Result
0:2
06/03/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 6
- Referee: Garay C. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (362/446) | 76% (262/347) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (362/446) | 76% (262/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (26/65) | 39% (26/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (63/94) | 49% (39/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/34) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 93% (13/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.56 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Sepulveda N. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Graciani G. ⚽,
- 34', Campusano J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ↓, Espinoza E. ↑,
- 46', Davila Carvajal M. ↓, Jara A. ↑,
- 46', Sepulveda N. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
- 47', Rivera M. 🟨,
- 61', Caceres A. 🟨,
- 69', Avalos G. ↓, Plaza M. ↑,
- 69', Graciani G. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
- 75', Jeraldino I. ↓, Rami F. ↑,
- 77', Reyes L. 🟨,
- 83', Ovelar F. ↓, Valdes A. ↑,
- 83', Valencia Rossel L. ↓, Gillard A. ↑,
- 88', 0 - 2, Sanhueza D. ⚽,
- 89', Sanhueza D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportes Concepción 38.2% | Draw 29.2% | Ñublense 32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Deportes Concepción - Ñublense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.47 ↑ (2.33) |
3.19 ↓ (3.3) |
2.89 ↓ (3.01) |
6.5% (6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportes Concepción - Ñublense?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Deportes Concepción will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Ñublense will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Deportes Concepción (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes Concepción (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
- Deportes Concepción is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ñublense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Deportes Concepción has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportes Concepción won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Concepción won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Concepción won against Ñublense?
Deportes Concepción has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Deportes Concepción?
Ñublense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Concepción - Ñublense were as follows:
Latest results of Deportes Concepción
Latest results of Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Limache | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | U. De Chile | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Nublense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | O'Higgins | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Coquimbo | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | U. De Concepcion | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:14 | -7 | 11 |
| 10 | A. Italiano | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | La Serena | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Palestino | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:17 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | D. Concepcion | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso