Denis Shapovalov vs Learner Tien – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Toronto Denis Shapovalov - Learner Tien
Result
0:2
29/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
84
1st Serve Percentage
69%58%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (35/52)76% (32/42)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (10/23)50% (15/30)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)25% (1/4)
1st Return Points Won
24% (10/42)33% (17/52)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (15/30)57% (13/23)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)50% (4/8)
Winners
138
Unforced Errors
3822
Net Points Won
75% (9/12)100% (3/3)
Service Points Won
60% (45/75)65% (47/72)
Return Points Won
35% (25/72)40% (30/75)
Total Points Won
48% (70/147)52% (77/147)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
67% (8/12)75% (9/12)
Return Games Won
25% (3/12)33% (4/12)
Total Games Won
46% (11/24)54% (13/24)

Chances of winning


Denis Shapovalov
61.6%
Learner Tien
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.4% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Denis Shapovalov - Learner Tien Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.51)

    2.5
    (2.61)
    5%
    (4.8%)
    What is the prediction for Denis Shapovalov - Learner Tien?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 24 - 80%). Tien will win (votes: 6 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 65.7%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Denis Shapovalov will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 29. Tien is ranked ATP: 61.
    • Shapovalov is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Tien has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tien may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Shapovalov could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
    Latest results of Learner Tien
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Walton A.Bonzi B.2 : 1
    3Schoolkate T. (Q)Fonseca J.2 : 0
    4ByeArnaldi M. (32)
    5Griekspoor T. (24)Bye
    6Herbert P. (Q)Etcheverry T. M.1 : 2
    7Martin D. (Q)Munar J.0 : 2
    8ByeCerundolo F. (14)
    9Medvedev D. (10)Bye
    10Blockx A. (Q)Svrcina D. (LL)0 : 2
    11Arseneault N. (WC)Royer V. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByePopyrin A. (18)
    13Muller A. (29)Bye
    14Kecmanovic M.Halys Q.2 : 1
    15Mochizuki S. (Q)Mpetshi Perricard G.0 : 2
    16ByeRune H. (5)
    17Musetti L. (3)Bye
    18Shang J.Duckworth J. (Q)0 : 2
    19Monfils G.Barrios Vera T. (Q)1 : 2
    20ByeMichelsen A. (26)
    21Shapovalov D. (22)Bye
    22Smith C. (Q)Tien L.0 : 2
    23Ofner S. (PR)Opelka R.0 : 2
    24ByeMachac T. (16)
    25Khachanov K. (11)Bye
    26Fearnley J.Ficovich J. P. (Q)0 : 2
    27Nava E. (Q)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    28ByeAtmane T. (LL)
    29Borges N. (30)Bye
    30Bagnis F. (Q)Pospisil V. (WC)2 : 1
    31Safiullin R.Blanchet U. (Q)2 : 1
    32ByeRuud C. (8)
    33Tiafoe F. (7)Bye
    34Watanuki Y. (Q)Altmaier D.2 : 1
    35Vukic A.Martinez P.2 : 0
    36ByeNorrie C. (31)
    37Tsitsipas S. (23)Bye
    38O'Connell C.Tseng C. H. (LL)2 : 0
    39Comesana F.Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    40ByeDe Minaur A. (9)
    41Cobolli F. (13)Bye
    42Rinderknech A.Galarneau A. (WC)0 : 2
    43Marozsan F.Dellien H.2 : 0
    44ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (21)
    45Nakashima B. (25)Bye
    46Quinn E.Nishioka Y.2 : 0
    47Giron M.Mannarino A. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeShelton B. (4)
    49Rublev A. (6)Bye
    50Bellucci M. (RET.)Gaston H.1 : 1
    51Kopriva V.Bu Y.0 : 2
    52ByeSonego L. (28)
    53Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    54Moutet C.Brooksby J. (PR)2 : 0
    55Boyer T. (Q)Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Fils A. (15)Bye
    58Draxl L. (WC)Carreno-Busta P.1 : 2
    59McDonald M.Goffin D.2 : 0
    60ByeLehecka J. (19)
    61Diallo G. (27)Bye
    62Coric B.Gigante M. (WC)1 : 2
    63Carballes Baena R.Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.)1 : 0
    64ByeFritz T. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Walton A.2 : 0
    2Schoolkate T.Arnaldi M. (32)1 : 2
    3Griekspoor T. (24)Etcheverry T. M.0 : 2
    4Munar J.Cerundolo F. (14)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (10)Svrcina D.2 : 0
    6Arseneault N.Popyrin A. (18)0 : 2
    7Muller A. (29)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    8Mpetshi Perricard G.Rune H. (5)0 : 2
    9Musetti L. (3)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    10Barrios Vera T.Michelsen A. (26)0 : 2
    11Shapovalov D. (22)Tien L.0 : 2
    12Opelka R.Machac T. (16)2 : 1
    13Khachanov K. (11)Ficovich J. P.2 : 0
    14Nava E.Atmane T.2 : 0
    15Borges N. (30)Bagnis F.2 : 1
    16Safiullin R.Ruud C. (8)0 : 2
    17Tiafoe F. (7)Watanuki Y.2 : 1
    18Vukic A.Norrie C. (31)2 : 1
    19Tsitsipas S. (23)O'Connell C.1 : 2
    20Comesana F.De Minaur A. (9)0 : 2
    21Cobolli F. (13)Galarneau A.2 : 1
    22Marozsan F.Auger-Aliassime F. (21)2 : 0
    23Nakashima B. (25)Quinn E.2 : 0
    24Mannarino A.Shelton B. (4)0 : 2
    25Rublev A. (6)Gaston H.2 : 0
    26Bu Y.Sonego L. (28)0 : 2
    27Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Moutet C.2 : 0
    28Boyer T.Mensik J. (12)0 : 2
    29Fils A. (15)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    30McDonald M.Lehecka J. (19)0 : 2
    31Diallo G. (27)Gigante M.2 : 0
    32Carballes Baena R.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Arnaldi M. (32)2 : 1
    2Etcheverry T. M.Cerundolo F. (14)0 : 2
    3Medvedev D. (10)Popyrin A. (18)1 : 2
    4Muller A. (29)Rune H. (5)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (3)Michelsen A. (26)1 : 2
    6Tien L.Opelka R.2 : 0
    7Khachanov K. (11)Nava E.2 : 1
    8Borges N. (30)Ruud C. (8)0 : 2
    9Tiafoe F. (7)Vukic A.2 : 1
    10O'Connell C.De Minaur A. (WO.) (9)
    11Cobolli F. (13)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    12Nakashima B. (25)Shelton B. (4)1 : 2
    13Rublev A. (6)Sonego L. (28)2 : 1
    14Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Mensik J. (12)2 : 0
    15Fils A. (15)Lehecka J. (19)1 : 2
    16Diallo G. (27)Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Cerundolo F. (RET.) (14)1 : 0
    2Popyrin A. (18)Rune H. (5)2 : 1
    3Michelsen A. (26)Tien L.2 : 0
    4Khachanov K. (11)Ruud C. (8)2 : 0
    5Tiafoe F. (7)De Minaur A. (9)1 : 2
    6Cobolli F. (13)Shelton B. (4)1 : 2
    7Rublev A. (6)Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) (20)1 : 1
    8Lehecka J. (19)Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Popyrin A. (18)2 : 1
    2Michelsen A. (26)Khachanov K. (11)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (9)Shelton B. (4)0 : 2
    4Rublev A. (6)Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Khachanov K. (11)1 : 2
    2Shelton B. (4)Fritz T. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Khachanov K. (11)Shelton B. (4)1 : 2