Denis Shapovalov vs Casper Ruud – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Stockholm Denis Shapovalov - Casper Ruud
Result
0:2
18/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Stockholm, hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Premier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 2
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 2

Match Stats

Aces
62
Double Faults
41
1st Serve Percentage
61%65%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (23/33)83% (34/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (9/21)41% (9/22)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
20% (8/41)33% (11/33)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (13/22)57% (12/21)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)50% (3/6)
Winners
1820
Unforced Errors
125
Net Points Won
64% (7/11)200% (14/7)
Service Points Won
59% (32/54)68% (43/63)
Return Points Won
32% (20/63)41% (22/54)
Total Points Won
44% (52/117)56% (65/117)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
30
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Denis Shapovalov
39.8%
Casper Ruud
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 59.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Denis Shapovalov - Casper Ruud Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.26)

    1.61
    (1.63)
    4%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Denis Shapovalov - Casper Ruud?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Ruud will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 35.4%82.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ruud (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 23. Ruud is ranked ATP: 12.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Shapovalov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ruud could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shapovalov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Denis Shapovalov - Casper Ruud were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Denis Shapovalov - Casper Ruud 2:0
    Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
    Latest results of Casper Ruud
    15.10.2025 Marin Cilic - Casper Ruud 0:2
    03.10.2025 Zizou Bergs - Casper Ruud Ruud C. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rune H. (1)Bye
    2De Jong J.Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    3Lajal M. (Q)Etcheverry T. M.1 : 2
    4Kecmanovic M.Muller A. (6)2 : 0
    5Humbert U. (4)Bye
    6Berrettini M.Zeppieri G. (Q)2 : 0
    7Fery A. (Q)Sonego L.0 : 2
    8Kovacevic A.Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Griekspoor T. (5)Fearnley J.1 : 2
    10Ymer E. (WC)Ymer M. (WC)2 : 0
    11Borg L. (WC)Ofner S. (PR)2 : 0
    12ByeShapovalov D. (3)
    13Popyrin A. (7)Korda S.1 : 2
    14Majchrzak K.Misolic F. (Q)2 : 0
    15Budkov Kjaer N. (NG)Cilic M.0 : 2
    16ByeRuud C. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rune H. (1)Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    3Humbert U. (4)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    4Sonego L.Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    5Fearnley J.Ymer E.0 : 2
    6Borg L.Shapovalov D. (3)1 : 2
    7Korda S.Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    8Cilic M.Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Rune H. (1)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 1
    2Humbert U. (4)Sonego L.2 : 1
    3Ymer E.Shapovalov D. (3)1 : 2
    4Korda S.Ruud C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Rune H. (RET.) (1)Humbert U. (4)1 : 0
    2Shapovalov D. (3)Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Humbert U. (4)Ruud C. (2)0 : 2