Denis Yevseyev vs Roberto Carballes Baena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Bastad Denis Yevseyev - Roberto Carballes Baena
Result
1:2
17/07/2024 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden), clay - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2, SportKlub 5
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 3
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2, SportKlub 4, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6
tanzaniaTanzaniaTV E

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
44
1st Serve Percentage
65%62%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (32/54)68% (41/60)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (15/29)46% (17/37)
Break Points Saved
69% (9/13)77% (10/13)
1st Return Points Won
33% (20/60)41% (22/54)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (20/37)48% (14/29)
Break Points Converted
23% (3/13)31% (4/13)
Winners
2823
Unforced Errors
2114
Net Points Won
48% (10/21)71% (10/14)
Max Points In Row
129
Service Points Won
57% (47/83)60% (58/97)
Return Points Won
40% (39/97)43% (36/83)
Total Points Won
48% (86/180)52% (94/180)
Max Games In Row
75
Service Games Won
67% (8/12)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)33% (4/12)
Total Games Won
44% (11/25)56% (14/25)

Chances of winning


Denis Yevseyev
17.5%
Roberto Carballes Baena
82.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.2% 70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6% 71.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Denis Yevseyev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Yevseyev's form might have worsened.
  • Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denis Yevseyev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Denis Yevseyev - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.5
    (3.27)

    1.15
    (1.35)
    4.8%
    (4.7%)
    What is the prediction for Denis Yevseyev - Roberto Carballes Baena?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Yevseyev is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Carballes Baena in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Yevseyev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Carballes Baena is certain favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Denis Yevseyev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Barrios Vera T.Navone M.0 : 2
    3Gaston H.Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    4Ofner S.Dzumhur D. (7)0 : 2
    5Baez S. (4)Bye
    6Monteiro T. (Q)Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)1 : 2
    7Ymer E. (WC)Boyer T.2 : 1
    8Collignon R.Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    9Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Garin C.2 : 0
    10Ymer M. (WC)Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    11Misolic F. (Q)Moller E.2 : 1
    12ByeBorges N. (3)
    13Kopriva V. (8)Dellien H. (RET.)1 : 0
    14Rejchtman Vinciguerra W. (WC)De Jong J.0 : 2
    15Pellegrino A. (Q)Faria J.2 : 1
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Gaston H.Dzumhur D. (7)1 : 2
    3Baez S. (4)Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 1
    4Ymer E.Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    6Misolic F.Borges N. (3)2 : 1
    7Kopriva V. (8)De Jong J.0 : 2
    8Pellegrino A.Griekspoor T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Dzumhur D. (7)2 : 1
    2Baez S. (4)Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Misolic F.2 : 0
    4De Jong J.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    2Ugo Carabelli C. (5)De Jong J.0 : 2

    Final
    1Darderi L. (6)De Jong J.2 : 1