Denis Shapovalov vs Casper Ruud – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Dallas
Tennis ATP Dallas Denis Shapovalov - Casper Ruud
Result
2:0
09/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Dallas (USA), hard (indoor) - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
germanyGermanySky Sport Top event
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
135
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
68%75%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (36/50)64% (35/55)
2nd Serve Points Won
65% (15/23)67% (12/18)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
36% (20/55)28% (14/50)
2nd Return Points Won
33% (6/18)35% (8/23)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)0% (0/1)
Service Points Won
70% (51/73)64% (47/73)
Return Points Won
36% (26/73)30% (22/73)
Total Points Won
53% (77/146)47% (69/146)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (11/11)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)0% (0/11)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Denis Shapovalov
57.6%		Casper Ruud
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.6% 50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 49.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denis Shapovalov's performance.
  • Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casper Ruud might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denis Shapovalov that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casper Ruud could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Denis Shapovalov - Casper Ruud Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.66 ↓
    (1.92)
    		2.24 ↑
    (1.89)    		 5%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Denis Shapovalov - Casper Ruud?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 18 - 64.3%). Ruud will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 46.6% – 82%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 54. Ruud is ranked ATP: 5.
    • Shapovalov is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Ruud is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ruud could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Shapovalov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:1.3).
    Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
    08.02.2025 Denis Shapovalov - Tommy Paul 2:0 ✺
    07.02.2025 Denis Shapovalov - Tomas Machac 2:0 ✺
    06.02.2025 Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov 1:2 ✺
    05.02.2025 Miomir Kecmanovic - Denis Shapovalov 1:2 ✺
    15.01.2025 Denis Shapovalov - Lorenzo Musetti 0:3 ✺
    Latest results of Casper Ruud
    08.02.2025 Jaume Munar - Casper Ruud 1:2 ✺
    07.02.2025 Yoshihito Nishioka - Casper Ruud Nishioka Y. retired ✺
    06.02.2025 Michael Mmoh - Casper Ruud 0:2 ✺
    04.02.2025 Marcos Giron - Casper Ruud Canceled ✺
    31.01.2025 Casper Ruud - Tomas Martin Etcheverry 2:0
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    2Kecmanovic M.Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    3Hijikata R.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    4Nishikori K.Machac T. (6)0 : 2
    5Paul T. (3)Brooksby J. (WC)2 : 1
    6Quinn E. (Q)Svajda T. (WC)2 : 0
    7Opelka R. (WC)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    8Norrie C.Michelsen A. (7)2 : 1
    9Arnaldi M. (8)Eubanks C. (Q)2 : 0
    10Davidovich Fokina A.Holt B. (Q)2 : 0
    11Munar J.Bu Y.2 : 0
    12Vukic A.Shelton B. (4)0 : 2
    13Tiafoe F. (5)Daniel T.2 : 1
    14Nishioka Y.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    15Carballes Baena R.Mmoh M. (Q)1 : 2
    16Duckworth J. (LL)Ruud C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    2Hijikata R.Machac T. (6)0 : 2
    3Paul T. (3)Quinn E.2 : 1
    4Opelka R.Norrie C.2 : 1
    5Arnaldi M. (8)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    6Munar J.Shelton B. (4)2 : 0
    7Tiafoe F. (5)Nishioka Y.1 : 2
    8Mmoh M.Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shapovalov D.Machac T. (6)2 : 0
    2Paul T. (3)Opelka R.2 : 0
    3Arnaldi M. (8)Munar J.1 : 2
    4Nishioka Y. (RET.)Ruud C. (2)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Shapovalov D.Paul T. (3)2 : 0
    2Munar J.Ruud C. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Shapovalov D.Ruud C. (2)2 : 0
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