Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Acapulco Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Result
0:2
28/02/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco (Mexico), hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilESPN 3
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
32
1st Serve Percentage
54%70%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (32/51)65% (37/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (19/43)50% (12/24)
Break Points Saved
60% (6/10)43% (3/7)
1st Return Points Won
35% (20/57)37% (19/51)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (12/24)56% (24/43)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)40% (4/10)
Service Points Won
54% (51/94)60% (49/81)
Return Points Won
40% (32/81)46% (43/94)
Total Points Won
47% (83/175)53% (92/175)
Last 10 Balls
19
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
67% (8/12)67% (8/12)
Return Games Won
33% (4/12)33% (4/12)
Total Games Won
50% (12/24)50% (12/24)

Chances of winning


Denis Shapovalov
61.4%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.3% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.5)

    2.47
    (2.59)
    4.9%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 18 - 81.8%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 65.7%97.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 32. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 48.
    • Shapovalov in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Davidovich Fokina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Shapovalov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Shapovalov will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Shapovalov to win the game is with odds 1.54.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Shapovalov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Arnaldi M.2 : 1
    2Tien L. (Q)Norrie C.2 : 0
    3Altmaier D. (WC)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    4Mensik J.Machac T. (8)1 : 2
    5Rune H. (4)Carballes Baena R.2 : 0
    6Bonzi B.Nakashima B.0 : 2
    7Goffin D.Hijikata R.2 : 0
    8Cobolli F.Shelton B. (5)0 : 2
    9Shapovalov D. (9)Basavareddy N. (Q)2 : 0
    10Michelsen A.Bu Y. (WC)2 : 1
    11Giron M.Walton A. (Q)2 : 0
    12Diallo G. (Q)Paul T. (3)0 : 2
    13Tiafoe F. (7)Muller A.2 : 0
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Bellucci M. (LL)2 : 1
    15Vukic A.Pacheco Mendez R. (WC)1 : 2
    16Rinderknech A.Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Tien L.0 : 2
    2Altmaier D.Machac T. (8)0 : 2
    3Rune H. (RET.) (4)Nakashima B.0 : 0
    4Goffin D.Shelton B. (5)2 : 0
    5Shapovalov D. (9)Michelsen A.2 : 0
    6Giron M. (WO.)Paul T. (3)
    7Tiafoe F. (7)Davidovich Fokina A.1 : 2
    8Pacheco Mendez R. (WO.)Ruud C. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Tien L.Machac T. (8)0 : 2
    2Nakashima B.Goffin D.2 : 0
    3Shapovalov D. (9)Giron M.2 : 1
    4Davidovich Fokina A.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Machac T. (8)Nakashima B.2 : 1
    2Shapovalov D. (9)Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2

    Final
    1Machac T. (8)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0