. ,
  • 72', Mbamba N. , Acquah D. ,
  • 75', Bernier A. , Van Den Kerkhof K. ,
  • 83', Fredrick B. , Koton K. ,
  • 83', De Fougerolles L. , Moutha-Sebtaoui N. ,
  • 86', Scheidler A. , Khalifi Y. ,
  • 88', 3 - 1, Guiagon P. , Camara E. (A),

Chances of winning


Charleroi
61.1%
Draw
25.7%
Dender EH
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 26.8% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 26.5% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charleroi's performance.
  • Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dender EH might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charleroi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dender EH could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Charleroi - Dender EH Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.78)
    4
    (3.55)
    8.1
    (4.85)
    -2.8%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Charleroi - Dender EH?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Charleroi (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Charleroi will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Dender EH may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Charleroi is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Dender EH: Berte M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dender EH: Dion M. S. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 4.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Dender EH were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Charleroi - Dender EH 4:1
    22.04.2025 Dender EH - Charleroi 2:1
    01.02.2025 Charleroi - Dender EH 5:0
    05.10.2024 Dender EH - Charleroi 1:0
    Latest results of Charleroi
    23.08.2025 Genk - Charleroi Postponed
    17.08.2025 Charleroi - Royal Antwerp 1:1
    03.08.2025 Charleroi - Sint-Truidense 1:1
    31.07.2025 Charleroi - Hammarby 1:2
    Latest results of Dender EH
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG642014:31114
    2St. Truiden642011:4714
    3KV Mechelen63219:7211
    4Club Brugge KV53117:4310
    5Anderlecht530211:749
    6Antwerp62318:719
    7Cercle Brugge KSV62228:628
    8Genk52128:807
    9St. Liege62135:9-47
    10Leuven62136:12-67
    11Westerlo52038:11-36
    12Charleroi51317:616
    13Gent51226:8-25
    14RAAL La Louviere61144:8-44
    15Waregem61147:12-54
    16Dender60242:9-72

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