Result
2:0
25/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 9
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (309/393) | 80% (336/420) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (309/393) | 80% (336/420) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (32/58) | 49% (35/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (85/123) | 62% (63/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 2.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Ovando L. 🟨,
- 29', Plaza M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 0, Rubio P. ⚽, Graciani G. (A),
- 60', Gallegos S. ↓, Jhonatan Kauan ↑,
- 62', Graciani G. ↓, Oyarzo Munoz B. ↑,
- 63', Plaza M. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 63', Molina L. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 64', Jhonatan Kauan 🟨,
- 77', Rubio P. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
- 79', Rivera M. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
- 79', Ovando L. ↓, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↑,
- 87', Dinamarca F. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
- 87', Oyarzo Munoz B. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
- 87', Rojas J. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 0, Sosa G. ⚽, Mateos F. (A),
- 90+5', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ñublense
49.2% | Draw
27.2% | Deportes La Serena
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Ñublense - Deportes La Serena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(1.93) |
3.48 ↓
(3.55) |
3.97 ↑
(3.67) |
6.4%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ñublense - Deportes La Serena?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ñublense won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Deportes La Serena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Ñublense is a favorite.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Ñublense won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ñublense won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Deportes La Serena?
Ñublense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Ñublense?
Deportes La Serena has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
Latest results of Ñublense
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 36:12 | 24 | 56 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 29:26 | 3 | 41 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 39:33 | 6 | 40 |
| 4 | U. De Chile | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 45:23 | 22 | 39 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30:21 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 36:26 | 10 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 34:34 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Nublense | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 24:32 | -8 | 22 |
| 13 | La Serena | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 26:42 | -16 | 20 |
| 14 | Limache | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 24:44 | -20 | 17 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
