Dennis Novak vs Luka Pavlovic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lisbon Challenger Men Dennis Novak - Luka Pavlovic
Result
1:2
24/09/2024 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon (Portugal), clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
011
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
72%54%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (52/71)75% (41/55)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (13/28)52% (24/46)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)75% (6/8)
1st Return Points Won
25% (14/55)27% (19/71)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (22/46)54% (15/28)
Break Points Converted
25% (2/8)29% (2/7)
Max Points In Row
75
Service Points Won
66% (65/99)64% (65/101)
Return Points Won
36% (36/101)34% (34/99)
Total Points Won
51% (101/200)50% (99/200)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
87% (13/15)87% (13/15)
Return Games Won
13% (2/15)13% (2/15)
Total Games Won
50% (15/30)50% (15/30)

Chances of winning


Dennis Novak
65.9%
Luka Pavlovic
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 46.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dennis Novak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dennis Novak's performance.
  • Luka Pavlovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luka Pavlovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dennis Novak that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luka Pavlovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dennis Novak - Luka Pavlovic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.71)

    2.72
    (2.01)
    7.5%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Dennis Novak - Luka Pavlovic?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Novak will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Pavlovic will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Novak is ranked ATP: 301. Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 350.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Pavlovic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Novak will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Dennis Novak
    Latest results of Luka Pavlovic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    2Ritschard A. (Q)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)2 : 0
    3Travaglia S. (Alt)Dodig M. (NG)2 : 0
    4Negritu Ch. (Q)Faria J. (6)1 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    6Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)Moro Canas A. (Q)2 : 0
    7Araujo P. (WC)Rocha H.0 : 2
    8Choinski J.Pellegrino A. (8)2 : 1
    9Galan D. E. (7)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    10Den Ouden G.Ymer E. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Cecchinato M. (Q)Monteiro T.0 : 2
    12Rocha F. (Q)Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    13Moller E. (5)Pereira T. (WC)0 : 2
    14Merida Aguilar D.Kym J.2 : 1
    15Ferreira Silva F. (WC)Clarke J.2 : 1
    16Gaubas V.Taberner C. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Ritschard A.0 : 2
    2Travaglia S.Faria J. (6)2 : 1
    3Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 1
    4Rocha H.Choinski J.2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M.Den Ouden G.2 : 0
    6Monteiro T.Buse I. (4)0 : 2
    7Pereira T.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    8Ferreira Silva F.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ritschard A.Travaglia S.1 : 2
    2Llamas Ruiz P.Rocha H.0 : 2
    3Trungelliti M.Buse I. (4)1 : 2
    4Merida Aguilar D.Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Travaglia S.Rocha H.1 : 2
    2Buse I. (4)Gaubas V.0 : 2

    Final
    1Rocha H.Gaubas V.1 : 2