Denis Shapovalov vs Pedro Martinez Portero: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

26/05/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Roland-Garros (Paris).

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Match Stats


Aces
8	0
Double Faults
7	4
1st Serve Percentage
62%	67%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (32/44)	53% (24/45)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (12/27)	18% (4/22)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)	27% (3/11)
Average 1st Serve Speed
189 km/h	169 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
157 km/h	146 km/h
1st Return Points Won
47% (21/45)	30% (13/44)
2nd Return Points Won
82% (18/22)	56% (15/27)
Break Points Converted
73% (8/11)	50% (2/4)
Winners
38	9
Unforced Errors
31	28
Net Points Won
76% (16/21)	50% (8/16)
Service Points Won
62% (44/71)	41% (27/66)
Return Points Won
59% (39/66)	38% (27/71)
Total Points Won
61% (83/137)	39% (54/137)
Last 10 Balls
4	6
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
83% (10/12)	27% (3/11)
Return Games Won
73% (8/11)	17% (2/12)
Total Games Won
78% (18/23)	22% (5/23)

Chances of winning

Denis Shapovalov
64%

Pedro Martinez Portero
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denis Shapovalov's performance.

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Martinez Portero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denis Shapovalov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Denis Shapovalov - Pedro Martinez Portero Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.6)		2.64 ↑ (2.24)	4.8% (7.1%)

What is the prediction for Denis Shapovalov - Pedro Martinez Portero?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 42.8% – 90.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Martinez Portero (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.

Preview Facts

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 27. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 48.
Shapovalov is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Martinez Portero has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Martinez Portero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Shapovalov is seen as the favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shapovalov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Denis Shapovalov won against Pedro Martinez Portero?

Denis Shapovalov has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Pedro Martinez Portero won against Denis Shapovalov?

Pedro Martinez Portero has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Denis Shapovalov - Pedro Martinez Portero were as follows:

Latest results of Denis Shapovalov

09.05.2025 Denis Shapovalov - Vilius Gaubas 0:2 ✺

29.04.2025 Alex De Minaur - Denis Shapovalov 2:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Kei Nishikori - Denis Shapovalov 0:2 ✺

