Result
2:2
24/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 10
- Referee: Ledda M. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1 |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (515/588) | 74% (225/306) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (515/588) | 74% (225/306) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (33/48) | 38% (24/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (195/242) | 58% (47/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (16/53) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (16/28) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 2.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | 0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Antonio B. ⚽, Raman B. (A),
- 14', Raman B. 🟥,
- 14', Goncalves B. 🟨,
- 14', Rodes N. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 1, Ferraro F. ⚽, Goncalves B. (A),
- 31', 1 - 2, Welsh S. ⚽, Schoofs R. (A),
- 43', 2 - 2, Rodes N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Ferraro F. ↓, M'barki R. ↑,
- 61', Hens L. ↓, Acquah D. ↑,
- 67', Antonio B. ↓, Pflucke P. ↑,
- 67', Zekri M. ↓, Foulon D. ↑,
- 67', Lauberbach L. ↓, Storm N. ↑,
- 67', Bafdili B. ↓, Marsa J. ↑,
- 76', Berte M. ↓, Kadiri J. A. ↑,
- 78', Belghali R. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
- 85', M'barki R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dender EH
31.4% | Draw
24.1% | KV Mechelen
44.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Dender EH - KV Mechelen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↓
(3.31) |
3.93 ↑
(3.8) |
2.13 ↑
(2.03) |
5.5%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Dender EH - KV Mechelen?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
KV Mechelen will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Mechelen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Dender EH: Fila K.
(Knee Injury)
Lallemand M.
(Ankle Injury)
Mbamba N.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Mechelen: Ngoy J.
(Injury)
Vanheusden Z.
(Hernia)
- There are questionable in Dender EH: Ferraro F.
(Inactive)
Holmes T.
(Knock)
Oratmangoen R.
(Illness)
Pupe J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Mechelen: Kiki
(Inactive)
Touba A.
(Thigh Injury)
Van den Eynden B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1.7:4).
- Including home match between the teams, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against KV Mechelen?
Dender EH has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Dender EH?
KV Mechelen has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dender EH - KV Mechelen were as follows:
04.04.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Dender EH
5:2
26.10.2024
Dender EH
-
KV Mechelen
2:5
Latest results of Dender EH
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Anderlecht | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Royale Union SG | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 4 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | St. Liege | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Charleroi | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Dender | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Genk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Waregem | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Leuven | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 16 | RAAL La Louviere | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
