Result
2:2
07/03/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 28
- Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 2.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (231/323) | 81% (330/409) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 2.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (231/323) | 81% (330/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (25/62) | 57% (31/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (53/90) | 75% (129/171) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 13% (5/39) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.57 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.57 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Scheidler A. ⚽, Guiagon P. (A),
- 21', 1 - 1, Kvet R. ⚽, Sambu M. (A),
- 33', De Fougerolles L. ↓, De Kerf B. ↑,
- 39', 2 - 1, Hrncar D. ⚽, Mbamba N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Camara E. ↓, Pflucke P. ↑,
- 62', Bernier A. ↓, Colassin A. ↑,
- 68', Moutha-Sebtaoui N. ↓, Koton K. ↑,
- 68', Toshevski D. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
- 68', Jahanbakhsh A. ↓, Viltard M. ↑,
- 75', Guiagon P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 78', 2 - 2, Colassin A. ⚽, Romsaas J. (A),
- 83', Hrncar D. ↓, Kadiri J. A. ↑,
- 90+2', Guiagon P. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
- 90+3', Titraoui Y. 🟨,
- 90+6', Kadiri J. A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dender EH
27.4% | Draw
27.7% | Charleroi
44.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Dender EH - Charleroi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.43 ↑
(3.2) |
3.41
(3.41) |
2.12 ↓
(2.26) |
5.7%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dender EH - Charleroi?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Charleroi will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Charleroi (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.
- Charleroi could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Dender EH: Ferraro F.
(Yellow Cards)
Fredrick B.
(Knee Injury)
Verrips M.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Charleroi: Blum L.
(Yellow Cards)
Sow M.
(Injury)
Van Den Kerkhof K.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Dender EH: Nsimba B.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 1:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dender EH won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Charleroi?
Dender EH has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Dender EH?
Charleroi has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dender EH - Charleroi were as follows:
30.08.2025
Charleroi
-
Dender EH
3:1
26.04.2025
Charleroi
-
Dender EH
4:1
22.04.2025
Dender EH
-
Charleroi
2:1
01.02.2025
Charleroi
-
Dender EH
5:0
05.10.2024
Dender EH
-
Charleroi
1:0
Latest results of Dender EH
Latest results of Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 47:16 | 31 | 63 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 29 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 57 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen ✔ | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
| 6 | Gent | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 46:42 | 4 | 42 |
| 7 | Genk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 41:42 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 39 |
| 9 | Westerlo ✔ | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | Antwerp ✔ | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:31 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Charleroi ✔ | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Leuven | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 13 | RAAL La Louviere | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Waregem | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 29 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV ✔ | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 28 |
| 16 | Dender ✔ | 29 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 23:48 | -25 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
KV Mechelen is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Westerlo is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Antwerp is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Charleroi is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Cercle Brugge KSV is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
Dender is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
