Marton Fucsovics vs Denis Shapovalov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/08/2025 at 11:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY).

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max

Match Stats


Aces
1	8
Double Faults
8	5
1st Serve Percentage
57%	52%
1st Serve Points Won
56% (28/50)	67% (29/43)
2nd Serve Points Won
29% (11/38)	56% (22/39)
Break Points Saved
27% (3/11)	57% (4/7)
Average 1st Serve Speed
175 km/h	184 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
147 km/h	151 km/h
1st Return Points Won
37% (16/43)	48% (24/50)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (17/39)	71% (27/38)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)	73% (8/11)
Winners
14	28
Unforced Errors
38	35
Net Points Won
73% (8/11)	61% (11/18)
Service Points Won
45% (39/86)	62% (49/79)
Return Points Won
38% (30/79)	55% (47/86)
Total Points Won
42% (69/165)	58% (96/165)
Last 10 Balls
2	8
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
38% (5/13)	77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)	62% (8/13)
Total Games Won
31% (8/26)	69% (18/26)
Distance Covered (metres)
1637	1757

Chances of winning

Marton Fucsovics
47.9%

Denis Shapovalov
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marton Fucsovics has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marton Fucsovics's performance.

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Denis Shapovalov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marton Fucsovics than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marton Fucsovics that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denis Shapovalov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marton Fucsovics - Denis Shapovalov Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.5)		1.83 ↑ (1.53)	4.9% (5.4%)

What is the prediction for Marton Fucsovics - Denis Shapovalov?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +1.5 Sets - Fucsovics (votes: 3 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Marton Fucsovics will win (37 of 41 users predict this - 90.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.16% – 99.32%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Marton Fucsovics will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:3.

Preview Facts

Fucsovics is ranked ATP: 94. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 30.
Fucsovics is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Shapovalov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Fucsovics may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fucsovics won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Marton Fucsovics won against Denis Shapovalov?

Marton Fucsovics has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Denis Shapovalov won against Marton Fucsovics?

Denis Shapovalov has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Marton Fucsovics - Denis Shapovalov were as follows:

