Result
1:3
19/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 11
- Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.90 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (358/440) | 84% (311/372) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.90 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (358/440) | 84% (311/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (17/44) | 56% (28/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (102/158) | 75% (77/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (18/27) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.58 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Konate M. ⚽,
- 34', Mrabti K. ↓, Salifou D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 59', Sambu M. ↓, Hrncar D. ↑,
- 59', Berte M. ↓, Kadiri J. A. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 2, van Brederode M. ⚽,
- 66', Cools K. 🟨,
- 71', De Fougerolles L. ↓, Fredrick B. ↑,
- 71', Rodes N. ↓, Moutha-Sebtaoui N. ↑,
- 75', Zekri M. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 82', van Brederode M. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
- 82', Koudou T. ↓, Diouf G. ↑,
- 83', Cools K. ↓, Oratmangoen R. ↑,
- 90+2', 0 - 3, Lauberbach L. ⚽, Marsa J. (A),
- 90+6', 1 - 3, Nsimba B. (Pen),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5yb9ckp7
Chances of winning
Dender EH
32.9% | Draw
27.7% | KV Mechelen
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Dender EH - KV Mechelen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↑
(2.78) |
3.55 ↑
(3.4) |
2.44 ↓
(2.47) |
1.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dender EH - KV Mechelen?
Users Predictions:
KV Mechelen will win
(20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KV Mechelen will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- Dender EH is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Mechelen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Dender EH may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Dender EH: Dion M. S.
(Muscle Injury)
Toshevski D.
(Red Card)
Viltard M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Mechelen: Kiki
(Surgery)
Kireev M.
(Muscle Injury)
Salifou D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Dender EH: Verrips M.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Mechelen: De Wolf O.
(Knock)
Ozdemir H.
(Collarbone injury)
St. Jago T.
(Knock)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1.8:3.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against KV Mechelen?
Dender EH has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Dender EH?
KV Mechelen has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dender EH - KV Mechelen were as follows:
24.05.2025
Dender EH
-
KV Mechelen
2:2
04.04.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Dender EH
5:2
26.10.2024
Dender EH
-
KV Mechelen
2:5
Latest results of Dender EH
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33:11 | 22 | 38 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 29:18 | 11 | 35 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 34 |
| 4 | St. Truiden | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 30 |
| 6 | St. Liege | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 16:21 | -5 | 24 |
| 7 | Genk | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 22:24 | -2 | 24 |
| 8 | Antwerp | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 20:18 | 2 | 23 |
| 9 | Gent | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Waregem | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:25 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Westerlo | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 21 |
| 12 | Charleroi | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 20 |
| 13 | Leuven | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 19:27 | -8 | 19 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louviere | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 19 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22:29 | -7 | 13 |
| 16 | Dender | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15:32 | -17 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
