Denis Yevseyev vs Samuele Pieri – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
23/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
34
1st serve percentage
75%59%
1st serve points won
64% (49/76)65% (30/46)
2nd serve points won
32% (8/25)47% (15/32)
Break Points Saved
5/104/8
1st return points won
35% (16/46)36% (27/76)
2nd return points won
53% (17/32)68% (17/25)
Break Points Converted
4/85/10
Winners
1636
Unforced errors
2959
Net points won
91% (10/11)73% (8/11)
Service Points Won
56% (57/101)58% (45/78)
Return Points Won
42% (33/78)44% (44/101)
Total Points Won
50% (90/179)50% (89/179)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
10
Service games won
64% (9/14)69% (9/13)
Return games won
31% (4/13)36% (5/14)
Total games won
48% (13/27)52% (14/27)

Chances of winning


Denis Yevseyev
56.8%
Samuele Pieri
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Denis Yevseyev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Samuele Pieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denis Yevseyev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samuele Pieri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Denis Yevseyev - Samuele Pieri Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.56)

    2.16
    (2.25)
    7.1%
    (8.8%)
    What is the prediction for Denis Yevseyev - Samuele Pieri?
  • Users Predictions: Denis Yevseyev will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 364. Pieri is ranked ATP: 494.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Yevseyev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Yevseyev could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Denis Yevseyev
    Latest results of Samuele Pieri
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Skatov T.2 : 0
    2Kolar Z.Moro Canas A.1 : 2
    3Gakhov I. (RET.)Harris L.0 : 1
    4Cecchinato M.Lajovic D. (8)2 : 0
    5Martinez P. (4)Sanchez Jover C. (WC)2 : 0
    6Bertola R.Hassan B. (LL)2 : 0
    7Sanchez Quilez A. (Q)Montes-De La Torre I. (WC)2 : 0
    8Gulin S. (Q)Carreno-Busta P. (5)0 : 2
    9Choinski J. (7)Pereira T. (Q)2 : 0
    10Safiullin R.Bailly G. A.2 : 0
    11Merida Aguilar D.Houkes M.1 : 2
    12Shelbayh A. (LL)Gaubas V. (3)1 : 2
    13Ivashka I. (Q)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    14Blanch D. (Q)Engel J.2 : 0
    15Butvilas E.Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    16Pieri S. (Q)De Jong J. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Moro Canas A.2 : 0
    2Harris L.Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    3Martinez P. (4)Bertola R.2 : 1
    4Sanchez Quilez A.Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    5Choinski J. (7)Safiullin R.0 : 2
    6Houkes M.Gaubas V. (3)2 : 1
    7Llamas Ruiz P.Blanch D.2 : 0
    8Butvilas E.De Jong J. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Martinez P. (4)Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    3Safiullin R.Houkes M.2 : 0
    4Llamas Ruiz P.Butvilas E.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    2Safiullin R.Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2

    Final
    1Carreno-Busta P. (5)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2