15.04.2025 Diego Dedura-Palomero - Denis Shapovalov Shapovalov D. retired ✺

15.04.2025 Gael Monfils - Denis Shapovalov Canceled ✺

Latest results of Pedro Martinez Portero

18.05.2025 Pedro Martinez Portero - Francisco Cerundolo 0:2 ✺

10.05.2025 Pedro Martinez Portero - Hubert Hurkacz 0:2 ✺

08.05.2025 Mattia Bellucci - Pedro Martinez Portero 0:2 ✺

30.04.2025 Pedro Martinez Portero - Alexey Vatutin 0:2 ✺

30.04.2025 Pedro Martinez Portero - Aziz Dougaz Canceled ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Rinderknech A.	3 : 0
2	Atmane T. (WC)	Gasquet R. (WC)	1 : 3
3	Lehecka J.	Thompson J.	3 : 0
4	Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)	Davidovich Fokina A. (26)	1 : 3
5	Rublev A. (17)	Harris L. (Q)	3 : 1
6	Marterer M. (Q)	Walton A.	2 : 3
7	Ugo Carabelli C.	Munar J.	0 : 3
8	Jarry N.	Fils A. (14)	1 : 3
9	De Minaur A. (9)	Djere L.	3 : 0
10	Bublik A.	Duckworth J.	3 : 0
11	Basilashvili N. (Q)	Rocha H. (Q)	2 : 3
12	Muller A.	Mensik J. (19)	1 : 3
13	Hurkacz H. (30)	Fonseca J.	0 : 3
14	Herbert P. (WC)	Bonzi B.	3 : 2
15	Monfils G.	Dellien H.	3 : 2
16	Bellucci M.	Draper J. (5)	1 : 3
17	Zverev A. (3)	Tien L.	3 : 0
18	De Jong J.	Passaro F.	3 : 2
19	Cilic M. (LL)	Cobolli F.	0 : 3
20	Arnaldi M.	Auger-Aliassime F. (29)	3 : 2
21	Cerundolo F. (18)	Diallo G.	0 : 3
22	Giron M.	Griekspoor T.	1 : 3
23	Shevchenko A. (LL)	Lajovic D.	3 : 0
24	Quinn E. (Q)	Dimitrov G. (RET.) (16)	1 : 2
25	Medvedev D. (11)	Norrie C.	2 : 3
26	Kovacevic A.	Gomez F. A. (LL)	1 : 3
27	Fearnley J.	Wawrinka S. (WC)	3 : 0
28	O'Connell C.	Humbert U. (22)	0 : 3
29	Shapovalov D. (27)	Martinez P.	3 : 0
30	Misolic F. (Q)	Bu Y.	3 : 1
31	Moutet C.	Tabur C. (Q)	3 : 0
32	McDonald M.	Djokovic N. (6)	0 : 3
33	Musetti L. (8)	Hanfmann Y. (Q)	3 : 0
34	Royer V. (WC)	Galan D. E. (LL)	2 : 3
35	Opelka R.	Hijikata R.	3 : 1
36	Navone M.	Nakashima B. (28)	3 : 1
37	Machac T. (RET.) (21)	Halys Q.	0 : 1
38	Kecmanovic M.	Baez S.	3 : 2
39	Nava E. (WC)	Van De Zandschulp B.	3 : 0
40	Bautista-Agut R.	Rune H. (10)	1 : 3
41	Tiafoe F. (15)	Safiullin R.	3 : 0
42	Carreno-Busta P.	Comesana F.	3 : 0
43	Brooksby J.	Faria J.	3 : 1
44	Darderi L.	Korda S. (23)	1 : 3
45	Michelsen A. (32)	Cerundolo J. M. (Q)	0 : 3
46	Majchrzak K.	Medjedovic H.	0 : 3
47	Kopriva V.	Monteiro T.	3 : 2
48	Altmaier D.	Fritz T. (4)	3 : 1
49	Ruud C. (7)	Ramos A. (Q)	3 : 0
50	Jacquet K. (Q)	Borges N.	2 : 3
51	Tabilo A.	Cazaux A. (WC)	3 : 2
52	Nishioka Y. (RET.)	Popyrin A. (25)	0 : 2
53	Khachanov K. (24)	Vukic A.	3 : 0
54	Ofner S.	Struff J-L.	3 : 1
55	Fucsovics M.	Schoolkate T. (WC)	3 : 0
56	Moller E. (LL)	Paul T. (12)	1 : 3
57	Shelton B. (13)	Sonego L.	3 : 2
58	Gaston H.	Blanchet U. (Q)	3 : 2
59	Hassan B. (Q)	Gigante M. (Q)	0 : 3
60	Etcheverry T. M.	Tsitsipas S. (20)	0 : 3
61	Mpetshi Perricard G. (31)	Bergs Z.	3 : 1
62	Tirante T. A. (LL)	Dzumhur D.	1 : 3
63	Marozsan F.	Nardi L.	3 : 0
64	Zeppieri G. (Q)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/32-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Gasquet R.	3 : 0
2	Lehecka J.	Davidovich Fokina A. (26)	3 : 1
3	Rublev A. (17)	Walton A.	3 : 0
4	Munar J.	Fils A. (14)	2 : 3
5	De Minaur A. (9)	Bublik A.	2 : 3
6	Rocha H.	Mensik J. (19)	3 : 2
7	Fonseca J.	Herbert P.	3 : 0
8	Monfils G.	Draper J. (5)	1 : 3
9	Zverev A. (3)	De Jong J.	3 : 1
10	Cobolli F.	Arnaldi M.	3 : 1
11	Diallo G.	Griekspoor T.	1 : 3
12	Shevchenko A.	Quinn E.	2 : 3
13	Norrie C.	Gomez F. A.	3 : 0
14	Fearnley J.	Humbert U. (RET.) (22)	1 : 0
15	Shapovalov D. (27)	Misolic F.	2 : 3
16	Moutet C.	Djokovic N. (6)	0 : 3
17	Musetti L. (8)	Galan D. E.	3 : 0
18	Opelka R.	Navone M.	0 : 3
19	Halys Q.	Kecmanovic M.	3 : 1
20	Nava E.	Rune H. (10)	0 : 3
21	Tiafoe F. (15)	Carreno-Busta P.	3 : 0
22	Brooksby J.	Korda S. (23)	0 : 3
23	Cerundolo J. M.	Medjedovic H.	0 : 3
24	Kopriva V.	Altmaier D.	1 : 3
25	Ruud C. (7)	Borges N.	1 : 3
26	Tabilo A.	Popyrin A. (25)	0 : 3
27	Khachanov K. (24)	Ofner S.	3 : 2
28	Fucsovics M.	Paul T. (12)	2 : 3
29	Shelton B. (WO.) (13)	Gaston H.
30	Gigante M.	Tsitsipas S. (20)	3 : 1
31	Mpetshi Perricard G. (31)	Dzumhur D.	1 : 3
32	Marozsan F.	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 3

1/16-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Lehecka J.	3 : 0
2	Rublev A. (WO.) (17)	Fils A. (14)
3	Bublik A.	Rocha H.	3 : 0
4	Fonseca J.	Draper J. (5)	0 : 3
5	Zverev A. (3)	Cobolli F.	3 : 0
6	Griekspoor T.	Quinn E.	3 : 2
7	Norrie C.	Fearnley J.	3 : 0
8	Misolic F.	Djokovic N. (6)	0 : 3
9	Musetti L. (8)	Navone M.	3 : 1
10	Halys Q.	Rune H. (10)	2 : 3
11	Tiafoe F. (15)	Korda S. (23)	3 : 0
12	Medjedovic H.	Altmaier D.	1 : 3
13	Borges N.	Popyrin A. (25)	0 : 3
14	Khachanov K. (24)	Paul T. (12)	2 : 3
15	Shelton B. (13)	Gigante M.	3 : 0
16	Dzumhur D.	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 3

1/8-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Rublev A. (17)	3 : 0
2	Bublik A.	Draper J. (5)	3 : 1
3	Zverev A. (3)	Griekspoor T. (RET.)	1 : 0
4	Norrie C.	Djokovic N. (6)	0 : 3
5	Musetti L. (8)	Rune H. (10)	3 : 1
6	Tiafoe F. (15)	Altmaier D.	3 : 0
7	Popyrin A. (25)	Paul T. (12)	0 : 3
8	Shelton B. (13)	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 3

Quarter-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Bublik A.	3 : 0
2	Zverev A. (3)	Djokovic N. (6)	1 : 3
3	Musetti L. (8)	Tiafoe F. (15)	3 : 1
4	Paul T. (12)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Semi-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Djokovic N. (6)	3 : 0
2	Musetti L. (RET.) (8)	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

Final

1

Sinner J. (1)

Alcaraz C. (2)

2 : 3

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