Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Michelsen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Acapulco Denis Shapovalov - Alex Michelsen
Result
2:0
26/02/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco (Mexico), hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
30
Double Faults
35
1st Serve Percentage
57%61%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (20/30)47% (16/34)
2nd Serve Points Won
74% (17/23)50% (11/22)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)33% (2/6)
1st Return Points Won
53% (18/34)33% (10/30)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (11/22)26% (6/23)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
70% (37/53)48% (27/56)
Return Points Won
52% (29/56)30% (16/53)
Total Points Won
61% (66/109)39% (43/109)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)56% (5/9)
Return Games Won
44% (4/9)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Denis Shapovalov
61.8%
Alex Michelsen
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4% 36.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Denis Shapovalov - Alex Michelsen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.52)

    2.49
    (2.48)
    5.1%
    (6%)
    What is the prediction for Denis Shapovalov - Alex Michelsen?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Michelsen will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 35.2%92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 32. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 34.
    • Shapovalov in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Michelsen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Shapovalov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Shapovalov will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Our prediction for today's Shapovalov to win the game is with odds 1.52.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
    Latest results of Alex Michelsen
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Arnaldi M.2 : 1
    2Tien L. (Q)Norrie C.2 : 0
    3Altmaier D. (WC)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    4Mensik J.Machac T. (8)1 : 2
    5Rune H. (4)Carballes Baena R.2 : 0
    6Bonzi B.Nakashima B.0 : 2
    7Goffin D.Hijikata R.2 : 0
    8Cobolli F.Shelton B. (5)0 : 2
    9Shapovalov D. (9)Basavareddy N. (Q)2 : 0
    10Michelsen A.Bu Y. (WC)2 : 1
    11Giron M.Walton A. (Q)2 : 0
    12Diallo G. (Q)Paul T. (3)0 : 2
    13Tiafoe F. (7)Muller A.2 : 0
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Bellucci M. (LL)2 : 1
    15Vukic A.Pacheco Mendez R. (WC)1 : 2
    16Rinderknech A.Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Tien L.0 : 2
    2Altmaier D.Machac T. (8)0 : 2
    3Rune H. (RET.) (4)Nakashima B.0 : 0
    4Goffin D.Shelton B. (5)2 : 0
    5Shapovalov D. (9)Michelsen A.2 : 0
    6Giron M. (WO.)Paul T. (3)
    7Tiafoe F. (7)Davidovich Fokina A.1 : 2
    8Pacheco Mendez R. (WO.)Ruud C. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Tien L.Machac T. (8)0 : 2
    2Nakashima B.Goffin D.2 : 0
    3Shapovalov D. (9)Giron M.2 : 1
    4Davidovich Fokina A.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Machac T. (8)Nakashima B.2 : 1
    2Shapovalov D. (9)Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2

    Final
    1Machac T. (8)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0