Ñublense vs Deportes La Serena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Primera Division Ñublense - Deportes La Serena
Result
2:0
25/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Primera - Round 9

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.44
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
79% (309/393)80% (336/420)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.44
xG on target (xGOT)
2.110.77
Total shots
159
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
92
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
167
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
713
Passes
79% (309/393)80% (336/420)
Long passes
55% (32/58)49% (35/71)
Passes in final third
69% (85/123)62% (63/101)
Crosses
25% (4/16)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.40
Throw-ins
2527
Fouls
137
Tackles
80% (12/15)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4942
Clearances
1920
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.772.11
Goals prevented
0.770.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Ovando L. 🟨,
  • 29', Plaza M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Rubio P. , Graciani G. (A),
  • 60', Gallegos S. , Jhonatan Kauan ,
  • 62', Graciani G. , Oyarzo Munoz B. ,
  • 63', Plaza M. , Valencia E. ,
  • 63', Molina L. , Rodriguez M. ,
  • 64', Jhonatan Kauan 🟨,
  • 77', Rubio P. , Sosa G. ,
  • 79', Rivera M. , Moreira E. ,
  • 79', Ovando L. , Jara Gonzalez G. A. ,
  • 87', Dinamarca F. , Gutierrez C. ,
  • 87', Oyarzo Munoz B. , Sanhueza D. ,
  • 87', Rojas J. , Ramirez M. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 0, Sosa G. , Mateos F. (A),
  • 90+5', Rodriguez M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ñublense
49.2%
Draw
27.2%
Deportes La Serena
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 26.3% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 25.9% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Ñublense - Deportes La Serena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.93)
    3.48
    (3.55)
    3.97
    (3.67)
    6.4%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Ñublense - Deportes La Serena?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ñublense won 1.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Deportes La Serena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Ñublense is a favorite.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Ñublense won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ñublense won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.3:1.1).
    Latest results of Ñublense
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo16105123:81535
    2A. Italiano16103329:191033
    3U. De Chile16102435:161932
    4Palestino1584322:14828
    5U. Catolica1675423:15826
    6O'Higgins1675416:17-126
    7Colo Colo1673626:18824
    8Cobresal1565419:18123
    9Union La Calera1664616:14222
    10Huachipato1663722:24-221
    11Nublense1748517:24-720
    12La Serena1652920:29-917
    13Everton1636715:25-1015
    14Limache1735917:24-714
    15U. Espanola16311215:30-1510
    16Deportes Iquique16131216:36-206

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso