Result
3:1
30/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 6
- Referee: De Cremer W. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 France | DAZN France |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (380/457) | 78% (361/464) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (380/457) | 78% (361/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (55/83) | 29% (16/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (112/148) | 53% (65/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | -1.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Guiagon P. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Ousou A. ↓, Sow M. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 0, Bernier A. ⚽, Guiagon P. (A),
- 58', Nsimba B. ↓, Kadiri J. A. ↑,
- 58', Viltard M. ↓, Oratmangoen R. ↑,
- 65', Bernier A. 🟨,
- 67', 2 - 1, Kadiri J. A. ⚽, De Fougerolles L. (A),
- 68', Romsaas J. ↓, Colassin A. ↑,
- 68', Nzita M. ↓, Gaudin J. ↑,
- 72', Mbamba N. ↓, Acquah D. ↑,
- 75', Bernier A. ↓, Van Den Kerkhof K. ↑,
- 83', Fredrick B. ↓, Koton K. ↑,
- 83', De Fougerolles L. ↓, Moutha-Sebtaoui N. ↑,
- 86', Scheidler A. ↓, Khalifi Y. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 1, Guiagon P. ⚽, Camara E. (A),
Chances of winning
Charleroi
61.1% | Draw
25.7% | Dender EH
13.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charleroi's performance.Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dender EH might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charleroi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dender EH could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Charleroi - Dender EH Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.78) |
4 ↑
(3.55) |
8.1 ↑
(4.85) |
-2.8%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Charleroi - Dender EH?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Charleroi (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Charleroi will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Dender EH may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Charleroi is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Dender EH: Berte M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Dender EH: Dion M. S.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 4.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Dender EH?
Charleroi has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Charleroi?
Dender EH has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Dender EH were as follows:
26.04.2025
Charleroi
-
Dender EH
4:1
22.04.2025
Dender EH
-
Charleroi
2:1
01.02.2025
Charleroi
-
Dender EH
5:0
05.10.2024
Dender EH
-
Charleroi
1:0
Latest results of Charleroi
Latest results of Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 20 |
| 2 | Anderlecht | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | St. Truiden | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Charleroi | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Gent | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16:18 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Waregem | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | RAAL La Louviere | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Antwerp | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 14 | Genk | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Leuven | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Dender | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:13 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
