Deportes Recoleta vs Deportes Concepción – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Primera B Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Concepción
Result
2:3
25/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 18

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
87
Corner Kicks
55
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
10
Total shots
158
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
71
Corner Kicks
55
Goalkeeper Saves
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', Manzo F. 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Carvajal N. ,
  • 22', Fernandez C. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Larrivey J. ,
  • 35', Martin F. 🟨,
  • 39', Astete N. 🟨,
  • 39', Alarcon F. 🟨,
  • 42', Arguinarena M. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Manzo F. , Valdivia B. ,
  • 46', Espinola J. , Saavedra Saavedra F. I. ,
  • 50', 🟨,
  • 50', 1 - 2, Larrivey J. ,
  • 62', Saavedra Saavedra F. I. 🟨,
  • 65', Larrivey J. , Ojeda U. ,
  • 66', Retamal V. , Alvarado F. ,
  • 66', Flores J. , Cepeda C. ,
  • 70', 1 - 3, Ovalle J. ,
  • 75', Estigarribia G. , Salazar D. ,
  • 78', Ovalle J. , Sepulveda N. ,
  • 78', Morales C. , Escobar C. ,
  • 83', Alvarado F. 🟨,
  • 85', 2 - 3, Salazar D. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Valdes B. , Fuenzalida I. ,

Chances of winning


Deportes Recoleta
40.7%
Draw
30.1%
Deportes Concepción
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.5% 28.9% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 27.8% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Concepción might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Concepción Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.51)
    3.04
    (3.18)
    3.13
    (2.65)
    9.4%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Concepción?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Recoleta (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Recoleta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Concepción were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Deportes Concepción - Deportes Recoleta 0:1