Result
1:2
05/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 17
- Referee: Verboomen N. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 2.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (299/386) | 77% (310/405) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 2.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 2.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (299/386) | 77% (310/405) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (38/76) | 33% (25/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (98/153) | 60% (62/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (7/37) | 47% (7/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 56 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Nsimba B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 32', 1 - 1, Fall P. M. ⚽, Maisonneuve M. (A),
- 45+7', Fall P. M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Toshevski D. ↓, Jahanbakhsh A. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 2, Kvet R. ⚽, Nsimba B. (A),
- 62', Nsimba B. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
- 69', Gillot N. ↓, Mendy O. ↑,
- 72', Sambu M. ↓, Acquah D. ↑,
- 72', Viltard M. ↓, De Fougerolles L. ↑,
- 77', Dietsch G. 🟨,
- 79', Ito J. ↓, Beka Beka A. ↑,
- 86', Kvet R. ↓, Cools K. ↑,
Chances of winning
RAAL La Louvière
42.7% | Draw
30.5% | Dender EH
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
RAAL La Louvière - Dender EH Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.27) |
3.09 ↓
(3.25) |
3.54 ↑
(3.23) |
5.7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for RAAL La Louvière - Dender EH?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. La Louvière will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Dender EH will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for La Louvière: 43.5% – 83.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RAAL La Louvière will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- La Louvière will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Dender EH: Dion M. S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Dender EH: De Fougerolles L.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, La Louvière won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, La Louvière won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
How many head-to-head matches has RAAL La Louvière won against Dender EH?
RAAL La Louvière has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against RAAL La Louvière?
Dender EH has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RAAL La Louvière - Dender EH were as follows:
28.09.2025
Dender EH
-
RAAL La Louvière
0:0
20.07.2024
Dender EH
-
RAAL La Louvière
0:3
Latest results of RAAL La Louvière
Latest results of Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 32:10 | 22 | 37 |
| 2 | St. Truiden | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 26:20 | 6 | 33 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 24:17 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 27 |
| 6 | St. Liege | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 24 |
| 7 | Gent | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Genk | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Waregem | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23:23 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18:18 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 | Westerlo | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 20 |
| 12 | Charleroi | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 | RAAL La Louviere | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:17 | -5 | 18 |
| 14 | Leuven | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:27 | -9 | 16 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 | Dender | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14:27 | -13 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
