Denis Shapovalov vs Ben Shelton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Dallas, hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Premier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFranceEurosport 2
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
hungaryHungaryArena 4
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
portugalPortugalSport TV6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
48
Double Faults
24
1st serve percentage
63%72%
1st serve points won
72% (50/69)73% (59/81)
2nd serve points won
63% (25/40)56% (18/32)
Break Points Saved
83% (5/6)91% (10/11)
1st return points won
27% (22/81)29% (20/69)
2nd return points won
44% (14/32)38% (15/40)
Break Points Converted
9% (1/11)17% (1/6)
Winners
2931
Unforced errors
4239
Net points won
67% (12/18)76% (13/17)
Service Points Won
69% (75/109)68% (77/113)
Return Points Won
32% (36/113)31% (34/109)
Total Points Won
50% (111/222)50% (111/222)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
10
Service games won
94% (15/16)94% (15/16)
Return games won
6% (1/16)6% (1/16)
Total games won
50% (16/32)50% (16/32)

Chances of winning


Denis Shapovalov
36.8%
Ben Shelton
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 60.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Denis Shapovalov - Ben Shelton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.74)

    1.51
    (1.44)
    5%
    (6%)
    What is the prediction for Denis Shapovalov - Ben Shelton?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Shelton will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 51.5%92.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +2.5 Games - Shapovalov (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ben Shelton will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Shelton (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 40. Shelton is ranked ATP: 9.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Shelton will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Shelton will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shapovalov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Denis Shapovalov - Ben Shelton were as follows:
    04.10.2024 Denis Shapovalov - Ben Shelton 0:2
    02.08.2024 Denis Shapovalov - Ben Shelton Shelton B. awarded
    06.07.2024 Denis Shapovalov - Ben Shelton 2:3
    Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
    Latest results of Ben Shelton
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Giron M.2 : 1
    2Nakashima B.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    3Zheng M. (WC)Korda S.0 : 2
    4Atmane T.Tiafoe F. (8)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F. (4)Pinnington Jones J. (Q)0 : 2
    6Duckworth J.Spizzirri E. (WC)0 : 2
    7Svajda T. (WC)Quinn E.0 : 2
    8Cilic M.Tien L. (6)2 : 0
    9Shapovalov D. (7)Jodar R. (Q)2 : 0
    10Kovacevic A.Kypson P. (LL)2 : 0
    11Dimitrov G.Michelsen A.1 : 2
    12Svajda Z. (Q)Davidovich Fokina A. (3)0 : 2
    13Paul T. (5)Brooksby J.2 : 1
    14Shimabukuro S. (Q)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    15Walton A.Mannarino A.0 : 2
    16Diallo G.Shelton B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    2Korda S.Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 0
    3Pinnington Jones J.Spizzirri E.2 : 1
    4Quinn E.Cilic M.0 : 2
    5Shapovalov D. (7)Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    6Michelsen A.Davidovich Fokina A. (3)0 : 2
    7Paul T. (5)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    8Mannarino A.Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Korda S.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Cilic M.0 : 2
    3Shapovalov D. (7)Davidovich Fokina A. (3)2 : 1
    4Kecmanovic M.Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Shapovalov D. (7)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Fritz T. (1)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2