Dender EH vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/08/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Dender Football Complex (Denderleeuw).

Jupiler Pro League - Round 5
Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)
Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
France	DAZN France

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.31	1.34
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
4	11
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
79% (371/469)	71% (226/320)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.31	1.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.29	1.68
Total shots
4	11
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
2	3
Blocked Shots
0	4
Shots inside the Box
3	9
Shots outside the Box
1	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
12	17
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
5	2
Free Kicks
13	7
Passes
79% (371/469)	71% (226/320)
Long passes
43% (24/56)	29% (21/73)
Passes in final third
68% (86/127)	53% (51/97)
Crosses
14% (3/21)	38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.44	0.94
Throw-ins
29	21
Fouls
8	14
Tackles
58% (11/19)	61% (11/18)
Duels won
65	54
Clearances
15	26
Interceptions
10	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.68	0.29
Goals prevented
0.68	0.29

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Ferraro F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gil O. ↓, Vlietinck T. ↑,
46', George W. ↓, Verstraete B. ↑,
58', Verstraete B. 🟨,
59', Oratmangoen R. ↓, Kadiri J. A. ↑,
59', Nsimba B. ↓, Dion M. S. ↑,
69', Terho C. ↓, Maziz Y. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Pletinckx E. ⚽, Schrijvers S. (A),
73', Dion M. S. ↓, Koton K. ↑,
77', Rodes N. ↓, Viltard M. ↑,
77', Fredrick B. ↓, Hrncar D. ↑,
78', Vlietinck T. 🟨,
80', Mbamba N. 🟨,
83', Traore A. K. ↓, Nsingi N. ↑,
89', Mijatovic J. ↓, Maertens M. ↑,
90', Maertens M. 🟨,
90+3', Nsingi N. 🟨,
90+5', Marijnissen L. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Dender EH
39.3%

Draw
28.4%

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

26.5%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

26.7%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dender EH's form might have worsened.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dender EH, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.08)	3.36 ↓ (3.55)	2.95 ↓ (3.34)	5.3% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Leuven will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leuven: 19.9% – 64.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Dender EH (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Leuven (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Dender EH may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Dender EH is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Dender EH: Berte M. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Dender EH won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?

Dender EH has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Dender EH?

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven were as follows:

11.05.2025 Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5:0

19.04.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Dender EH 4:4

15.02.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Dender EH 3:2

09.11.2024 Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1

Latest results of Dender EH

17.08.2025 Dender EH - Anderlecht 0:2 ✺

08.08.2025 Sint-Truidense - Dender EH 2:0 ✺

02.08.2025 Standard Liège - Dender EH 1:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Dender EH - Cercle Brugge 0:0 ✺

19.07.2025 Zwolle - Dender EH Canceled ✺

Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven

15.08.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Genk 1:2 ✺

10.08.2025 Royal Antwerp - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5:0 ✺

27.07.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Charleroi 2:2 ✺

20.07.2025 Reims - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:1 ✺

Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Royale Union SG	8	6	2	0	17:4	13	20
2	Anderlecht	8	4	2	2	13:8	5	14
3	Club Brugge KV	8	4	2	2	14:10	4	14
4	St. Truiden	8	4	2	2	11:9	2	14
5	KV Mechelen	8	3	4	1	10:8	2	13
6	Charleroi	8	3	3	2	12:10	2	12
7	Gent	8	3	2	3	11:10	1	11
8	St. Liege	8	3	2	3	8:10	-2	11
9	Westerlo	8	3	1	4	16:18	-2	10
10	Waregem	8	3	1	4	11:13	-2	10
11	RAAL La Louviere	8	3	1	4	7:9	-2	10
12	Antwerp	8	2	4	2	9:9	0	10
13	Cercle Brugge KSV	8	2	3	3	10:9	1	9
14	Genk	8	2	2	4	10:12	-2	8
15	Leuven	8	2	1	5	7:16	-9	7
16	Dender	8	0	2	6	2:13	-11	2

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