Result
0:2
17/04/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Munich, clay - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 2 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Premier Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 France | Eurosport 2 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Romania | Prima Sport 3 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 52% | 54% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 72% (23/32) | 68% (19/28) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 41% (12/29) | 79% (19/24) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 6/9 | 0/1 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 32% (9/28) | 28% (9/32) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 59% (17/29) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 1/1 | 3/9 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 35 | 9 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 0% (0/0) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (34/60) | 73% (38/52) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 27% (14/52) | 43% (26/60) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (48/112) | 57% (64/112) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 90% (9/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 30% (3/10) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 60% (12/20) |
Chances of winning
Denis Shapovalov
53.8% | Alex Molcan
46.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Denis Shapovalov - Alex Molcan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.68) |
|
2.09 ↓
(2.2) |
4.3%
(5%) | |
What is the prediction for Denis Shapovalov - Alex Molcan?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Molcan will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 35.2% – 84.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Denis Shapovalov will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 39. Molcan is ranked ATP: 166.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Molcan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shapovalov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Denis Shapovalov won against Alex Molcan?
Denis Shapovalov has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex Molcan won against Denis Shapovalov?
Alex Molcan has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Denis Shapovalov - Alex Molcan were as follows:
Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
Latest results of Alex Molcan
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Diallo G. | Sachko V. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Huesler M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Nagal S. (LL) | Cerundolo F. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Cobolli F. (4) | Dedura D. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Bergs Z. | Topo M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Engel J. (WC) | Kopriva V. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Zhang Z. (PR) | Darderi L. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Griekspoor T. (8) | Shapovalov D. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Marozsan F. | Tsitsipas S. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Cilic M. | Altmaier D. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Molcan A. (Q) | Bublik A. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Rinderknech A. (7) | Michelsen A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tabilo A. | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Blockx A. (WC) | Hanfmann Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Nava E. (LL) | Shelton B. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Diallo G. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Cerundolo F. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Cobolli F. (4) | Bergs Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kopriva V. | Darderi L. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Shapovalov D. | Marozsan F. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Altmaier D. | Molcan A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Rinderknech A. (7) | Fonseca J. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Blockx A. | Shelton B. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Cerundolo F. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Cobolli F. (4) | Kopriva V. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Shapovalov D. | Molcan A. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Fonseca J. | Shelton B. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Cobolli F. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Molcan A. | Shelton B. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Cobolli F. (4) | Shelton B. (2) | 0 : 2 |
