Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
129:126
09/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupersport Action
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
germanyGermanySky Sport 1, Sky Sport Top Event
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 4
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN 4, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6, Voyo
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Action, Sky Sports+
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9398
Field goals made
4745
Field goals %
50.54%45.92%
2-point field goals attempts
4661
2-point field goals made
2830
2-point field goals %
60.87%49.18%
3-point field goals attempts
4737
3-point field goals made
1915
3-point field goals %
40.43%40.54%
Free throws attempts
2129
Free throws made
1621
Free throws %
76.2%72.4%
Offensive rebounds
316
Defensive rebounds
3440
Total rebounds
3756
Assists
2729
Blocks
93
Turnovers
38
Steals
33
Personal fouls
2020
Technical fouls
00

Highlights

Chances of winning


Oklahoma City Thunder
68.6%
Denver Nuggets
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.9% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oklahoma City Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Denver Nuggets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oklahoma City Thunder than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oklahoma City Thunder, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denver Nuggets than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denver Nuggets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Oklahoma City Thunder - Denver Nuggets Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.34)

    3.05
    (3.26)
    4%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 232.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Oklahoma City Thunder - Denver Nuggets?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Oklahoma City will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Denver will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Oklahoma City: 79.4%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -8, OT - Denver (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -8.5, OT - Oklahoma City (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 232.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 233 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4, OT - Oklahoma City (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +4.5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3.5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3, OT - Oklahoma City (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Oklahoma City Thunder will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Oklahoma City (votes: 20 - 90.9%). Denver (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 119:113.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oklahoma City won 4.
    • Oklahoma City has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Denver has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Oklahoma City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Oklahoma City: Carlson B. (Back Injury) Caruso A. (Hip Injury) Hartenstein I. (Calf Injury) Holmgren C. (Illness) Mitchell A. (Abdominal strain) Sorber T. (Knee Injury) Williams J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Denver: Bates T. (Foot Injury) Watson P. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Denver: Murray J. (Ankle Injury)
    • We predict that Oklahoma City will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oklahoma City won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2290:2152. (average 114.5:107.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oklahoma City won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1180:1108. (average 118:110.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oklahoma City Thunder - Denver Nuggets were as follows:
    27.02.2026 Oklahoma City Thunder - Denver Nuggets 127:121
    01.02.2026 Denver Nuggets - Oklahoma City Thunder 111:121
    17.10.2025 Oklahoma City Thunder - Denver Nuggets 94:91
    18.05.2025 Oklahoma City Thunder - Denver Nuggets 125:93
    15.05.2025 Denver Nuggets - Oklahoma City Thunder 119:107
    Latest results of Oklahoma City Thunder
    Latest results of Denver Nuggets
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 6954158173:74320.783
    2San Antonio Spurs6951188213:77090.739
    3Los Angeles Lakers6843257905:78150.632
    4Houston Rockets6741267625:73540.612
    5Denver Nuggets6942278331:80290.609
    6Minnesota Timberwolves6942278171:79350.609
    7Phoenix Suns6939307756:76840.565
    8Los Angeles Clippers6834347715:76620.500
    9Golden State Warriors6833357837:77790.485
    10Portland Trail Blazers6933367939:80900.478
    11Memphis Grizzlies6723447744:79480.343
    12New Orleans Pelicans6923467979:82600.333
    13Dallas Mavericks6923467808:81570.333
    14Utah Jazz6820487974:84930.294
    15Sacramento Kings7018527751:84510.257


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons6849197984:74710.721
    2Boston Celtics6845237774:72810.662
    3New York Knicks7045258199:77420.643
    4Cleveland Cavaliers6942278221:79270.609
    5Toronto Raptors6738297613:74960.567
    6Orlando Magic6838307855:77650.559
    7Miami Heat6938318294:80650.551
    8Atlanta Hawks6837318012:79260.544
    9Philadelphia 76ers6937327954:80120.536
    10Charlotte Hornets6935347991:77440.507
    11Chicago Bulls6828407887:81610.412
    12Milwaukee Bucks6828407565:79020.412
    13Brooklyn Nets6817517247:78600.250
    14Washington Wizards6816527669:84180.235
    15Indiana Pacers6915547672:82900.217

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)