Dennis Novak vs Neil Oberleitner – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lisbon Challenger Men Dennis Novak - Neil Oberleitner
Result
2:0
23/09/2024 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon (Portugal) - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
75%58%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (37/57)61% (22/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (8/19)50% (13/26)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)43% (3/7)
1st Return Points Won
42% (15/36)37% (21/57)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (13/26)58% (11/19)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)75% (3/4)
Max Points In Row
54
Service Points Won
59% (44/74)56% (34/61)
Return Points Won
44% (27/61)41% (30/74)
Total Points Won
53% (71/135)47% (64/135)
Max Games In Row
53
Service Games Won
73% (8/11)60% (6/10)
Return Games Won
40% (4/10)27% (3/11)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Dennis Novak
53.8%
Neil Oberleitner
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.5% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dennis Novak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dennis Novak's form might have worsened.
  • Neil Oberleitner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neil Oberleitner's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dennis Novak, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neil Oberleitner than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neil Oberleitner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dennis Novak - Neil Oberleitner Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.54)

    2.01
    (2.35)
    7.5%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Dennis Novak - Neil Oberleitner?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Novak will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Oberleitner will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Oberleitner: 35.2%92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Novak is ranked ATP: 240. Oberleitner is ranked ATP: 469.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Oberleitner could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Novak will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Dennis Novak
    Latest results of Neil Oberleitner
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopp S. (LL)Dodig M.0 : 2
    2Rincon D. (Q)Piros Z.0 : 2
    3Collignon R.Elias G. (WC)2 : 0
    4Klizan M. (Q)Kovalik J. (5)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (4)Dalla Valle E. (Q)2 : 0
    6Ferreira Silva F. (WC)Skatov T.2 : 1
    7Roca Batalla O.Faria J.2 : 0
    8Moeller E. (LL)Pellegrino A. (9)2 : 0
    9Galan D. E. (8)Fonio G. (Q)1 : 2
    10Nava E.Gaubas V.2 : 0
    11Arnaboldi F. (Alt)Vale D. (WC)2 : 0
    12Rocha H.Seyboth Wild T. (3)2 : 0
    13Ritschard A. (7)Gea A.2 : 1
    14Novak D. (Q)Pavlovic L. (SE)1 : 2
    15Andreev A. (LL)Tabur C. (Q)1 : 2
    16Barrios Vera T.Altmaier D. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Dodig M.Piros Z.1 : 2
    2Collignon R.Kovalik J. (5)2 : 0
    3Tirante T. A. (4)Ferreira Silva F.2 : 0
    4Roca Batalla O. (RET.)Moeller E.0 : 1
    5Fonio G.Nava E.0 : 2
    6Arnaboldi F.Rocha H.1 : 2
    7Ritschard A. (7)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    8Tabur C.Barrios Vera T.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Piros Z.Collignon R.0 : 2
    2Tirante T. A. (4)Moeller E.1 : 2
    3Nava E.Rocha H.2 : 0
    4Ritschard A. (7)Barrios Vera T.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Collignon R.Moeller E.2 : 1
    2Nava E.Ritschard A. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Collignon R.Ritschard A. (7)1 : 2