Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
129:93
11/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN
brazilBrazilESPN 4
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
portugalPortugalSport TV2
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
8796
Field goals made
4842
Field goals %
55.17%43.75%
2-point field goals attempts
5563
2-point field goals made
3138
2-point field goals %
56.36%60.32%
3-point field goals attempts
3233
3-point field goals made
174
3-point field goals %
53.13%12.12%
Free throws attempts
2214
Free throws made
165
Free throws %
72.7%35.7%
Offensive rebounds
815
Defensive rebounds
3428
Total rebounds
4243
Assists
3625
Blocks
46
Turnovers
915
Steals
127
Personal fouls
1518
Technical fouls
10

Highlights

Chances of winning


Denver Nuggets
68.7%
Houston Rockets
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Denver Nuggets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Houston Rockets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denver Nuggets than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denver Nuggets that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Rockets than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Houston Rockets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Denver Nuggets - Houston Rockets Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.49)

    3.07
    (2.63)
    3.8%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 231.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
    What is the prediction for Denver Nuggets - Houston Rockets?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Denver will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Houston will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Denver: 42%87.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -6.5, OT - Denver (1.88) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -4.5, OT - Denver (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5, OT - Denver (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2, OT - Denver (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5, OT - Denver (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -7.5 - Denver (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB, 1st Half - Denver (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -6, OT - Denver (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 230.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -7.5, OT - Denver (1.95) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 227.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Denver Nuggets will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Denver (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Houston (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 120:113.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Denver won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Denver may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Denver might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Denver: Bates T. (Foot Injury) Watson P. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Houston: Adams S. (Ankle Injury) Tate J. (Knee Injury) VanVleet F. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Denver won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2322:2230. (average 116.1:111.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Denver won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1290:1241. (average 117.3:112.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Denver Nuggets - Houston Rockets were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Denver Nuggets - Houston Rockets 101:115
    15.12.2025 Denver Nuggets - Houston Rockets 128:125
    21.11.2025 Houston Rockets - Denver Nuggets 109:112
    13.04.2025 Houston Rockets - Denver Nuggets 111:126
    23.03.2025 Houston Rockets - Denver Nuggets 111:116
    Latest results of Denver Nuggets
    Latest results of Houston Rockets
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Oklahoma City Thunder (1)Phoenix Suns (8)4 : 0
    2Los Angeles Lakers (4)Houston Rockets (5)3 : 1
    3San Antonio Spurs (2)Portland Trail Blazers (7)3 : 1
    4Denver Nuggets (3)Minnesota Timberwolves (6)2 : 3
    5Detroit Pistons (1)Orlando Magic (8)1 : 3
    6Cleveland Cavaliers (4)Toronto Raptors (5)2 : 2
    7Boston Celtics (2)Philadelphia 76ers (7)3 : 1
    8New York Knicks (3)Atlanta Hawks (6)2 : 2