Result
1:5
14/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 18
- Referee: Verbeke B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 3.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (255/350) | 87% (497/570) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 3.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 4.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (255/350) | 87% (497/570) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (23/63) | 65% (34/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (72/111) | 81% (164/203) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 41% (9/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.70 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 1 - 0, Nsimba B. ⚽, Ferraro F. (A),
- 33', Seys J. ↓, Meijer B. ↑,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Tzolis C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 50', 1 - 2, Tzolis C. ⚽,
- 60', Tresoldi N. ↓, Vermant R. ↑,
- 62', Rodes N. ↓, De Fougerolles L. ↑,
- 62', Toshevski D. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 3, Vermant R. ⚽, Stankovic A. (A),
- 73', Nsimba B. ↓, Jahanbakhsh A. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 4, Vermant R. ⚽, Siquet H. (A),
- 78', Siquet H. ↓, Sabbe K. ↑,
- 78', Forbs C. ↓, Campbell S. ↑,
- 78', Onyedika R. ↓, Vetlesen H. ↑,
- 82', Mbamba N. ↓, Hrncar D. ↑,
- 82', Goncalves B. ↓, Kadiri J. A. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 5, Stankovic A. ⚽, Tzolis C. (A),
Chances of winning
Dender EH
16.7% | Draw
20.4% | Club Brugge
62.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Club Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Club Brugge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dender EH - Club Brugge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.61 ↓
(7.2) |
4.64 ↓
(4.85) |
1.5 ↑
(1.39) |
5.9%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Dender EH - Club Brugge?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Brugge will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brugge: 33.7% – 75.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Dender EH (votes: 2 - 25%). Brugge (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Dender EH (5.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Dender EH (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Brugge (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- Dender EH is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Brugge has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Brugge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Brugge is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Dender EH: Dion M. S.
(Muscle Injury)
Fredrick B.
(Inactive)
Verrips M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Brugge: Audoor L.
(Muscle Injury)
Jackers N.
(Broken rib)
Reis L.
(Shoulder Injury)
Vermant R.
(Concussion)
- There are questionable in Dender EH: Oratmangoen R.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Dender EH will win today's game, with odds of 5.15.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Club Brugge?
Dender EH has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Club Brugge won against Dender EH?
Club Brugge has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dender EH - Club Brugge were as follows:
01.11.2025
Club Brugge
-
Dender EH
2:1
30.11.2024
Club Brugge
-
Dender EH
4:1
25.08.2024
Dender EH
-
Club Brugge
1:2
Latest results of Dender EH
Latest results of Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50:17 | 33 | 66 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59:36 | 23 | 63 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47:35 | 12 | 57 |
| 4 | Gent | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 49:43 | 6 | 45 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 43:39 | 4 | 44 |
| 7 | Genk | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:47 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 39 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 34 |
| 12 | Leuven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Waregem | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 32 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:47 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Dender | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24:51 | -27 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
