Result
2:0
08/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 19
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (499/584) | 70% (176/252) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (499/584) | 70% (176/252) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (38/64) | 49% (30/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (112/160) | 60% (55/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (11/35) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 2.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Fernandez J. 🟨,
- 41', Orellana D. 🟨,
- 41', Henriquez A. ↓, Pino S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Gonzalez C. ↓, Moya M. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 0, Castro F. ⚽, Carrasco B. (A),
- 67', Gomez M. ↓, Venezia A. ↑,
- 67', Fernandez R. ↓, Marabel J. ↑,
- 67', Castro F. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
- 74', Pino S. 🟨,
- 78', Fernandez J. ↓, Suarez C. ↑,
- 79', Fuentes C. 🟨,
- 79', Tapia Paez G. 🟨,
- 86', 2 - 0, Marabel J. ⚽, Garguez Gomez I. A. (A),
- 87', Davila Carvajal M. ↓, Salinas Flores H. ↑,
- 87', Fuentes C. ↓, Soto B. ↑,
- 90', Zuniga D. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
- 90', Abrigo J. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Palestino 59.1% | Draw 23.3% | Deportes Iquique 17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palestino that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Palestino - Deportes Iquique Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.59 ↓ (1.64) |
4.02 ↑ (3.66) |
5.22 ↑ (4.75) |
7% (9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Palestino - Deportes Iquique?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Palestino (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Palestino will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 4.
- Recent performances by Palestino have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportes Iquique has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Palestino is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:23. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palestino won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Deportes Iquique?
Palestino has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Iquique won against Palestino?
Deportes Iquique has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - Deportes Iquique were as follows:
08.03.2025
Deportes Iquique
-
Palestino
1:3
24.09.2024
Palestino
-
Deportes Iquique
2:0
28.04.2024
Deportes Iquique
-
Palestino
2:1
Latest results of Palestino
Latest results of Deportes Iquique
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo ✔ | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 38:12 | 26 | 62 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | O'Higgins | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 32:29 | 3 | 44 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 47:25 | 22 | 42 |
| 6 | Palestino | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:24 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Nublense | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 29 |
| 12 | La Serena | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Everton | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 | Limache | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 28:47 | -19 | 20 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26:53 | -27 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
Clinched Spots for Teams
Coquimbo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )