Result
5:0
11/05/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 8
- Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1 |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Netherlands | Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 1.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (246/295) | 86% (480/555) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.24 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (246/295) | 86% (480/555) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (38/61) | 37% (14/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (53/71) | 71% (102/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 3.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | -1.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Hrncar D. ⚽, Nsimba B. (A),
- 18', 2 - 0, Goncalves B. ⚽,
- 22', 3 - 0, Nsimba B. ⚽, Rodes N. (A),
- 28', 4 - 0, Rodes N. ⚽, Goncalves B. (A),
- 45+3', Verstraete B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mitrovic S. ↓, Ikwuemesi C. ↑,
- 46', Zeefuik L. ↓, Verlinden T. ↑,
- 59', Scheidler A. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
- 59', Viltard M. ↓, Acquah D. ↑,
- 62', Balikwisha W. ↓, Kurucay H. ↑,
- 62', George W. ↓, Mijatovic J. ↑,
- 72', Kvet R. ↓, Hens L. ↑,
- 76', Sylla D. ↓, M'barki R. ↑,
- 76', Masangu K. ↓, Cools K. ↑,
- 87', Osifo M. 🟨,
- 90', 5 - 0, Berte M. ⚽, Nsimba B. (A),
Chances of winning
Dender EH
39.7% | Draw
26.8% | Oud-Heverlee Leuven
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↓
(2.4) |
3.54 ↑
(3.5) |
2.82 ↑
(2.8) |
5.5%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Leuven will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dender EH: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dender EH will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Dender EH: Fila K.
(Knee Injury)
Holmes T.
(Knock)
Lallemand M.
(Ankle Injury)
Mbamba N.
(Muscle Injury)
Pupe J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Leuven: Maertens M.
(Muscle Injury)
Tsoungui A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dender EH: Oratmangoen R.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Leuven: Akimoto T.
(Thigh Injury)
Mijatovic J.
(Knock)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 2.3:2.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Dender EH has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Dender EH?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dender EH - Oud-Heverlee Leuven were as follows:
19.04.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Dender EH
4:4
15.02.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Dender EH
3:2
09.11.2024
Dender EH
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:1
Latest results of Dender EH
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Antwerp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Leuven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Club Brugge KV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Dender | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Genk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | KV Mechelen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | St. Liege | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Waregem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Westerlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Royale Union SG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | RAAL La Louviere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
