Result
2:2
15/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 7
- Referee: Gilabert F. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (298/395) | 77% (284/370) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (298/395) | 77% (284/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (31/59) | 46% (24/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (110/166) | 64% (56/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (12/48) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.13 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Avalos G. ⚽, Graciani G. (A),
- 38', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
- 45+3', Escalante G. 🟨,
- 45+6', Graciani G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', 1 - 1, Alarcon L. ⚽, Rubio D. (A),
- 57', 1 - 2, Vargas J. ⚽, Rubio D. (A),
- 58', Ovelar F. ↓, Plaza M. ↑,
- 58', Campos Mosqueira F. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
- 62', Gutierrez B. 🟨,
- 65', Avalos G. ↓, Valdes A. ↑,
- 70', Gutierrez J. ↓, Stefanelli N. ↑,
- 73', Campusano J. 🟨,
- 77', Jeraldino I. ↓, Rami F. ↑,
- 77', Rivera M. ↓, Cespedes D. ↑,
- 79', Rubio D. 🟨,
- 79', Valencia S. 🟨,
- 82', Rubio D. ↓, Sandoval B. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 2, Rami F. ⚽,
- 90+3', Ribera J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Vargas J. ↓, Marin M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ñublense
49% | Draw
27.2% | Deportes La Serena
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Ñublense - Deportes La Serena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.84) |
3.43 ↓
(3.45) |
3.9
(3.9) |
7.5%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ñublense - Deportes La Serena?
Users Predictions:
Ñublense will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ñublense will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 2.
- Ñublense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Deportes La Serena has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ñublense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ñublense is a strong favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Deportes La Serena?
Ñublense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Ñublense?
Deportes La Serena has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
18.10.2025
Deportes La Serena
-
Ñublense
1:1
25.04.2025
Ñublense
-
Deportes La Serena
2:0
Latest results of Ñublense
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Limache | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Nublense | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | U. De Concepcion | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 11 |
| 6 | A. Italiano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Union La Calera | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | U. De Chile | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | O'Higgins | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | La Serena | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | Coquimbo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Huachipato | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Palestino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Everton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | D. Concepcion | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
