Result
2:1
02/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 13
- Referee: Vejar F. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (303/364) | 81% (305/375) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (303/364) | 81% (305/375) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (37/58) | 51% (32/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (91/125) | 63% (71/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Ramos A. 🟨,
- 33', Mesias C. 🟨,
- 45+5', Fuentes C. 🟨,
- 45+5', 1 - 0, Coelho D. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Valenzuela B. ↓, Vilches Araneda A. ↑,
- 46', Barrera B. ↓, Orellana D. ↑,
- 46', Bacca J. ↓, Hoyos E. ↑,
- 49', Astudillo A. 🟨,
- 63', Cespedes D. 🟨,
- 69', Ramos A. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
- 70', Fuentes C. ↓, Fernandez C. D. N. ↑,
- 74', Tiznado J. ↓, Bechtholdt F. ↑,
- 76', Coelho D. ↓, Marquez A. ↑,
- 76', Trinanes F. ↓, Barrera C. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 0, Fernandez V. ⚽, Vilches Araneda A. (A),
- 78', 2 - 1, Fernandez C. D. N. ⚽, Pino S. (A),
- 88', Gomez J. ↓, Rojas D. ↑,
- 90+8', Toro C. 🟨,
- 90+8', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cobresal 54.8% | Draw 24.4% | Deportes Iquique 20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobresal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Cobresal - Deportes Iquique Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.72 ↓ (1.88) |
3.85 ↑ (3.6) |
4.56 ↑ (3.86) |
6% (6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cobresal - Deportes Iquique?
Users Predictions:
Cobresal will win
(43 of 45 users predict this - 95.56%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.54% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cobresal will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 1.
- Cobresal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Deportes Iquique has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Deportes Iquique may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Deportes Iquique has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Cobresal is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cobresal won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cobresal won against Deportes Iquique?
Cobresal has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Iquique won against Cobresal?
Deportes Iquique has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cobresal - Deportes Iquique were as follows:
18.08.2024
Cobresal
-
Deportes Iquique
2:1
15.03.2024
Deportes Iquique
-
Cobresal
1:0
Latest results of Cobresal
Latest results of Deportes Iquique
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37:12 | 25 | 59 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | O'Higgins | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 47:25 | 22 | 42 |
| 6 | Palestino | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:24 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Nublense | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 24:30 | -6 | 30 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 22:28 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 | La Serena | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Everton | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 | Limache | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 28:47 | -19 | 20 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26:53 | -27 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso