Result
0:0
28/09/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 9
- Referee: Letellier A. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (421/506) | 75% (215/286) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (421/506) | 75% (215/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (32/61) | 50% (25/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (72/116) | 58% (45/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Mendy O. 🟨,
- 35', Lamego D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Berte M. ↓, Oratmangoen R. ↑,
- 62', Fredrick B. ↓, Hrncar D. ↑,
- 63', Ferraro F. 🟨,
- 66', Maes O. ↓, Gueulette S. ↑,
- 66', Mendy O. ↓, Fall P. M. ↑,
- 76', Afriyie J. ↓, Guindo M. ↑,
- 77', Viltard M. ↓, Rodes N. ↑,
- 77', Nsimba B. ↓, Kadiri J. A. ↑,
- 87', Lahssaini S. 🟨,
- 88', Ferraro F. ↓, Sambu M. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4xa8fd3p
Chances of winning
Dender EH
37.2% | Draw
29.7% | RAAL La Louvière
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dender EH's form might have worsened.RAAL La Louvière has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dender EH, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Dender EH - RAAL La Louvière Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.14) |
3.19 ↓
(3.5) |
2.91 ↓
(3.1) |
5%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Dender EH - RAAL La Louvière?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 2 - 25%). La Louvière will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for La Louvière: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- Dender EH is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- La Louvière has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There are questionable in Dender EH: Mbamba N.
(Injury)
- We predict that La Louvière will win today's game, with odds of 2.82.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against RAAL La Louvière?
Dender EH has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RAAL La Louvière won against Dender EH?
RAAL La Louvière has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dender EH - RAAL La Louvière were as follows:
20.07.2024
Dender EH
-
RAAL La Louvière
0:3
Latest results of Dender EH
Latest results of RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19:5 | 14 | 23 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Gent | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | St. Truiden | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | KV Mechelen | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Genk | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | Waregem | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | RAAL La Louviere | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | St. Liege | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Leuven | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | -11 | 8 |
| 16 | Dender | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
