Result
1:1
27/12/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 20
- Referee: Ledda M. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (318/412) | 67% (232/345) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (318/412) | 67% (232/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (23/47) | 36% (20/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (100/128) | 55% (71/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 32% (8/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 48% (11/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.75 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Koudou T. ⚽,
- 40', Goncalves B. 🟨,
- 45+6', Kvet R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Toshevski D. 🟨,
- 56', Konate M. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 1, Toshevski D. ⚽, Goncalves B. (A),
- 65', Ozdemir H. ↓, Halhal R. ↑,
- 65', Zekri M. ↓, Kireev M. ↑,
- 68', De Fougerolles L. 🟨,
- 77', Toshevski D. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
- 77', Marijnissen L. ↓, Sambu M. ↑,
- 83', Viltard M. ↓, Rodes N. ↑,
- 88', De Fougerolles L. 🟨,
- 89', Koudou T. ↓, Teague R. ↑,
- 89', Konate M. ↓, Kiki ↑,
- 90', Nsimba B. ↓, Jahanbakhsh A. ↑,
- 90+5', Diouf G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
KV Mechelen
46% | Draw
27.8% | Dender EH
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
KV Mechelen - Dender EH Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05
(2.05) |
3.39 ↓
(3.65) |
3.6 ↑
(3.3) |
6.1%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Dender EH?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Dender EH (2.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Mechelen (2.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
KV Mechelen will win
(28 of 33 users predict this - 84.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 97.08%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KV Mechelen will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Dender EH (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Dender EH has had a series of home games.
- Mechelen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mechelen: Antonio B.
(International duty)
De Wolf O.
(Knee Injury)
Halhal R.
(Ankle Injury)
Marsa J.
(Muscle Injury)
Raman B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Dender EH: Adewusi R.
(Inactive)
Dion M. S.
(Muscle Injury)
Fredrick B.
(Knee Injury)
Oratmangoen R.
(Knee Injury)
Verrips M.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Mechelen: Teague R.
(Knock)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 3.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Dender EH?
KV Mechelen has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against KV Mechelen?
Dender EH has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Dender EH were as follows:
19.10.2025
Dender EH
-
KV Mechelen
1:3
24.05.2025
Dender EH
-
KV Mechelen
2:2
04.04.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Dender EH
5:2
26.10.2024
Dender EH
-
KV Mechelen
2:5
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Latest results of Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
