Result
2:1
13/02/2026 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Dallas, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 17 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 73% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 76% (41/54) | 76% (48/63) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 60% (21/35) | 52% (12/23) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 71% (5/7) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 24% (15/63) | 28% (15/54) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 40% (14/35) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 33% (1/3) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 40 | 18 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 39 | 21 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 100% (5/5) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (62/89) | 70% (60/86) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (26/86) | 30% (27/89) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (88/175) | 50% (87/175) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 94% (15/16) | 87% (13/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 6% (1/16) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 55% (17/31) | 45% (14/31) |
Chances of winning
Denis Shapovalov
53.7% | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
46.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Shapovalov's form might have worsened.Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denis Shapovalov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.61) |
|
2.06 ↓
(2.35) |
4.7%
(4.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Users Predictions:
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win
(25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.74% – 94.56%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 40. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 14.
- In recent matches, Shapovalov has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Davidovich Fokina is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Davidovich Fokina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shapovalov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Denis Shapovalov won against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Denis Shapovalov has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won against Denis Shapovalov?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina were as follows:
28.02.2025
Denis Shapovalov
-
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0:2
Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
Latest results of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Giron M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Nakashima B. | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Zheng M. (WC) | Korda S. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Atmane T. | Tiafoe F. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Cobolli F. (4) | Pinnington Jones J. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Duckworth J. | Spizzirri E. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Svajda T. (WC) | Quinn E. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Cilic M. | Tien L. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Shapovalov D. (7) | Jodar R. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Kovacevic A. | Kypson P. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Dimitrov G. | Michelsen A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Svajda Z. (Q) | Davidovich Fokina A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Paul T. (5) | Brooksby J. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Shimabukuro S. (Q) | Kecmanovic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Walton A. | Mannarino A. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Diallo G. | Shelton B. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Nakashima B. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Korda S. | Tiafoe F. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Pinnington Jones J. | Spizzirri E. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Quinn E. | Cilic M. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Shapovalov D. (7) | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Michelsen A. | Davidovich Fokina A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Paul T. (5) | Kecmanovic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Mannarino A. | Shelton B. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Korda S. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Pinnington Jones J. | Cilic M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Shapovalov D. (7) | Davidovich Fokina A. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Kecmanovic M. | Shelton B. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Cilic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Shapovalov D. (7) | Shelton B. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Shelton B. (2) | 1 : 2 |
