Result
3:1
30/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 6
- Referee: De Cremer W. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
France | DAZN France |
United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.82 | 0.60 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
83% (380/457) | 78% (361/464) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.82 | 0.60 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.84 | 0.84 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
27 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
83% (380/457) | 78% (361/464) |
Long passes |
---|
66% (55/83) | 29% (16/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
76% (112/148) | 53% (65/123) |
Crosses |
---|
11% (2/19) | 22% (4/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.88 | 0.93 |
Throw-ins |
---|
13 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
53% (9/17) | 71% (12/17) |
Duels won |
---|
58 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
15 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.84 | 1.84 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.16 | -1.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Guiagon P. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Ousou A. ↓, Sow M. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 0, Bernier A. ⚽, Guiagon P. (A),
- 58', Nsimba B. ↓, Kadiri J. A. ↑,
- 58', Viltard M. ↓, Oratmangoen R. ↑,
- 65', Bernier A. 🟨,
- 67', 2 - 1, Kadiri J. A. ⚽, De Fougerolles L. (A),
- 68', Romsaas J. ↓, Colassin A. ↑,
- 68', Nzita M. ↓, Gaudin J. ↑,
- 72', Mbamba N. ↓, Acquah D. ↑,
- 75', Bernier A. ↓, Van Den Kerkhof K. ↑,
- 83', Fredrick B. ↓, Koton K. ↑,
- 83', De Fougerolles L. ↓, Moutha-Sebtaoui N. ↑,
- 86', Scheidler A. ↓, Khalifi Y. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 1, Guiagon P. ⚽, Camara E. (A),
Chances of winning
Charleroi 61.1% | Draw 25.7% | Dender EH 13.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charleroi's performance.Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dender EH might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charleroi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dender EH could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Charleroi - Dender EH Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.67 ↓ (1.78) |
4 ↑ (3.55) |
8.1 ↑ (4.85) |
-2.8% (5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Charleroi - Dender EH?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Charleroi (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Charleroi will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Dender EH may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Charleroi is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Dender EH: Berte M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Dender EH: Dion M. S.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 4.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Dender EH?
Charleroi has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Charleroi?
Dender EH has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Dender EH were as follows:
26.04.2025
Charleroi
-
Dender EH
4:1
22.04.2025
Dender EH
-
Charleroi
2:1
01.02.2025
Charleroi
-
Dender EH
5:0
05.10.2024
Dender EH
-
Charleroi
1:0
Latest results of Charleroi
Latest results of Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Royale Union SG | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 11 | 14 |
2 | St. Truiden | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
3 | KV Mechelen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
4 | Club Brugge KV | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Anderlecht | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
6 | Antwerp | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
7 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
8 | Genk | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
9 | St. Liege | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
10 | Leuven | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 7 |
11 | Westerlo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Charleroi | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
13 | Gent | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
14 | RAAL La Louviere | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
15 | Waregem | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Dender | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )