Result
0:2
18/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Stockholm, hard - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Premier Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
 Romania | Prima Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (23/33) | 83% (34/41) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 41% (9/22) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 80% (4/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 20% (8/41) | 33% (11/33) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 57% (12/21) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 50% (3/6) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 200% (14/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (32/54) | 68% (43/63) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (20/63) | 41% (22/54) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (52/117) | 56% (65/117) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 90% (9/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 33% (3/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 63% (12/19) |
Chances of winning
Denis Shapovalov
39.8% | Casper Ruud
60.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Denis Shapovalov - Casper Ruud Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.26) |
|
1.61 ↓
(1.63) |
4%
(5.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Denis Shapovalov - Casper Ruud?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Ruud will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 35.4% – 82.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ruud (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 23. Ruud is ranked ATP: 12.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Shapovalov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ruud could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shapovalov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Denis Shapovalov won against Casper Ruud?
Denis Shapovalov has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casper Ruud won against Denis Shapovalov?
Casper Ruud has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Denis Shapovalov - Casper Ruud were as follows:
09.02.2025
Denis Shapovalov
-
Casper Ruud
2:0
Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
Latest results of Casper Ruud
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Rune H. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | De Jong J. | Fucsovics M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Lajal M. (Q) | Etcheverry T. M. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Kecmanovic M. | Muller A. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Humbert U. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Berrettini M. | Zeppieri G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Fery A. (Q) | Sonego L. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Kovacevic A. | Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.) (8) | 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Griekspoor T. (5) | Fearnley J. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Ymer E. (WC) | Ymer M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Borg L. (WC) | Ofner S. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Shapovalov D. (3) | |
| 13 | Popyrin A. (7) | Korda S. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Majchrzak K. | Misolic F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Budkov Kjaer N. (NG) | Cilic M. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Ruud C. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Rune H. (1) | Fucsovics M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Etcheverry T. M. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Humbert U. (4) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Sonego L. | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Fearnley J. | Ymer E. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Borg L. | Shapovalov D. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Korda S. | Majchrzak K. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Cilic M. | Ruud C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rune H. (1) | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Humbert U. (4) | Sonego L. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Ymer E. | Shapovalov D. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Korda S. | Ruud C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Rune H. (RET.) (1) | Humbert U. (4) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Shapovalov D. (3) | Ruud C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Humbert U. (4) | Ruud C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
