Denis Shapovalov vs Arthur Rinderknech – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Stuttgart Denis Shapovalov - Arthur Rinderknech
Result
1:2
10/06/2025 at 05:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Stuttgart, grass - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
49
Double Faults
63
1st Serve Percentage
63%57%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (31/46)74% (29/39)
2nd Serve Points Won
37% (10/27)62% (18/29)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
26% (10/39)33% (15/46)
2nd Return Points Won
38% (11/29)63% (17/27)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)57% (4/7)
Winners
2519
Unforced Errors
1817
Net Points Won
78% (7/9)59% (10/17)
Service Points Won
56% (41/73)70% (46/66)
Return Points Won
30% (20/66)44% (32/73)
Total Points Won
44% (61/139)56% (78/139)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
67% (8/12)83% (10/12)
Return Games Won
17% (2/12)33% (4/12)
Total Games Won
42% (10/24)58% (14/24)

Chances of winning


Denis Shapovalov
63.9%
Arthur Rinderknech
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.9% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Shapovalov's form might have worsened.
  • Arthur Rinderknech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Rinderknech's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denis Shapovalov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Rinderknech, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Denis Shapovalov - Arthur Rinderknech Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.3)

    2.58
    (3.5)
    6.3%
    (5.5%)
    What is the prediction for Denis Shapovalov - Arthur Rinderknech?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Rinderknech will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Rinderknech (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 31. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 75.
    • Shapovalov has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Rinderknech's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Rinderknech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Shapovalov is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shapovalov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
    Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
    Latest results of Arthur Rinderknech
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Fognini F. (WC)Moutet C.1 : 2
    3Tien L.Nishioka Y. (RET.)1 : 1
    4Fearnley J.Nakashima B. (6)1 : 2
    5Shelton B. (3)Bye
    6Dzumhur D. (RET.)Herbert P. (Q)0 : 1
    7Arnaldi M.Struff J-L. (WC)0 : 2
    8Bonzi B.Lehecka J. (8)0 : 2
    9Michelsen A. (7)Monfils G.2 : 1
    10Engel J. (WC)Duckworth J. (Q)2 : 1
    11Safiullin R.Mpetshi Perricard G.1 : 2
    12ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (4)
    13Shapovalov D. (5)Rinderknech A.1 : 2
    14Hanfmann Y. (Q)Fucsovics M. (Q)0 : 2
    15Halys Q.Sonego L.2 : 1
    16ByeFritz T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Moutet C.2 : 0
    2Tien L.Nakashima B. (6)0 : 2
    3Shelton B. (3)Herbert P.2 : 0
    4Struff J-L.Lehecka J. (8)0 : 2
    5Michelsen A. (7)Engel J.0 : 2
    6Mpetshi Perricard G.Auger-Aliassime F. (4)0 : 2
    7Rinderknech A.Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    8Halys Q.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Nakashima B. (6)2 : 0
    2Shelton B. (3)Lehecka J. (8)2 : 0
    3Engel J.Auger-Aliassime F. (4)0 : 2
    4Fucsovics M.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Shelton B. (3)2 : 0
    2Auger-Aliassime F. (4)Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Zverev A. (1)Fritz T. (2)0 : 2