Denis Yevseyev vs Luca Castelnuovo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Guiyang Men Denis Yevseyev - Luca Castelnuovo
Result
1:2
18/09/2025 at 23:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Guiyang, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
28

Chances of winning


Denis Yevseyev
56%
Luca Castelnuovo
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 44.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Denis Yevseyev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Denis Yevseyev - Luca Castelnuovo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.69)

    2.11
    (2.08)
    7.8%
    (7.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 340. Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 465.
    • Recent performances by Yevseyev have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Castelnuovo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Yevseyev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Denis Yevseyev
    16.09.2025 Denis Yevseyev - Evan Zhu 2:1
    10.09.2025 Billy Harris - Denis Yevseyev Yevseyev D. retired
    31.08.2025 Denis Yevseyev - Joshua Charlton Yevseyev D. retired
    Latest results of Luca Castelnuovo
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Jasika O. (1)Dong Z.2 : 1
    2Liu H.Mo Y. C.0 : 2
    3Zeng Y.Tang S.2 : 1
    4Wang X.Shin W. (RET.) (8)0 : 0
    5Yevseyev D. (4)Zhu E.2 : 1
    6Hazawa S.Trongcharoenchaikul W.0 : 2
    7Castelnuovo L.Jin Y.2 : 0
    8Lee K.Wang Q. (LL)2 : 0
    9Binda A. (5)Lee D. H.2 : 1
    10Shin M.Ferguson C.0 : 2
    11Vujic S.Sun Qian2 : 1
    12Alvarado P.Bar Biryukov P. (3)0 : 2
    13Huang T. (7)Yang X.2 : 0
    14Zhao Z.Santillan A.0 : 2
    15Tang J.Leong M. W. K.1 : 2
    16Tan J. D.Sharipov M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Jasika O. (1)Mo Y. C.2 : 1
    2Zeng Y.Wang X.1 : 2
    3Yevseyev D. (4)Trongcharoenchaikul W.2 : 1
    4Castelnuovo L.Lee K.2 : 0
    5Binda A. (5)Ferguson C.1 : 2
    6Vujic S.Bar Biryukov P. (3)1 : 2
    7Huang T. (7)Santillan A.0 : 2
    8Leong M. W. K.Sharipov M. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Jasika O. (1)Wang X.2 : 0
    2Yevseyev D. (4)Castelnuovo L.1 : 2
    3Ferguson C.Bar Biryukov P. (3)1 : 2
    4Santillan A.Sharipov M. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Jasika O. (RET.) (1)Castelnuovo L.1 : 1
    2Bar Biryukov P. (WO.) (3)Santillan A.

    Final
    1Castelnuovo L.Bar Biryukov P. (3)2 : 0