04.11.2024 Marton Fucsovics - Denis Shapovalov 1:2

13.06.2023 Denis Shapovalov - Marton Fucsovics 1:2

Latest results of Marton Fucsovics

23.08.2025 Botic Van De Zandschulp - Marton Fucsovics 0:2 ✺

22.08.2025 Sebastian Korda - Marton Fucsovics Fucsovics M. walkover ✺

21.08.2025 Jaume Munar - Marton Fucsovics 0:2 ✺

20.08.2025 Roberto Bautista-Agut - Marton Fucsovics 0:2 ✺

19.08.2025 Marton Fucsovics - Tallon Griekspoor 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Denis Shapovalov

10.08.2025 Luca Nardi - Denis Shapovalov 2:1 ✺

29.07.2025 Denis Shapovalov - Learner Tien 0:2 ✺

19.07.2025 Aleksandar Kovacevic - Denis Shapovalov 0:2 ✺

18.07.2025 Denis Shapovalov - Adam Walton 2:0 ✺

17.07.2025 Tristan Schoolkate - Denis Shapovalov 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Kopriva V.	3 : 0
2	Popyrin A.	Ruusuvuori E.	3 : 0
3	Royer V. (WC)	Bu Y.	3 : 0
4	Fucsovics M.	Shapovalov D. (27)	0 : 3
5	Bublik A. (23)	Cilic M.	3 : 0
6	Sonego L.	Schoolkate T. (WC)	2 : 3
7	Borges N.	Holt B.	3 : 0
8	Moller E.	Paul T. (14)	0 : 3
9	Musetti L. (10)	Mpetshi Perricard G.	3 : 1
10	Halys Q.	Goffin D.	1 : 3
11	Brooksby J.	Vukic A.	3 : 2
12	Passaro F. (Q)	Cobolli F. (24)	2 : 3
13	Diallo G. (31)	Dzumhur D.	3 : 1
14	Munar J.	Faria J. (LL)	3 : 1
15	Bergs Z.	Tseng C. H.	3 : 0
16	Gomez F. A. (Q)	Draper J. (5)	1 : 3
17	Zverev A. (3)	Tabilo A.	3 : 0
18	Bautista-Agut R.	Fearnley J.	1 : 3
19	Monfils G.	Safiullin R.	2 : 3
20	Harris B. (LL)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	0 : 3
21	Humbert U. (22)	Walton A.	1 : 3
22	Kovacevic A.	Wong C. (Q)	0 : 3
23	Duckworth J. (LL)	Boyer T. (WC)	0 : 3
24	Prizmic D. (Q)	Rublev A. (15)	0 : 3
25	Khachanov K. (9)	Basavareddy N. (WC)	3 : 1
26	Dellien H.	Majchrzak K.	1 : 3
27	Riedi L. (Q)	Martinez P.	3 : 0
28	Arnaldi M.	Cerundolo F. (19)	2 : 3
29	Tsitsipas S. (26)	Muller A.	3 : 1
30	Altmaier D.	Medjedovic H.	3 : 2
31	Gaston H.	Mochizuki S. (Q)	0 : 3
32	O'Connell C.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
33	Djokovic N. (7)	Tien L.	3 : 0
34	Svajda Z. (Q)	Piros Z. (Q)	3 : 0
35	Norrie C.	Korda S. (RET.)	2 : 0
36	Comesana F.	Michelsen A. (28)	3 : 1
37	Tiafoe F. (17)	Nishioka Y.	3 : 0
38	Damm M. (Q)	Blanch Dar. (WC)	3 : 0
39	Struff J-L. (Q)	McDonald M.	3 : 1
40	Van De Zandschulp B.	Rune H. (11)	0 : 3
41	Mensik J. (16)	Jarry N.	3 : 0
42	Blanchet U. (Q)	Marozsan F.	3 : 1
43	Fonseca J.	Kecmanovic M.	3 : 0
44	Nardi L.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
45	Nakashima B. (30)	De Jong J. (Q)	3 : 2
46	Kym J. (Q)	Quinn E.	3 : 1
47	Baez S.	Harris L. (Q)	0 : 3
48	Nava E. (WC)	Fritz T. (4)	0 : 3
49	Shelton B. (6)	Buse I. (Q)	3 : 0
50	Carreno-Busta P.	Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)	3 : 0
51	Thompson J.	Moutet C.	3 : 1
52	Mannarino A.	Griekspoor T. (29)	3 : 0
53	Lehecka J. (20)	Coric B.	3 : 1
54	Ugo Carabelli C.	Etcheverry T. M.	0 : 3
55	Galan D. E. (Alt)	Collignon R.	0 : 3
56	Ofner S.	Ruud C. (12)	0 : 3
57	Medvedev D. (13)	Bonzi B.	2 : 3
58	Navone M.	Giron M.	2 : 3
59	Carballes Baena R.	Rinderknech A.	1 : 3
60	Shevchenko A.	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	0 : 3
61	Darderi L. (32)	Hijikata R.	3 : 0
62	Dostanic S. (WC)	Spizzirri E. (WC)	0 : 3
63	Bellucci M.	Shang J. (RET.)	2 : 1
64	Opelka R.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/32-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Popyrin A.	3 : 0
2	Royer V.	Shapovalov D. (27)	1 : 3
3	Bublik A. (23)	Schoolkate T.	3 : 0
4	Borges N.	Paul T. (14)	2 : 3
5	Musetti L. (10)	Goffin D.	3 : 0
6	Brooksby J.	Cobolli F. (24)	2 : 3
7	Diallo G. (31)	Munar J.	0 : 3
8	Bergs Z. (WO.)	Draper J. (5)
9	Zverev A. (3)	Fearnley J.	3 : 0
10	Safiullin R.	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	0 : 3
11	Walton A.	Wong C.	1 : 3
12	Boyer T.	Rublev A. (15)	1 : 3
13	Khachanov K. (9)	Majchrzak K.	2 : 3
14	Riedi L.	Cerundolo F. (19)	3 : 2
15	Tsitsipas S. (26)	Altmaier D.	2 : 3
16	Mochizuki S.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
17	Djokovic N. (7)	Svajda Z.	3 : 1
18	Norrie C.	Comesana F.	3 : 1
19	Tiafoe F. (17)	Damm M.	3 : 1
20	Struff J-L.	Rune H. (11)	3 : 2
21	Mensik J. (16)	Blanchet U.	2 : 3
22	Fonseca J.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
23	Nakashima B. (30)	Kym J.	2 : 3
24	Harris L.	Fritz T. (4)	1 : 3
25	Shelton B. (6)	Carreno-Busta P.	3 : 0
26	Thompson J.	Mannarino A.	1 : 3
27	Lehecka J. (20)	Etcheverry T. M.	3 : 1
28	Collignon R.	Ruud C. (12)	3 : 2
29	Bonzi B.	Giron M.	3 : 2
30	Rinderknech A.	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	3 : 2
31	Darderi L. (32)	Spizzirri E.	3 : 1
32	Bellucci M.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/16-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Shapovalov D. (27)	3 : 1
2	Bublik A. (23)	Paul T. (14)	3 : 2
3	Musetti L. (10)	Cobolli F. (RET.) (24)	2 : 0
4	Munar J.	Bergs Z.	3 : 0
5	Zverev A. (3)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	1 : 3
6	Wong C.	Rublev A. (15)	2 : 3
7	Majchrzak K. (RET.)	Riedi L.	0 : 0
8	Altmaier D. (RET.)	De Minaur A. (8)	1 : 2
9	Djokovic N. (7)	Norrie C.	3 : 1
10	Tiafoe F. (17)	Struff J-L.	0 : 3
11	Blanchet U.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
12	Kym J.	Fritz T. (4)	1 : 3
13	Shelton B. (RET.) (6)	Mannarino A.	2 : 2
14	Lehecka J. (20)	Collignon R.	3 : 0
15	Bonzi B.	Rinderknech A.	1 : 3
16	Darderi L. (32)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/8-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Bublik A. (23)	3 : 0
2	Musetti L. (10)	Munar J.	3 : 0
3	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	Rublev A. (15)	3 : 0
4	Riedi L.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
5	Djokovic N. (7)	Struff J-L.	3 : 0
6	Machac T. (21)	Fritz T. (4)	0 : 3
7	Mannarino A.	Lehecka J. (20)	1 : 3
8	Rinderknech A.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Quarter-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Musetti L. (10)	3 : 0
2	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	De Minaur A. (8)	3 : 1
3	Djokovic N. (7)	Fritz T. (4)	3 : 1
4	Lehecka J. (20)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Semi-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	3 : 1
2	Djokovic N. (7)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Final

1

Sinner J. (1)

Alcaraz C. (2)

1 : 3