Result
4:1
26/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1 |
France | L'Equipe |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.77 | 0.90 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
24 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
83% (402/484) | 78% (321/411) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.77 | 0.90 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.53 | 1.58 |
Total shots |
---|
24 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
12 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
18 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
3 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
38 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
6 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
83% (402/484) | 78% (321/411) |
Long passes |
---|
49% (25/51) | 41% (26/63) |
Passes in final third |
---|
78% (135/172) | 73% (85/117) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (3/21) | 11% (2/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.20 | 0.87 |
Throw-ins |
---|
12 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 6 |
Tackles |
---|
62% (13/21) | 60% (6/10) |
Duels won |
---|
59 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 36 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.58 | 2.53 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.58 | -1.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Zorgane A. 🟨,
- 16', Ruyssen G. 🟨,
- 17', 1 - 0, Bernier A. ⚽, Heymans D. (A),
- 33', Sylla D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 58', Goncalves B. ↓, Pupe J. ↑,
- 58', Hens L. ↓, Rodes N. ↑,
- 58', Ferraro F. ↓, Hrncar D. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 0, Heymans D. ⚽,
- 67', Nsimba B. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Kvet R. ⚽,
- 73', Bernier A. ↓, Asante R. A. ↑,
- 73', Titraoui Y. ↓, Camara E. ↑,
- 79', Nzita M. ↓, Dragsnes V. ↑,
- 79', Guiagon P. ↓, Rogelj Z. ↑,
- 80', Pupe J. ↓, Van Oudenhove J. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 1, Rogelj Z. ⚽,
- 90+1', 4 - 1, Stulic N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Charleroi 59.5% | Draw 22.9% | Dender EH 17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Charleroi - Dender EH Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.6 ↓ (1.7) |
4.16 ↑ (3.99) |
5.41 ↑ (4.6) |
5.2% (5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Charleroi - Dender EH?
Users Predictions:
Charleroi will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Charleroi will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Charleroi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Charleroi is a favorite.
- There will not play in Charleroi: Boukamir A.
(International duty)
Ousou A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Dender EH: Ferraro F.
(Inactive)
Fila K.
(Knee Injury)
Holmes T.
(Knock)
Oratmangoen R.
(Illness)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Charleroi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Charleroi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Dender EH?
Charleroi has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Charleroi?
Dender EH has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Dender EH were as follows:
22.04.2025
Dender EH
-
Charleroi
2:1
01.02.2025
Charleroi
-
Dender EH
5:0
05.10.2024
Dender EH
-
Charleroi
1:0
Latest results of Charleroi
Latest results of Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Antwerp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Leuven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Club Brugge KV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Dender | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Genk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | KV Mechelen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | St. Liege | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | St. Truiden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Waregem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Westerlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Royale Union SG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | RAAL La Louviere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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