RAAL La Louvière vs Dender EH – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Easi Arena (La Louvière).

Jupiler Pro League - Round 17
Referee: Verboomen N. (Bel)
Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.64	2.08
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
16	14
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
77% (299/386)	77% (310/405)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64	2.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.70	2.20
Total shots
16	14
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
11	5
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
10	10
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
33	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
8	9
Passes
77% (299/386)	77% (310/405)
Long passes
50% (38/76)	33% (25/76)
Passes in final third
64% (98/153)	60% (62/103)
Crosses
19% (7/37)	47% (7/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.44	0.78
Throw-ins
28	22
Fouls
9	8
Tackles
65% (11/17)	67% (12/18)
Duels won
49	50
Clearances
29	56
Interceptions
8	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
2.20	1.70
Goals prevented
0.20	0.70

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Nsimba B. (Penalty Awarded),
32', 1 - 1, Fall P. M. ⚽, Maisonneuve M. (A),
45+7', Fall P. M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Toshevski D. ↓, Jahanbakhsh A. ↑,
52', 1 - 2, Kvet R. ⚽, Nsimba B. (A),
62', Nsimba B. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
69', Gillot N. ↓, Mendy O. ↑,
72', Sambu M. ↓, Acquah D. ↑,
72', Viltard M. ↓, De Fougerolles L. ↑,
77', Dietsch G. 🟨,
79', Ito J. ↓, Beka Beka A. ↑,
86', Kvet R. ↓, Cools K. ↑,

Chances of winning

RAAL La Louvière
42.7%

Draw
30.5%

Dender EH
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29.1%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

30.1%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RAAL La Louvière has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

RAAL La Louvière - Dender EH Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.27)	3.09 ↓ (3.25)	3.54 ↑ (3.23)	5.7% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for RAAL La Louvière - Dender EH?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. La Louvière will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Dender EH will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for La Louvière: 43.5% – 83.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. La Louvière (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - La Louvière (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. La Louvière (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
La Louvière will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Dender EH: Dion M. S. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Dender EH: De Fougerolles L. (Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, La Louvière won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, La Louvière won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

How many head-to-head matches has RAAL La Louvière won against Dender EH?

RAAL La Louvière has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against RAAL La Louvière?

Dender EH has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between RAAL La Louvière - Dender EH were as follows:

28.09.2025 Dender EH - RAAL La Louvière 0:0

20.07.2024 Dender EH - RAAL La Louvière 0:3

Latest results of RAAL La Louvière

02.12.2025 Beerschot Wilrijk - RAAL La Louvière 1:2 ✺

29.11.2025 Charleroi - RAAL La Louvière 0:0 ✺

23.11.2025 RAAL La Louvière - Anderlecht 0:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Royal Antwerp - RAAL La Louvière 3:1 ✺

02.11.2025 RAAL La Louvière - Cercle Brugge 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Dender EH

02.12.2025 Dender EH - Standard Liège 3:2 ✺

29.11.2025 Dender EH - Westerlo 2:2 ✺

23.11.2025 Royal Antwerp - Dender EH 1:2 ✺

07.11.2025 Dender EH - Zulte Waregem 2:2 ✺

01.11.2025 Club Brugge - Dender EH 2:1 ✺

Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Royale Union SG ✔	27	16	9	2	43:15	28	57
2	Club Brugge KV ✔	27	18	2	7	51:32	19	56
3	St. Truiden ✔	27	17	3	7	44:30	14	54
4	Anderlecht	27	12	7	8	39:33	6	43
5	KV Mechelen	27	11	9	7	36:30	6	42
6	Genk	27	10	8	9	39:40	-1	38
7	Gent	27	10	6	11	41:41	0	36
8	St. Liege	27	10	5	12	25:34	-9	35
9	Westerlo	27	9	8	10	34:38	-4	35
10	Antwerp	27	9	6	12	30:30	0	33
11	Charleroi	27	9	6	12	36:37	-1	33
12	Waregem	27	7	8	12	37:44	-7	29
13	Leuven	27	7	7	13	29:42	-13	28
14	Cercle Brugge KSV	27	6	10	11	34:40	-6	28
15	RAAL La Louviere	27	5	11	11	22:31	-9	26
16	Dender	27	3	9	15	21:44	-23	18

      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
      Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )