Result
4:1
26/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1 |
 France | L'Equipe |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.77 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (402/484) | 78% (321/411) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.77 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 1.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (402/484) | 78% (321/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (25/51) | 41% (26/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (135/172) | 73% (85/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.58 | 2.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.58 | -1.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Zorgane A. 🟨,
- 16', Ruyssen G. 🟨,
- 17', 1 - 0, Bernier A. ⚽, Heymans D. (A),
- 33', Sylla D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 58', Goncalves B. ↓, Pupe J. ↑,
- 58', Hens L. ↓, Rodes N. ↑,
- 58', Ferraro F. ↓, Hrncar D. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 0, Heymans D. ⚽,
- 67', Nsimba B. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Kvet R. ⚽,
- 73', Bernier A. ↓, Asante R. A. ↑,
- 73', Titraoui Y. ↓, Camara E. ↑,
- 79', Nzita M. ↓, Dragsnes V. ↑,
- 79', Guiagon P. ↓, Rogelj Z. ↑,
- 80', Pupe J. ↓, Van Oudenhove J. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 1, Rogelj Z. ⚽,
- 90+1', 4 - 1, Stulic N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Charleroi
59.5% | Draw
22.9% | Dender EH
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Charleroi - Dender EH Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.7) |
4.16 ↑
(3.99) |
5.41 ↑
(4.6) |
5.2%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Charleroi - Dender EH?
Users Predictions:
Charleroi will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Charleroi will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Charleroi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Charleroi is a favorite.
- There will not play in Charleroi: Boukamir A.
(International duty)
Ousou A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Dender EH: Ferraro F.
(Inactive)
Fila K.
(Knee Injury)
Holmes T.
(Knock)
Oratmangoen R.
(Illness)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Charleroi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Charleroi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Dender EH?
Charleroi has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Charleroi?
Dender EH has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Dender EH were as follows:
22.04.2025
Dender EH
-
Charleroi
2:1
01.02.2025
Charleroi
-
Dender EH
5:0
05.10.2024
Dender EH
-
Charleroi
1:0
Latest results of Charleroi
Latest results of Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Antwerp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Leuven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Club Brugge KV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Dender | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Genk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | KV Mechelen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | St. Liege | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Waregem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Westerlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Royale Union SG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | RAAL La Louviere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
