Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
10/02/2026 at 22:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Dallas, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
71
Double Faults
31
1st serve percentage
50%61%
1st serve points won
73% (16/22)50% (18/36)
2nd serve points won
68% (15/22)30% (7/23)
Break Points Saved
83% (5/6)40% (4/10)
1st return points won
53% (19/36)27% (6/22)
2nd return points won
70% (16/23)32% (7/22)
Break Points Converted
60% (6/10)17% (1/6)
Winners
233
Unforced errors
2219
Net points won
90% (9/10)100% (1/1)
Service Points Won
70% (31/44)40% (23/58)
Return Points Won
60% (35/58)30% (13/44)
Total Points Won
65% (66/102)35% (36/102)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
01
Service games won
86% (6/7)25% (2/8)
Return games won
75% (6/8)14% (1/7)
Total games won
80% (12/15)20% (3/15)

Chances of winning


Denis Shapovalov
52.5%
Rafael Jodar
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.3% 39.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Shapovalov's form might have worsened.
  • Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rafael Jodar's recent form is better than expected.
  • Denis Shapovalov - Rafael Jodar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.57)

    2
    (2.38)
    5.2%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Denis Shapovalov - Rafael Jodar?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Jodar will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 59.8%94.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Denis Shapovalov will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 40. Jodar is ranked ATP: 124.
    • Jodar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Shapovalov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
    Latest results of Rafael Jodar
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Giron M.2 : 1
    2Nakashima B.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    3Zheng M. (WC)Korda S.0 : 2
    4Atmane T.Tiafoe F. (8)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F. (4)Pinnington Jones J. (Q)0 : 2
    6Duckworth J.Spizzirri E. (WC)0 : 2
    7Svajda T. (WC)Quinn E.0 : 2
    8Cilic M.Tien L. (6)2 : 0
    9Shapovalov D. (7)Jodar R. (Q)2 : 0
    10Kovacevic A.Kypson P. (LL)2 : 0
    11Dimitrov G.Michelsen A.1 : 2
    12Svajda Z. (Q)Davidovich Fokina A. (3)0 : 2
    13Paul T. (5)Brooksby J.2 : 1
    14Shimabukuro S. (Q)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    15Walton A.Mannarino A.0 : 2
    16Diallo G.Shelton B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    2Korda S.Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 0
    3Pinnington Jones J.Spizzirri E.2 : 1
    4Quinn E.Cilic M.0 : 2
    5Shapovalov D. (7)Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    6Michelsen A.Davidovich Fokina A. (3)0 : 2
    7Paul T. (5)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    8Mannarino A.Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Korda S.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Cilic M.0 : 2
    3Shapovalov D. (7)Davidovich Fokina A. (3)2 : 1
    4Kecmanovic M.Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Shapovalov D. (7)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Fritz T. (1)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2